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We had a great Week 8 going 3-0 with my picks and moving my season record up to 8-4. This week was a little tougher for me to pick some games I liked but ultimately found three that I think should be locks for Week 9. NFL betting odds for Week 9 games can be found at MyBookie.
1L.A. Rams @ New York Giants (+3.5)
Let me be this straight, the Rams are one of the highest scoring teams in the league at 30.3 points per game and the Giants are one of the worst at 16 and the spread is only 3.5 points? The Rams have scored at least 27 points in every game this season except for two. The Giants, on the other hand, have yet to score 27 points in any game this season, and their three lowest-scoring games all came at home, including two games with 10 points or fewer.
The Rams are coming off a bye week and should be fresh going into New York. Jared Goff is proving to be a competent quarterback and RB Todd Gurley is reminding us why we liked him so much two years ago in his rookie season.
The Giants offense can’t run the ball, and without Odell Beckham Jr., they can’t pass it either. The Giants biggest offensive threat is rookie tight end Evan Engram, but the Rams are one of the best teams in the league defending the tight end giving up, on average, less than four receptions and 40 yards per game.
If the Rams don’t beat the Giants by a touchdown or more, I will be completely dumbfounded. Pick: Rams minus the points
2Cincinnati Bengals @ Jacksonville Jaguars (3.5)
The Jaguars defense is weak against the run, but they have one of the stingiest secondaries in the NFL. Lucky for them, their weakness against the run won’t be tested by the Bengals who cannot run the ball. The Bengals biggest strength is obviously their passing game with A.J. Green, but outside of him, the Bengals don’t have a lot that scares you. The Jaguars should be able to take away the Andy Dalton to Green connection, forcing them to find offense somewhere else.
The Jags on offense should have no issue running the ball against the leagues 18th ranked run defense, and if they are able to control to clock and limit mistakes from Blake Bortles the Jaguars will dominate this game. If this game was in Cincinnati I would understand the spread, but the Bengals have never been a good road team with Dalton at QB and they’ll lose this game by at least a touchdown. Pick: Jaguars minus the points
3Oakland Raiders @ Miami Dolphins (+2.5)
The Raiders are a better team than they have shown to this point in the season, and the Dolphins are a worse team than what their record says. The 8:30 pm EST start time helps the Raiders avoid the “jet lag” some west coast teams face when they travel east.
The Raiders are hoping to come into Miami and save their season with a victory, while the Dolphins, having traded away arguably their best player (Jay Ajayi) and having shopped their No. 1 WR Jarvis Landry before the trade deadline, have all but given up on this season. The Raiders will come out motivated and Marshawn Lynch, after his suspension, will come out angry and the Raiders win this one going away. Pick: Raiders minus the points