MLB DFS Pitcher Chart & Lineup Advice – 6/26/2017
Last Updated: 6/25/2017 –Â 8:21 PM CT
The pitcher chart is located under my top plays!Â
Top Plays
Chris Sale
Sale is the top pitcher on Monday’s slate and is priced at $12,900 on DraftKings. He’s locked in as my cash game SP1. The Twins strike out only 19.9% of the time, but do have two players who strike out more than 32% of the time. Sale has strikeouts built in, and is tied for the lowest OTT on the slate. He’s also the largest favorite on the slate.
Jeff Samardzija
Samardzija will face a Rockies team taking a big park hit traveling to AT&T Park. The Rockies strike out 23.9% of the time on the road and have the second worst wRC+ against righties on the season. Samardzija is tied for the lowest OTT on the slate and is priced reasonably at $8,400. I’m considering Samardzija as my SP2 in cash games, and will definitely have tournament exposure.
German Marquez
Marquez is one of the “safest” pitchers on the slate. At $7,500 on DraftKings, only three pitchers are cheaper than Marquez. He has scored double-digit DK points in every start this season except one, including multiple games in Coors Field. He averages 16.4 DK points per game on the road and gets a huge park upgrade in this matchup. The Giants are the worst offense in the league against righties with a 78 wRC+. There isn’t much upside in this matchup since the Giants have a low strikeout rate, but as an SP2 in cash games, Marquez is one of the safer options.
Gary Sanchez/Aaron Judge/Yankees Righties
The Yankees will face David Holmberg in Guaranteed Rate Field. They have the highest team run total and many of the power bats will have the platoon advantage. If you can afford Aaron Judge and Gary Sanchez, they are the top two bats on the slate. Paying for Sale makes it difficult to fit them unless some value opens up when lineups come out. Matt Holiday is a fantastic play at first base for $4,300, and if Starlin Castro is in the lineup, he’ll be one to consider at second base for just $3,800.
Cody Bellinger/Dodgers Lefties
Cody Bellinger has been on another level this season. I’m not convinced he’s worth the price in cash games, but I’ll have plenty of tournament exposure. Bellinger and the Dodgers will face Ricky Nolasco in Dodger Stadium. They have a team run total of five, and many of the Dodgers best hitters will have the platoon advantage. The issues is the Dodgers bats are priced up, and may be out of consideration for cash games. I like Yasmani Grandal as a solid catching option if you can’t afford Gary Sanchez. Joc Pederson is always one of my favorite tournament options, and if he’s batting near the top of the order, you can consider him for cash games as well. Corey Seager has been dealing with a hamstring injury, but if he’s in the lineup, he’s another solid tournament play.
Notes
If you fade Sale in tournaments, consider slotting in a Twins home run hitter like Brian Dozier or Miguel Sano to maximize the upside of fading Sale.
The pitching chart will be updated often. Make sure to check back for the newest information, especially if a column is currently incomplete!
| Pitcher | Team | L/R | $Line | OTT | K | +/- | K% | IP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Pivetta | PHI | R | +202 | 5 | 4.5 | -0.5 | 25.1 | 5 |
| Z. Greinke | ARI | R | -221 | 3.5 | 6.5 | 3 | 28.7 | 6 2/3 |
| E. Butler | CHC | R | +131 | 5 | 3 | -2 | 15.1 | 5 |
| G. Gonzalez | WAS | L | -142 | 4.5 | 6.5 | 2 | 22.3 | 6 2/3 |
| G. Marquez | COL | R | +115 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 20.7 | 6 1/3 |
| J. Samardzija | SFG | R | -125 | 3.5 | 6.5 | 3 | 27.7 | 7 |
| C. Hamels | TEX | L | +150 | 4.5 | 5 | 0.5 | 11.5 | 5 1/3 |
| C. Carrasco | CLE | R | -163 | 3.5 | 6.5 | 3 | 26.1 | 6 1/3 |
| J. Berrios | MIN | R | +182 | 4.5 | 5 | 0.5 | 25.2 | 5 2/3 |
| C. Sale | BOS | L | -199 | 3.5 | 10 | 6.5 | 35.1 | 7 1/3 |
| J. Montgomery | NYY | L | -151 | 4.5 | 6 | 1.5 | 22.7 | 6 |
| D. Holmberg | CHW | L | +139 | 5.5 | 3 | -2.5 | 15.6 | 5 |
| R. Nolasco | LAA | R | +183 | 5 | 4 | -1 | 19.4 | 4 2/3 |
| R. Hill | LAD | L | -200 | 3.5 | 6 | 2.5 | 24 | 6 |
| B. Finnegan | CIN | L | +135 | 4.5 | 5 | 0.5 | 31.8 | 5 |
| M. Wacha | STL | R | -146 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 21.4 | 5 2/3 |
Key
L/R = Lefty or Righty
$Line = Money Line
OTT = Opposing team’s run total
K = Projected Strikeouts
+/- = OTT-K
K% = Strikeout Percentage
IP = Innings Projection
Many factors can change between the time I write this article and the time lineups lock. I’ll do my best to update the article, so checking back frequently is encouraged. You can also ask questions on Twitter @fantasbeast15. I’ll do my best to get to all of them!
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