Pitchers
For the Pitcher Chart as well as Hitter picks and analysis, click NEXT!
Luis Severino
Severino will face the Phillies in Citizens Bank Park. He’s priced slightly above Corey Kluber and James Paxton, but has a mouth-watering matchup. He’ll travel to the National League, and will face a team with the third highest strikeout rate in the league. He’s a big favorite and has an OTT (see pitcher chart) of three. Only James Paxton and the next guy in my article have a higher strikeout rate than Severino this season. All signs points to a great game from Severino.
Freddy Peralta
While Peralta only has three MLB starts under his belt, he owns a 41% strikeout rate and two shutouts this season. It’s a small sample size for the strikeout rate, but Peralta recorded a 12.81 K/9 in Triple-A with a 12.86 K/9 in Double-A the year before. He’ll face the Royals who have the lowest strikeout rate in the league, but some of that has to do with their home ballpark suppressing strikeouts. This game will be in Miller Park, so not only is the park better for Ks, the Royals lose their DH as well. As a big favorite with a low OTT (3.5), Peralta is one of my favorite SP2 options on the slate.
Lance Lynn
After a slow start to the year, Lynn has put together six solid outings in a row. He’s averaged 20.1 DK points per game over those starts and now gets a White Sox team that is one of my favorites to pick on. The White Sox rank 2nd in strikeout rate and 23rd in wRC+ this season. Lynn has limited upside, but at $7,300, he’s in play for cash games as an SP2 on DraftKings.
For the Pitcher Chart as well as Hitter picks and analysis, click NEXT!
Pitcher Chart
To see my favorite hitters for today’s slate, click NEXT!
The pitching chart will be updated often. Make sure to check back for the newest information, especially if a column is currently incomplete!
Last Updated: 6/26/2018 – 10:37 AM CT
| Pitcher | Team | L/R | $Line | OTT | K | +/- | K% | IP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Kuhl | PIT | R | +115 | 4 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 21.7 | 5 1/3 |
| S. Matz | NYM | L | -125 | 3.5 | 5 | 1.5 | 21 | 5 2/3 |
| M. Harvey | CIN | R | +130 | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 | 17.6 | 5 1/3 |
| A. Sanchez | ATL | R | -141 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 22.9 | 5 1/3 |
| J. Lester | CHC | L | +137 | 3.5 | 6 | 2.5 | 19.3 | 6 |
| R. Stripling | LAD | R | -149 | 3.5 | 6.5 | 3 | 29.6 | 6 1/3 |
| C. Bettis | COL | R | +119 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 17.2 | 5 2/3 |
| D. Holland | SFG | L | -129 | 4 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 21.5 | 5 2/3 |
| J. Paxton | SEA | L | -148 | 3.5 | 8 | 4.5 | 31.5 | 6 1/3 |
| K. Gausman | BAL | R | +136 | 4.5 | 5 | 0.5 | 21.9 | 6 |
| F. Montas | OAK | R | -108 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 15.1 | 5 |
| B. Hardy | DET | L | -100 | 4.5 | 3.5 | -1 | 17.1 | 5 |
| J. Lamb | LAA | L | +179 | 5.5 | 3.5 | -2 | 25 | 4 2/3 |
| D. Price | BOS | L | -195 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 23 | 5 2/3 |
| R. Borucki | TOR | L | +230 | 5 | 3.5 | -1.5 | 4 1/3 | |
| C. Morton | HOU | R | -253 | 3 | 7.5 | 4.5 | 29.6 | 6 1/3 |
| L. Lynn | MIN | R | -119 | 4 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 22.1 | 6 |
| R. Lopez | CHW | R | +110 | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 | 16.9 | 5 1/3 |
| M. Scherzer | WAS | R | -210 | 2.5 | 9.5 | 7 | 38.6 | 7 1/3 |
| N. Eovaldi | TBR | R | +192 | 4 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 18.6 | 5 2/3 |
| L. Severino | NYY | R | -208 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 30.2 | 7 |
| J. Arrieta | PHI | R | +190 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 0 | 16.6 | 5 2/3 |
| T. Ross | SDP | R | -104 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 0 | 23 | 5 1/3 |
| A. Bibens-Dirkx | TEX | R | -104 | 5 | 3.5 | -1.5 | 14.3 | 5 |
| J. Junis | KCR | R | +190 | 4.5 | 5.5 | 1 | 21.4 | 5 2/3 |
| F. Peralta | MIL | R | -208 | 3.5 | 6 | 2.5 | 41 | 6 |
| C. Kluber | CLE | R | -165 | 4.5 | 7.5 | 3 | 27.2 | 7 |
| C. Martinez | STL | R | +152 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 21.6 | 6 |
Key
L/R = Lefty or Righty
$Line = Money Line
OTT = Opposing team’s run total
K = Projected Strikeouts
+/- = K-OTT
K% = Strikeout Percentage
IP = Innings Projection
Many factors can change between the time I write this article and the time lineups lock. I’ll do my best to update the article, so checking back frequently is encouraged. You can also ask questions on Twitter or Facebook. I’ll do my best to get to all of them!
To see my favorite hitters for today’s slate, click NEXT!
Hitters
J.D. Martinez
Martinez is my favorite tournament play of the day. He’ll face John Lamb in Fenway Park. Lamb is a below-average lefty who has allowed 3.24 HR/9 this season. That home run number will certainly regress, but Martinez still has the highest home run projection on the slate. Usually, Martinez is underpriced and underowned, but now DraftKings has priced him up to $5,700. He’s slightly overpriced now, which should drive his ownership down even more. With multiple aces to pay up for, this is a perfect slate to punt both pitcher positions and grab your favorite high-priced bats like Martinez in tournaments.
Freddie Freeman vs. Matt Harvey also fits this thought process.
Eric Hosmer/Padres
The Padres will face Austin Bibens-Dirkx in Globe Life Park. It will approach 100 degrees in Arlington today, creating perfect hitting weather. Bibens-Dirkx has only allowed a 0.51 HR/9 this season, but his 4.5% HR/FB rate will regress in a major way. He projects to allow close to 2.0 HR/9 this season. The Padres have the second-highest team run total today, putting most of their bats in play. Hosmer ($3,800) will hold the platoon advantage against Bibens-Dirkx and is one of the most underpriced bats on the slate. Hosmer is locked into my cash game lineup. Hunter Renfroe ($3,600) and Manuel Margot ($3,600) are also underpriced and will be great cash game options if they are batting at the top of the order. For tournaments, I love Christian Villanueva. Most people only consider Villanueva against lefties, but Bibens-Dirkx has allowed a higher wOBA to righties throughout his career. A full Padres stack is one of the top tournament choices today, but I find myself stacking the Padres in cash as well due to their value prices.
Love our content? Check out the GoingFor2 Live Podcast Network!
ATTN Dynasty Commissioners: Do you want to do something cool for your league? How about a 1-hour live show dedicated to YOUR league? Team-by-team breakdowns, rankings, and more. For details and to book a show, visit: GoingFor2.com/plp.
The GoingFor2 Live Podcast
