Pitchers
For the next few days, I’ll be unable to write a complete article. I have limited time available, so I will not have time to produce a pitcher chart or write a full article. I will still do a short write up for pitcher and hitters for each day, but it will come out in the morning of the slate. Make sure to look for the article at a different time, and by Monday (July 16) I should be back with my full pitcher chart and article!
For the Pitcher Chart as well as Hitter picks and analysis, click NEXT!
Chris Sale
Sale will face the Rangers in Fenway Park. He’s priced reasonably at $13,000, and is one of the biggest favorites I’ve seen this year. He also has an OTT (see pitcher chart) of three, lowest on the slate. The Rangers have the fourth highest strikeout rate in the league, and Sale is one of the league’s best strikeout pitchers. Sale has safety for cash games and has the highest upside for tournaments as well.
Jacob deGrom
DeGrom will face the Phillies in Citi Field. He’s not as big of a favorite as Sale, but sports the same OTT. Of all the pitchers on Wednesday, deGrom ranks third in strikeout rate behind Sale and Freddy Peralta. The Phillies have the third highest strikeout rate in the league, so deGrom has safety and upside as well. For $1,000 less than Sale, playing deGrom allows you a few more bats. With a Coors Field game and the Red Sox facing Bartolo Colon, the extra salary may be important. I’m currently leaning toward Sale as my SP1 in cash games, but deGrom is firmly in the conversation.
Sonny Gray
Gray has struggled over his past two starts, recording a total of -15.1 DK points. This isn’t a safe play by any means, but at his $6,500 price tag, Gray is underpriced for his talent level. He’s a slight favorite with an OTT of four. Gray will face the Orioles who have the seventh highest strikeout rate in the league and the second lowest wRC+. The Orioles have loaded their lineup with righties lately, and although Gray is a fairly neutral-splits pitcher, it will give Gray the platoon advantage against most hitters.
For the Pitcher Chart as well as Hitter picks and analysis, click NEXT!
Pitcher Chart
To see my favorite hitters for today’s slate, click NEXT!
The pitching chart will be updated often. Make sure to check back for the newest information, especially if a column is currently incomplete!
Last Updated: 7/11/2018 – 8:01 AM CT
| Pitcher | Team | L/R | $Line | OTT | K | +/- | K% | IP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Gonzalez | WAS | L | -130 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 21.5 | 6 |
| T. Williams | PIT | R | +120 | 4.5 | 3 | -1.5 | 17.3 | 5 |
| F. Peralta | MIL | R | -160 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 36.2 | 5 2/3 |
| D. Straily | MIA | R | +147 | 4.5 | 5.5 | 1 | 18.7 | 5 1/3 |
| V. Velasquez | PHI | R | +143 | 3.5 | 6 | 2.5 | 28.5 | 5 2/3 |
| J. deGrom | NYM | R | -155 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 31.2 | 7 |
| S. Miller | ARI | R | +120 | 6 | 3 | -3 | 26.9 | 4 1/3 |
| G. Marquez | COL | R | -130 | 5.5 | 4 | -1.5 | 23 | 5 |
| K. Maeda | LAD | R | -155 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 28.7 | 6 |
| J. Lucchesi | SDP | L | +143 | 4 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 25 | 5 1/3 |
| B. Smith | KCR | R | +188 | 5.5 | 2.5 | -3 | 23.2 | 3 1/3 |
| L. Lynn | MIN | R | -205 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 21.5 | 6 |
| S. Gray | NYY | R | -140 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 20 | 6 |
| D. Bundy | BAL | R | +129 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 26.3 | 5 1/3 |
| B. Colon | TEX | R | +317 | 5 | 2.5 | -2.5 | 14.2 | 4 |
| C. Sale | BOS | L | -354 | 3 | 9.5 | 6.5 | 36.8 | 7 |
| C. Bassitt | OAK | R | +210 | 4.5 | 3 | -1.5 | 20 | 4 2/3 |
| L. McCullers | HOU | R | -230 | 3 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 27.1 | 6 |
| M. Gonzales | SEA | L | +104 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 21.6 | 5 2/3 |
| J. Barria | LAA | R | -113 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 18.7 | 5 1/3 |
| T. Mahle | CIN | R | +181 | 5 | 3.5 | -1.5 | 22.9 | 5 |
| C. Carrasco | CLE | R | -197 | 3.5 | 6.5 | 3 | 25.9 | 6 1/3 |
| L. Weaver | STL | R | -135 | 4 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 21.2 | 5 2/3 |
| C. Rodon | CHW | R | +125 | 4.5 | 5 | 0.5 | 18.2 | 5 |
Key
L/R = Lefty or Righty
$Line = Money Line
OTT = Opposing team’s run total
K = Projected Strikeouts
+/- = K-OTT
K% = Strikeout Percentage
IP = Innings Projection
Many factors can change between the time I write this article and the time lineups lock. I’ll do my best to update the article, so checking back frequently is encouraged. You can also ask questions on Twitter or Facebook. I’ll do my best to get to all of them!
To see my favorite hitters for today’s slate, click NEXT!
Hitters
Coors Bats
It’s another day where the Coors bats are the top options on the slate. I slightly prefer the Rockies overall in this matchup, but they’re not as big of locks as they were on Tuesday. Nolan Arenado is the top option on the slate, followed closely by Charlie Blackmon and Paul Goldschmidt. The next tier is Trevor Story, Jake Lamb, and A.J. Pollock. Of these top options, Arenado and Story seem the most likely to make my cash game lineup. Carlos Gonzalez ($4,300), Steven Souza ($4,100), and Chris Iannetta seem too cheap on DraftKings and are strong plays in both cash games and tournaments.
Red Sox Bats
The Red Sox will face Bartolo Colon in Fenway Park. They have a team run total of five, but that is almost certainly too low. Colon owns a 1.97 HR/9 this year with just a 14.2% strikeout rate. Boston is second in the league in home runs, and ranks last in strikeout rate. J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts are the top overall options while Andrew Benintendi is in a tier just below them. I’m considering Martinez and Betts as strongly as the Coors options today for cash games. Typically, I’d play a full Boston stack in tournaments in a spot like this, but ownership will be very high. I may differentiate by playing a wrap-around stack. This means I’ll choose two Red Sox bats from the bottom of the batting order paired with Betts, Benintendi, and Martinez instead of stacking the top five Red Sox batters.
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