2017 Fantasy Football Week 4 Buy Low/Sell High

Buy Low

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Quarterback

Ben Roethlisberger – While I’m not completely sold on Roethlisberger as a weekly top 12 QB this season, I do believe he’s a buy low who you can use in certain matchups. You can likely get him for a bench player or add him from waivers if he’s been dropped. The Steelers offense has hurt plenty of fantasy teams this season, and many owners have soured on the offense as a whole. I’m looking to buy Roethlisberger because I think he has a very usable stretch in weeks 7-12. We know Roethlisberger has major home/road splits, but he will have only two road games during this stretch (Lions and Colts) and the Colts rank just 27th in DVOA against the pass. He’ll also face the Titans and Packers at home which I see as plus matchups that could be high scoring. Don’t buy him as a lock for your quarterback spot all season, but buy him to pair with your current quarterback and strategically use him in good matchups.

Also buy: Tyrod Taylor, Philip Rivers, Derek Carr

Running Back

Joe Mixon – Mixon saw a huge increase in workload last week against the Packers. His snap counts in week 1 and 2 were 36% and 25% respectfully, but increased to 56% in week 3. He saw 18 carries in week 3 after recording just 17 combined carries the previous two weeks. Mixon hasn’t found the end zone yet, so his fantasy points have remained low, leaving the buying window open. When Mixon continues to see this volume, but also finds himself in positive games scripts and scoring situations (like week 4 against Cleveland), he will become the RB2 most drafted him to be.

Also buy: Mark Ingram, Derrick Henry, Jay Ajayi (if anyone is panicking after he struggled in week 3)

Wide Receiver

Julio Jones – Jones is a tough guy to buy due to his big name, but if you find a frustrated owner, buy him as a top five wide receiver. Jones currently is WR20 in PPR leagues and has yet to score this season. He’s sandwiched between Sterling Shepard and Jermaine Kearse on the leaderboard. Jones ranks tenth in targets and has gone over 90 yards twice. He’ll find the end zone soon, and his questionable tag this week should make it a tad easier to buy.

Also buy: DeAndre Hopkins, Corey Davis, Devin Funchess, Donte Moncrief, T.Y. Hilton, Amari Cooper

Tight End

Jordan Reed – Reed missed last week due to injury and Washington could be smart to hold him out this week to give him three full weeks of rest. Reed owners are certainly frustrated with his injuries, and may be willing to sell at a discount. When healthy, Reed is a top five tight end. When he can give you upside at such a shallow position, I’d try to buy Reed and hope he stays healthy enough to produce after Washington’s bye week.

Also buy: Jimmy Graham, Kyle Rudolph

Sell High

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Quarterback

Alex Smith – I don’t see many quarterbacks who qualify as sell highs, unless you have an owner in your league who is intrigued by Smith’s QB2 rank after three weeks.

Running Back

Chris Thompson – Thompson is an electric player with plenty of big play upside, but he’s currently RB3 in PPR leagues and people are starting to buy in. We’re three weeks into the season, and Thompson hasn’t even played 50% of the snaps in a single game. There are weeks where Thompson will be a quality RB2/flex play, but I have a real problem starting a player who relies on splash plays to be fantasy relevant.

Also sell: Kareem Hunt (Still an RB1 and a very good one, but doesn’t have the volume of other top RBs)

Wide Receiver

Larry Fitzgerald – Fitzgerald exploded for 33.9 PPR points in Week 3 on Monday Night Football, a performance that will stick in the mind of anyone who watched it. Over the past few seasons, Fitzgerald has started hot, and trailed off as the season continues. Below are Fitzgerald’s splits between the first three weeks of 2015 and 2016 compared to the rest of those seasons. I realize this is a small sample and an arbitrary split, but Fitzgerald ranks as the 4th best receiver in fantasy through three weeks, similar to the trend we’ve seen the past two seasons. I’m selling high if I can, but not giving him away.

Tight End

Jason Witten – Witten remains a sell high even after a bad week 3 performance. I wrote a lot about Witten last week in this article if you’re curious why you should sell: https://goingfor2.com/2017-fantasy-football-week-2-buy-lowsell-high/

Also sell: Delanie Walker

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