2019 Fantasy Football Week 5 Buy Low/Sell High #FantasyFootball

Buy Low

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Running Back

Ezekiel Elliott – I was confused by some of the negative buzz I heard over the past few days toward Elliott, basically saying he’s lost a step. The logic was faulty, but it was from some major fantasy outlets, so it’s possible your league members have picked up on this buzz. Worries of Pollard taking work are over as Elliott played 97% of snaps in week 4, leading me to believe Elliott is locked in as a top 4 RB for the rest of the season.

Le’Veon Bell – Bell is receiving tons of opportunity in the Jets’ offense, but it’s the Jets. This opens the window to buy. In PPR leagues especially, Bell will see 6-8 targets per game and will push for 20 touches in every outing. He’s a low-end RB1, but is accessible to buy, especially before Sam Darnold returns.

David Montgomery – Montgomery has 40 touches in the past two weeks, but just 19.8 PPR points. Mike Davis stole 11 looks in Week 1, an island game that people remember vividly. In week 4, Davis did not play. Montgomery is locked in as the top running back for the Bears.

Saquon Barkley – If you’re 3-1 or 4-0 and can buy Barkley from an owner who needs help now, I don’t mind stashing Barkley until he returns from injury.

Wide Receiver

Will Fuller – Fuller ranks 12th in air yards (all air yards data from airyards.com), but ranks just 65th in PPR points. Fuller will always be boom/bust, but like vintage DeSean Jackson, Fuller can absolutely win you weeks. Once we see 4-6 teams on a bye each week, Fuller will become more valuable as his upside can cover bye week absenses.

Marquise Brown – Much like Fuller, Brown ranks better in air yards than PPR points. He’s 3rd in air yards, but 21st in PPR points. He’s received 258 air yards in the past two weeks, but has just 71 receiving yards and 13.1 PPR points. The buying window is wide open for Brown.

Tyler Boyd – Again, we see island games influencing owners more than normal. Everyone saw the Bengals flop on Monday night, but Boyd has much more PPR upside than shown in that game. With John Ross out, Boyd should see more work, and Andy Dalton can’t be much worse than he was on Monday night. Boyd is the most trusted target in the offense at least until A.J. Green returns. I’m buying as a WR2/3 in PPR leagues.

Tight End

George Kittle – Averaging 7.0 targets per game but hasn’t scored yet. Major buy low candidate if you need a tight end.

Zach Ertz – Not as easy to buy as Kittle, but he also hasn’t scored. He’s averaged 9.5 targets per game.

Darren Waller – Not sure why Waller is still available, but he is the TE5 this year without scoring a touchdown. Waller has the most opportunity among tight ends, and should remain a top 5 tight for the rest of the year if he can get into the end zone.

Sell High

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Quarterback

There are still no sell-high candidates at quarterback that stand out. If you own Matthew Stafford or Marcus Mariota, you could attempt to sell high after solid week 4 performances, but I’m not sure there is a market for either player.

Running Back

Jordan Howard – Howard scored three touchdowns in Thursday’s game against the Packers. He recorded two rushing touchdowns and a receiving touchdown on 18 touches. Howard is not known for his receiving ability, but scored 11.8 fantasy points on receiving alone. Howard had 32.5 PPR points on Thursday, 61% of his season total. In this game, Miles Sanders still had 11 touches, recording 72 rushing yards. The backfield is still a committee, so if anyone is buying Howard, I’m selling.

Wide Receiver

Michael Thomas – With Teddy Bridgewater at quarterback, Thomas has virtually no upside. Thomas caught nine passes for 95 yards on Sunday night, but on nine targets. He’s always been one of the more efficient receivers, but needs volume to have upside. With the Saints leaning heavily on the run and without the talent of Drew Brees for the near future, Thomas is a low-upside, high-floor WR2 until Brees returns. Currently sitting as the WR6 overall, I’m selling Thomas for some more upside if I need help through the bye weeks.

Tight End

Will Dissly – Will Dissly was a chalky play in daily fantasy this past week and it worked out well for his owners. He has four touchdowns on just 21 targets on a run-first offense. I’m simply not buying Dissly as a top 5 tight end. He’s more likely a top 10-15 tight end this year, so I’m selling him now, before the touchdowns disappear.

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