Pitchers
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Aaron Nola
Nola will face the Marlins in Citizens Bank Park. He’s the highest priced pitcher on DraftKings at $12,400. The Marlins have the fourth worst wRC+ in the league and Citizens Bank Park is a great park for strikeouts. Nola has a 2.35 ERA this season and a 3.51 SIERA which ranks 16th overall among qualified pitchers, and second on the slate behind Jon Gray. In cash games, I’m playing Nola against the righty-heavy Marlins.
Danny Duffy
Duffy will face the Twins in Target Field. He’s a slight underdog and has an OTT of 4.5 (see pitcher chart), but I frequently find Vegas odds pessimistic toward Duffy. The Twins have the fourth highest strikeout rate and the fourth worst wRC+ against lefties this season. Most of that is with Eduardo Escobar and Brian Dozier. Duffy has at least 21 DK points in seven of his last ten games, creating a fairly solid floor against a weakened Twins offense.
Trevor Cahill
Cahill will face the Tigers in the Coliseum. He’s the biggest favorite of the day and has the lowest OTT. The Tigers have a middling strikeout rate on the season, but have really struggled recently, striking out at the fourth highest rate over the past 30 days. The Tigers also rank last in wRC+ this season. Not only do the Tigers rank last in wRC+ this year, they are also last over the past 30 days with a wRC+ of 60. The Mets rank 29th over the past 30 days with a wRC+ of 75. The Tigers are a sputtering offense that Cahill can take advantage of and provide value for $7,400 on the afternoon slate.
For the Pitcher Chart, click NEXT!
Pitcher Chart
The pitching chart will be updated often. Make sure to check back for the newest information, especially if a column is currently incomplete!
Last Updated: 8/4/2018 -10:07 PM CT
| Pitcher | Team | L/R | $Line | OTT | K | +/- | K% | IP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Teheran | ATL | R | -125 | 3.5 | 5.5 | 2 | 21.7 | 6 |
| C. Oswalt | NYM | R | +115 | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 | 17.6 | 5 1/3 |
| J. Flaherty | STL | R | -104 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 29.8 | 5 2/3 |
| T. Williams | PIT | R | -104 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 16.6 | 5 1/3 |
| L. Castillo | CIN | R | +147 | 5 | 4.5 | -0.5 | 22.4 | 5 |
| T. Roark | WAS | R | -160 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 21.1 | 6 |
| J. Gray | COL | R | -109 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 27.7 | 6 |
| W. Miley | MIL | L | +101 | 4 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 14.3 | 5 |
| J. Lucchesi | SDP | L | +183 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 24 | 4 | |
| J. Lester | CHC | L | -200 | 5 | 5 | 18.8 | 5 2/3 | |
| D. Holland | SFG | L | +158 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 0 | 24 | 5 |
| R. Ray | ARI | L | -172 | 3.5 | 5 | 1.5 | 30.5 | 6 |
| D. Duffy | KCR | L | +135 | 4.5 | 6.5 | 2 | 20.5 | 6 |
| E. Santana | MIN | R | -146 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 12.8 | 5 1/3 |
| Y. Ramirez | BAL | R | 5.5 | 4 | -1.5 | 23.8 | 4 2/3 | |
| D. Hutchison | TEX | R | 4 | 4 | 20.2 | 4 | ||
| F. Liriano | DET | L | +205 | 4.5 | 3 | -1.5 | 19.2 | 4 |
| T. Cahill | OAK | R | -224 | 3 | 6.5 | 3.5 | 23.7 | 6 |
| S. Gaviglio | TOR | R | +139 | 4.5 | 3.5 | -1 | 20.9 | 5 |
| M. Leake | SEA | R | -151 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 14.4 | 6 |
| M. Tanaka | NYY | R | +118 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 0 | 25.5 | 5 1/3 |
| D. Price | BOS | L | -128 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 23.5 | 5 1/3 |
| G. Cole | HOU | R | -102 | 3.5 | 6.5 | 3 | 35 | 6 1/3 |
| W. Buehler | LAD | R | -106 | 3.5 | 5 | 1.5 | 25.5 | 6 |
Key
L/R = Lefty or Righty
$Line = Money Line
OTT = Opposing team’s run total
K = Projected Strikeouts
+/- = K-OTT
K% = Strikeout Percentage
IP = Innings Projection
Many factors can change between the time I write this article and the time lineups lock. I’ll do my best to update the article, so checking back frequently is encouraged. You can also ask questions on Twitter or Facebook. I’ll do my best to get to all of them!
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