Pitchers
For the Pitcher Chart as well as Hitter picks and analysis, click NEXT!
Trevor Bauer
Bauer will face the Twins in Progressive Field. He’s a big favorite against Kyle Gibson and has an OTT of 3.5 (see pitcher chart). The Twins are a middle-of-the-pack offense, but have gotten worse after trading away key pieces. They also recently added Miguel Sano to the offense. Sano is a power hitter, but has a strikeout rate of 39.7% this season, adding some upside for Bauer. Bauer has allowed just 0.41 HR/9 this season, so I’m not too worried about Sano taking him out of the park. Averaging 25.5 DK points per game this season, I’ve played Bauer frequently this season, and Monday looks like another good day to plug him into our lineups.
Charlie Morton
Morton will face the Giants in AT&T Park. He gets a park upgrade as well as a positive league shift. Morton will face Dereck Rodriguez instead of a DH in this game, boosting his upside and helping him navigate the batting order. He has the lowest OTT of the slate, and is a moderate favorite. The Giants strike out 22.8% of the time and Morton owns a 30.8% strikeout rate. It’s a good matchup for Morton and he’s $1,200 less than Bauer on DraftKings. Opposing lineups, weather, and umpire data will help me decide whether to use Morton or Bauer in cash games, but as of now, I’m leaning toward Morton.
Lance Lynn
Lynn will face the White Sox in Guaranteed Rate Field. Now with the Yankees, Lynn has an better chance at earning wins and is one of the biggest favorites on the slate. He has an OTT of four, but should be able to take advantage of the White Sox 25.5% strikeout rate. The more righties the White Sox put into their lineup, the better I’ll feel about Lynn, but at $7,100, he’ll make a strong case for SP2 no matter what.
For the Pitcher Chart as well as Hitter picks and analysis, click NEXT!
Pitcher Chart
To see my favorite hitters for today’s slate, click NEXT!
The pitching chart will be updated often. Make sure to check back for the newest information, especially if a column is currently incomplete!
Last Updated: 8/6/2018 – 12:01 PM CT
| Pitcher | Team | L/R | $Line | OTT | K | +/- | K% | IP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Weaver | STL | R | -146 | 3.5 | 5 | 1.5 | 21 | 5 2/3 |
| W. Chen | MIA | L | +135 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 0 | 16.9 | 5 1/3 |
| H. Bailey | CIN | R | +152 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 5 2/3 |
| N. Syndergaard | NYM | R | -165 | 3.5 | 6.5 | 3 | 25.4 | 6 |
| J. Musgrove | PIT | R | +127 | 5.5 | 3.5 | -2 | 18.8 | 4 2/3 |
| K. Freeland | COL | L | -138 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 18.9 | 5 1/3 |
| J. Arrieta | PHI | R | +119 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 17.7 | 5 2/3 |
| Z. Godley | ARI | R | -129 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 23.7 | 5 2/3 |
| K. Gibson | MIN | R | +170 | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 | 23.6 | 5 1/3 |
| T. Bauer | CLE | R | -185 | 3.5 | 8 | 4.5 | 30.7 | 7 |
| W. LeBlanc | SEA | L | -115 | 5 | 3.5 | -1.5 | 19.4 | 4 2/3 |
| M. Perez | TEX | L | +106 | 5.5 | 3.5 | -2 | 13.6 | 5 1/3 |
| L. Lynn | NYY | R | -196 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 21.6 | 5 2/3 |
| D. Covey | CHW | R | +180 | 5.5 | 3.5 | -2 | 15.4 | 5 |
| C. Hamels | CHC | L | -200 | 3.5 | 6 | 2.5 | 23.6 | 6 |
| J. Junis | KCR | R | +183 | 5.5 | 4 | -1.5 | 20.8 | 4 2/3 |
| C. Morton | HOU | R | -146 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 30.8 | 6 1/3 |
| D. Rodriguez | SFG | R | +135 | 4 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 19.8 | 5 1/3 |
| M. Boyd | DET | L | +132 | 4 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 22 | 5 1/3 |
| N. Tropeano | LAA | R | -143 | 3.5 | 5.5 | 2 | 20 | 5 2/3 |
Key
L/R = Lefty or Righty
$Line = Money Line
OTT = Opposing team’s run total
K = Projected Strikeouts
+/- = K-OTT
K% = Strikeout Percentage
IP = Innings Projection
Many factors can change between the time I write this article and the time lineups lock. I’ll do my best to update the article, so checking back frequently is encouraged. You can also ask questions on Twitter or Facebook. I’ll do my best to get to all of them!
To see my favorite hitters for today’s slate, click NEXT!
Hitters
Cubs Bats
The Cubs will face Jakob Junis in Kauffman Stadium. They have the highest team total on the slate (tied with two other teams). The Cubs will add a DH in this series boosting their offense. Junis has allowed 2.02 HR/9 this season and an ERA over five. His SIERA is slightly better, but Junis is a below-average pitcher. At $4,800 on DraftKings, Anthony Rizzo is my favorite option, especially if he’s leading off. Kyle Schwarber has immense power upside against Junis, and currently has a top five home run projection. As long as Ian Happ isn’t buried at the bottom of the batting order, I love the value he provides at $3,700. A full Cubs stack is a great tournament option, especially if people decide to stack the Coors Field game and the Cubs go slightly underowned.
Giancarlo Stanton
Stanton will face Dylan Covey in Guaranteed Rate Field. The Yankees also have a team run total of 5.5. In 2017, Covey allowed 2.57 HR/9 over 18 games, but this season, he’s allowed 0.99 HR/9. Much of this discrepancy is due to Covey’s HR/FB ratio, and Covey projects to allow close to 1.50 HR/9 for the rest of the season. While Stanton won’t have the platoon advantage, Covey has still allowed a .378 wOBA to righties throughout his career. Stanton owns the highest home run projection on the slate, and I will prioritize Stanton over most of the Coors Field bats.
Coors Bats
Coors games are always a great place to look for bats, but the Cubs and Yankees both have team run totals near the Coors totals and cost less. For this reason, I’m really only looking at a few Coors Bats for cash games. Nolan Arenado is priced reasonably at $5,400, putting him firmly in play in cash games. Trevor Story is on a bit of hot streak, knocking in four home runs in his last three games. I’m considering Story for cash games, but I prefer Arenado, and it will be difficult to fit both into my lineup. David Dahl was recently recalled from Triple-A, so if he cracks the lineup, he’s a solid value bat for $3,500. On the Pirates side, Starling Marte is the only bat on my radar. The Pirates all received huge price hikes, and many will not hold the platoon advantage against Kyle Freeland. I currently don’t have any Pirates in my cash game lineup, but you could decide to play Marte over Stanton if you want some more Coors exposure.
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