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Kluber will face the Twins in Progressive Field. He’s the biggest favorite on the slate, and has the lowest OTT (see pitcher chart). The Twins are 16th in the league in strikeout rate and wRC+ so while the matchup isn’t great, it’s not threatening either. The biggest knock on the matchup is Miguel Sano has been sent down by the Twins, taking a few strikeouts out of the lineup. Kluber is the top option on the slate, but he’s also expensive. I’ll wait to see lineups before deciding whether to pay for him in cash games.
Paxton will face the Red Sox in Safeco Field. It’s a park downgrade for the Red Sox, and Paxton is tied with Kluber for the lowest OTT. The Red Sox have a low strikeout rate (only 20.3%), and the third best wRC+ in the league, so it’s clearly a tough matchup. At the same time, Paxton costs $2,900 less than Kluber, and offers similar upside. I love Paxton for tournaments and at the discount from Kluber, I’m considering him in cash games as well.
Stripling has been fantastic this season averaging 30 DK points over his past five starts. He’ll face the Giants in a game where he’s a huge favorite and has the same OTT as Paxton and Kluber. The Giants have the seventh highest strikeout rate this season, and Stripling has recorded at least six punch outs in every game he’s thrown more than 70 pitches. At $9,800, Stripling is an early favorite for my SP2 on DraftKings.