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If you’re playing the all-day slate or an afternoon slate, Greinke is your guy. He’ll face the Padres in Chase Field. The Padres strike out at the second highest rate in the league and have the third worst wRC+. Greinke is a big favorite with an OTT of three (see pitcher chart), lowest of the day. At $10,200 on DraftKings, I’m not sure how you avoid him in cash games on the afternoon slate.
Keuchel will face the White Sox in Minute Maid Park. He’s a huge favorite and is tied with Greinke for the lowest OTT of the day. The White Sox have the highest strikeout rate in the league and punch out 26.6% of the time against lefties. Keuchel has had an inconsistent season, but has recorded 20+ DK points in three of his last four starts. At $9,200, Keuchel will likely be my SP1 on the main slate on Sunday.
In tournaments, Newcomb is a high-upside option. The Brewers are a solid offense and will see the return of Lorenzo Cain, but Newcomb will own the platoon advantage against three of the Brewers top bats (Eric Thames, Christian Yelich, Travis Shaw). Ryan Braun also may miss this game and the Brewers have brought some swing-and-miss bats into their lineup recently (Keon Broxton, Brad Miller). The Brewers also own the fourth-worst wRC+ against lefty pitchers. Milwaukee has a lot unknowns for their batting order for Sunday, but I can envision multiple scenarios where Newcomb is one of the top tournament pitchers on the slate.