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Bauer will face the Reds in Progressive Field. It’s a close call between Bauer and Justin Verlander as the top option on the slate, but I’m leaning toward Bauer. The Reds pick up a DH in this series, but Bauer still has an OTT (see pitcher chart) of only 3.5. He’s the biggest favorite on the slate and has been lights out this season. You have to go back to May 11 before you find a start where Bauer failed to record 22+ DK points. I’ll take Bauer as my SP1 in cash games, but will consider fading him in tournaments since there’s a Coors Field game on the slate and he costs $13,600.
Tanaka is fresh off of the DL, so I’m not sure if he’ll be on a pitch count or how he’ll look in his first start back. With the uncertainty, I’m considering Tanaka for tournaments only. He’ll face the Orioles in Camden Yards. The Orioles have the 7th highest strikeout rate in the league and the second worst wRC+. Tanaka is also a big favorite with an OTT of 3.5. As long as we know Tanaka will throw 85+ pitches, I’ll have shares of him in tournaments.
Hill will face the Padres in Petco Park. He’s another big favorite with an OTT of 3.5. The Padres have the second highest strikeout rate and the fourth lowest wRC+ this season. Hill has thrown 73 and 110 pitches over his last two starts, so it’s difficult to know how deep he’ll go in the game. At $8,600, I feel uneasy about him in cash games, but I may end up taking the small risk in this positive matchup.