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Verlander will face the Yankees in Yankee Stadium. There is nothing appealing about the matchup for Verlander, so this play is mostly betting on Verlander’s talent. Verlander has an OTT of 3.5 (see pitcher chart), tied for lowest on the slate. He has the highest strikeout rate of all the starting pitchers on Monday, and will hold the platoon advantage against the Yankees best three hitters. At a price of $12,600, I won’t play Verlander in cash games, but I believe he has 30 point upside and will have some tournament exposure.
Smith will face the Padres in Petco Park. The Padres strike out 26.4% of the time, highest rate in the league. Smith has a 31.7% strikeout rate on the season, so there is plenty of upside at $8,100. With an OTT of just 3.5, Smith also has some safety for cash games. He’s my favorite pitcher on Monday’s slate.
Gonzales will face the Rangers in Safeco Field. The Rangers strike out 25.8% of the time, third highest rate in the league. Gonzales is a big favorite and also has an OTT of 3.5. With the fourth worst wRC+ in the league, the Rangers could struggle to score in this matchup. At a price of $6,900 on DraftKings, Gonzales is a fantastic SP2 for tournaments, and a possible SP2 in cash games depending on the Rangers’ lineup.