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Kershaw will face the Phillies in Dodger Stadium. It’s a great matchup for Kershaw as the Phillies strike out at the 4th highest rate in the league. Kershaw is a big favorite considering Aaron Nola is pitching for the opposition. Kershaw also has an OTT of 2.5, lowest on the slate (see pitcher chart). The only concern is Dave Roberts has unpredictably managed his pitchers this season, so there is some risk Kershaw gets pulled early in his first start since coming off of the DL. Even with that risk, I’ll play Kershaw at $11,800 on DraftKings in both cash games and tournaments unless we hear he’s on a pitch count.
McCullers will face the Red Sox in Minute Maid Park. It’s not a good matchup for McCullerrs, but he’s priced at $8,900. We saw this recently when McCullers faced Cleveland (also a good offense). He scored 34 DK points in one outing, and -5.1 in the other. There’s clear upside with McCullers due to his strikeouts, but there is almost no floor against the Red Sox. I’m fading McCullers in cash games, but I’ll have a few shares in tournaments.
Quintana has been very disappointing this season, but I’ll give him one more chance against the Mets. The Mets strike out 27.1% of the time against lefties, second highest rate in the league. They also have the worst wRC+ against lefties. It’s a good park for pitchers, and Quintana has an OTT of just 3.5. For $7,500, I’m ok with Quintana in both cash games and tournaments.