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If you’re paying up for pitching on Monday, Carrasco is the top option. He’ll face the Tigers in Comerica Park. Carrasco is the biggest favorite on the slate and has the lowest OTT (see pitcher chart). The Tigers rank 25th in strikeout rate this year, so his upside may be a bit limited, but has safety for cash games. I haven’t decided whether to pay $12,200 for Carrasco on DraftKings, but he’s certainly in consideration on FanDuel where pricing is softer.
Lucchesi will face the Rockies who are taking a big park hit traveling to Petco Park. The Rockies have the fifth highest strikeout rate against lefties this year at 25.9%. They also rank second to last in wRC+. With an OTT of 3.5 and a price tag of just $8,100, Lucchesi is one of my favorite pitching options on the slate.
Guerra will face the Diamondbacks in Chase Field. The Diamondbacks have the third highest strikeout rate in the league at 25.7%. They’ve struggled against righties this season with the 6th lowest wRC+. With an OTT of four, Guerra has some upside at his $6,000 price tag. To reach cash game value, Guerra will need 15 points, a mark he’s hit in five of his six starts this year. I like Guerra for both cash games and tournaments.