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Verlander will face the Mariners in Minute Maid Park. He’s a moderate favorite and has an OTT of three (see pitcher chart). With the highest strikeout rate on the slate, Verlander also has the highest ceiling. He costs $12,400, and is the top overall option on the main slate. While not overpriced, his price tag may put him as a tournament play on the all-day slate due to the other pitching values.
On the all-day slate, Kluber is only $10,900 against a depleted Twins offense. Even against Jose Berrios, Kluber is a the second largest favorite on the slate. He has an OTT of three and has one of the highest floors on the slate. I expected Kluber and Verlander to be priced similarly, but I’ll gladly take the $1,500 discount on Kluber in cash games.
Guerra will face the Padres in Miller Park. He’s a big favorite with an OTT of 3.5. Guerra rarely goes deep into games, but it’s a good matchup and he did throw eight innings his last time out. The Padres have the second highest strikeout rate in the league and have a bottom three wRC+. At $7,300, he’s slightly overpriced, but I like the safety for cash games. He’s recorded at least 15 DK points in eight of his last ten games.
I don’t see a lot of positives for Gonzalez against the Braves, but he’s really cheap. If you don’t like Guerra, Gonzalez will give you a $1,100 discount and allow you to fit a few extra bats.