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Not a great Week 6 for us, going 1-and-2 with my picks bringing our season total to 4-and-2. I’m looking to bounce back this week, with my NFL betting for Week 7 games …
1Dallas Cowboys @ San Francisco 49ers (+6.0)
The 49ers broke an NFL record on Sunday by losing their 5th straight game by 3 points or less. They lost those 5 games by a combined 13 points. The Cowboys may be the best team they have faced yet, but the Cowboys have yet to play a complete game and have faltered in consecutive 4th quarters.
All the controversy with RB Ezekiel Elliott may be taking its toll on this team. The constant media coverage, the asking of the same questions, and reporters concentrating on everything but the on the field play can wear on a young team.
It helps the 49ers that this game is going to be at home after an East coast trip last week. The Cowboys are coming off of their bye week after losing two straight because the defense could not get the stop they needed to win the game. I’m taking the 49ers to win this game outright, but worst case if they lose, the Cowboys won’t cover the six points. Pick: 49ers plus the points
2Carolina Panthers @ Chicago Bears (+3.0)
The status of LB Luke Kuechly is likely the reason the Panthers are only 3 point favorites. Kuechly is the heart of the defense and, as we saw last week, the Panthers defense struggles without him – especially against the run. Kuechy has been ruled out for Week 7, but I think even without him the Panthers can win this game and cover the spread. Mitch Trubisky hasn’t been terrible, but he hasn’t been great either. The Panthers will likely sell out to stop Jordan Howard, and I don’t think Trubisky can beat them on his own.
Mitch Trubisky hasn’t been terrible, but he hasn’t been great either. The Panthers will likely sell out to stop Jordan Howard, and I don’t think Trubisky can beat them on his own. The rookie QB will make a few mistakes and the Panthers will take advantage.
On the other side of the ball, Cam Newton looked more comfortable running the ball last week in a loss to the Eagles. The Bears will now have to respect Newton’s running ability and utilize a “spy” linebacker. The downside to using a “spy’ is it takes them out of the coverage and leaves that zone open over the middle, where Christian McCaffrey can make an impact in the passing game. Pick: Panthers minus the points
3Jacksonville Jaguars @ Indianapolis Colts (+3.0)
The Jaguars defense is legit and this Colts offense will struggle to move the ball. The weakness of the Jags defense is stopping the run, but the Colts struggle to run the ball with their sub-par offensive line.
Not only do the Colts struggle to run the ball, they also struggle to stop the run on defense. DeMarco Murray and Derrick Henry combined for 171 yards and two TDs last week. Fournette (ankle), as long as he suits up, should have a field day against this defense.
Jacoby Brissett, forced to throw the ball more than he wants, will make two key mistakes in and Jags will win this one by a TD or more. Pick: Jaguars minus the points