DFS MLB DraftKings GPP Lineup Advice: Monday 4/16/18

Tonight, we look ahead to a great 10-game MLB slate on DraftKings. After so many games being postponed to weather recently, be sure to check conditions right up to roster lock.
This evening, there are a couple top end pitchers with great mid-tier and discounted options. Let’s take a look at some of the best GPP players for building lineups.

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Pitchers

Jacob deGrom (NYM): $11,500 vs. WAS
The Mets will look to Jake deGrom this evening to continue their winning ways. Starting the season 12-2, New York is one of the surprise teams to start the season. He is the best pitcher going tonight and is always worth considering in both cash games and GPP’s. The Nationals are a team most people will look to avoid. This, along with the other starting pitcher options, will make Jake deGrom much less owned than usual. He has continued 2018 right where he left off last season as a dominant strikeout pitcher with immense upside.

James Paxton (SEA): $8,000 vs. HOU
The Mariners ace is coming off of a fantastic start, striking out 10 through six innings of work. The matchup will scare aware ownership, but the Astros have not been a team to fear to start this season. As a team, they own a 24.2% strikeout rate and .130 ISO. While there are hitters in this lineup who can be dangerous, as a team, the Astros can be picked on with good starting pitchers. Paxton is pitching at home in a very pitcher-friendly ballpark and is a great bargain at just $8,000.

Blake Snell (TB): $7,800 vs. TEX
The young lefty has had issues with his command his entire career. However, his stuff has never been in question as some of the most elite movement and deception. Snell had a great start last week in Chicago against the White Sox and will now take on the Texas Rangers at home. Tropicana Field is a great park to pitch in and the Rangers are a fairly weak hitting team. Ranked bottom 10 in ISO, wRC+, K%, .avg, and almost every hitting category, Snell is in a matchup for a great outcome. At just $7,800, the Rays starter could easily provide a 3X return on fantasy production.

Hitting Stacks

Chalk – High Owned Stacks

1.) Toronto Blue Jays
The team with the highest implied run total tonight, are the Toronto Blue Jays. After two rain-outs, the Jays are back home at Rogers Center in the dome. A very hitter-friendly ballpark with the dome closed, the Jays bats are in line for a big game. They will see Royals starter, Eric Skoglund. The 25-year-old southpaw has only made one start this season and lasted just 4.2 innings. The Jays will likely roll out nine righties (three switch-hitters) which give Skoglund a lot of issues. Load up the Jays with confidence, but be aware you won’t be the only one playing them.

2.) New York Mets
The Mets will see a lot of ownership tonight as they take on Jeremy Hellickson. In New York, the wind is blowing out at 19mph to right-center which will bode well for the power-hitting lefties. In 2017, Hellickson owned a .344 wOBA to lefties, giving up 17 home runs in 76 innings. The Mets will look to jump all over the Nationals starter and will prove to be a great stack this evening.

3.) Philadelphia Phillies 
The “new thing to do” in DFS is target left-handed hitters in Atlanta, against Julio Teheran. Owning a .355 wOBA to lefties to start the season, SunTrust Park is one of the best left-handed hitting ballparks in the MLB. They decided to lower the right-field wall (most likely for franchise player Freddie Freeman) which has translated into a ton of home runs. The Phillies can start their lineup with four of the first five hitters on the left side which should make for plenty of fireworks in Atlanta.

Low Owned Stacks

Oakland Athletics 
The A’s are a powerful team with plenty of pop in the lineup. The weather looks great in Oakland and should lend to a great hitting environment against a very raw, Reynaldo Lopez. Lopez is off to a great start with 11 K’s and just one earned run through 13 innings of work. A lot of people will want to roster the 24-year-old, which makes an A’s stack a great leverage move. He doesn’t have a lot of MLB experience and I am willing to take a bet that he makes a couple of mistakes against some powerful hitters. The White Sox also have one of the worst bullpen group in the MLB making this a much more intriguing stack.

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Chicago Cubs
The Cubs host division rival St. Louis Cardinals tonight and will see the veteran starter, Adam Wainwright. The long-time Cardinals ace has relied on fewer strikeouts and more groundballs to get batters out. The Cubs are a team who struggle more with strikeout pitchers but have big power bats who can make pitchers pay when they pitch to contact. The Cubs have a 4.46 implied run total, but as we know, Chicago can put up runs easier than any other team.

Position-by-position

Catcher
Willson Contreras $4,100 vs. STL
Yasmani Grandal $3,700 @ SD
Russell Martin $3,200 vs. KC
Francisco Cervelli $3,100

First Base
Justin Smoak $4,800 vs. KC
Joey Votto $4,500 @ MIL
Cody Bellinger $4,400 @ SD
Carlos Santana $4,200 @ ATL
Matt Olson $4,000 vs. CWS

Second Base
Cesar Hernandez $4,100 @ ATL
Javier Baez $3,900 vs. STL
Kike Hernandez $3,900 @ SD
Jedd Lowrie $3,700 vs. CWS
Yangervis Solarte $3,600 vs. KC

Third Base 
Kris Bryant $5,500 vs. STL
Matt Chapman $4,200 vs. CWS
Todd Frazier $4,000 vs. WAS
Scott Kingery $3,900 @ ATL
Matt Duffy $3,200 vs. TEX

Shortstop 
Corey Seager $4,400 @ SD
Addison Russell $3,700 vs. STL
Aledmys Diaz $3,100 vs. KC
Marcus Semien $3,000 vs. CWS
J.P. Crawford $2,900 @ ATL

Outfield 
Rhys Hoskins $5,400 @ ATL
Yasiel Puig $4,800 @ SD
Yoenis Cespedes $4,600 vs. WAS
Michael Conforto $4,600 vs. WAS
Kyle Schwarber $4,500 vs. STL
Ian Happ $4,300 vs. STL
Starling Marte $4,300 vs. COL
Khris Davis $4,200 vs. CWS
Jay Bruce $4,100 vs. WAS
Odubel Herrera $3,900 @ ATL
Randal Grichuk $3,500 vs. KC
Ben Zobrist $3,500 vs. STL
Steve Pearce $3,100 vs. KC

 

 

 

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Jeremy Maw

Jeremy first experienced the fantasy sports industry at a young age co-managing an NFL team with his dad. Understanding that Priest Holmes could bring so much joy by leaping over an offensive and defensive line for a score, football became so much more. For 15 years, Jeremy has experienced managing fantasy sports teams across all professional sports leagues. More recently, daily fantasy sports has peaked an interest in both playing and analyzing. For the past five years, Jeremy has successfully profited by researching key components of a specific player in a given day to predict an outcome. Specializing in NHL and MLB, Jeremy also spends a great deal of time analyzing NFL and PGA. Now, following his true passion, Jeremy shares his research and analysis.

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