MLB DFS Pitcher Chart & Lineup Advice – 6/30/2017
Last Updated: 6/30/2017 –Â 9:32 AM CT
The pitcher chart is located under my top plays!Â
Top Plays
Alex Wood
Wood will face the Padres in Petco Park. He’s the second largest favorite on the slate and is tied for the lowest OTT. The Padres have the highest strikeout percentage in the league and the fifth highest strikeout percentage against lefties. They also have the lowest wRC+ in the league against lefties. Wood is an elite pitcher, and we need to start treating him that way. The only knock on Wood is the Dodgers are managing his pitch count. He hasn’t thrown over 98 pitches in any matchup this year. Even with a lower pitch count, Wood is my SP1 on DraftKings on Friday.
Jacob deGrom
DeGrom is another solid option against the Phillies in Citi Field. The Phillies take a park hit and have the sixth highest strikeout percentage against righties. They also have the third lowest wRC+ against righties. DeGrom is pitching well, recording at least 31 DK points in his last three starts while going eight or more innings in each of those starts. He’s the most expensive pitcher on the slate, and you can definitely make the case for deGrom over Wood as your SP1. I’ll save the $800 and go with Wood, but both are fantastic options.
Lance McCullers
McCullers is priced way too cheap at $8,800, even against the Yankees. The Yankees rank second in wRC+ against righties and are in the middle of the league in strikeout percentage. With Sartlin Castro and Matt Holiday on the DL, the Yankees have been forced to do some funny things with their lineup, making McCullers a better option than many will realize. He’ll have the platoon advantage against Aaron Judge and Gary Sanchez and is the third largest favorite on the slate behind deGrom and Wood. McCullers is my favorite tournament option, and I’m more than willing to use him as my SP2 in cash games.
Giancarlo Stanton/Marlins
The Marlins will face Matt Garza in Marlins Park. I love playing Stanton when the opposing pitcher has a low strikeout rate because when Stanton puts the ball in play, good things happen. Garza’s strikeout rate is 17.1% this season and he’s projected for fewer than four strikeouts. Combine that with a below average Brewers bullpen and I like a lot of Marlins today. Stanton is the top option from the team due to his power upside, but Marcel Ozuna is another option in cash games due to his cheap price. Justin Bour and Christian Yelich are fringe cash game options, and solid tournament plays. Dee Gordon is too expensive for cash games, but could be the final spot in a potent Marlins tournament stack.
Anthony Rizzo
Rizzo will take on Scott Feldman in Great American Ball Park. It’s a great ball park for power and Rizzo is in a spot to drive in some runs. Feldman has been solid this season, but’s still an exploitable matchup for Rizzo. Rizzo doesn’t strike out much so he should put four/five baseballs in play. The Cubs have a team run total of 4.5, and I think that is low. I love Rizzo for tournaments, and I’m debating between him and Justin Bour in cash games.
Notes
Robbie Ray averages 18.9 DK points per game at home and 29.6 DK points per game on the road. Even though the Rockies are a team I like to target on the road against lefties, Ray remains a GPP only play for me. I’ll have some exposure in tournaments, but will avoid him in cash games.
Eric Thames is showing up as a great value, but he hasn’t been good for awhile. Before May 11, Thames had a .333 batting average, 13 home runs, a 21.6% strikeout percentage and a .479 wOBA. Since May 11, he has a .162 batting average, seven home runs, a 32.7% strikeout rate and a .296 wOBA. I’ll keep throwing him out in some tournaments, but will avoid in cash games.
The pitching chart will be updated often. Make sure to check back for the newest information, especially if a column is currently incomplete!
| Pitcher | Team | L/R | $Line | OTT | K | +/- | K% | IP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Cueto | SFG | R | +110 | 4 | -4 | 21.8 | ||
| G. Cole | PIT | R | -119 | 4 | -4 | 19.7 | ||
| B. Lively | PHI | R | +219 | 4.5 | -4.5 | 8.1 | ||
| J. deGrom | NYM | R | -240 | 3 | -3 | 27.8 | ||
| M. Montgomery | CHC | L | -115 | 4.5 | -4.5 | 19 | ||
| S. Feldman | CIN | R | +106 | 4.5 | -4.5 | 19.2 | ||
| E. Volquez | MIA | R | -101 | 4.5 | -4.5 | 21.4 | ||
| M. Garza | MIL | R | -107 | 5 | -5 | 17.3 | ||
| T. Roark | WAS | R | +115 | 4.5 | -4.5 | 18.9 | ||
| M. Leake | STL | R | -125 | 4.5 | -4.5 | 17.2 | ||
| J. Gray | COL | R | +132 | 4.5 | -4.5 | 17 | ||
| R. Ray | ARI | L | -143 | 4 | -4 | 30.9 | ||
| A. Wood | LAD | L | -205 | 3 | -3 | 29.8 | ||
| C. Richard | SDP | L | +188 | 4.5 | -4.5 | 16.6 | ||
| J. Faria | TBR | R | -126 | 4.5 | -4.5 | 28.2 | ||
| C. Tillman | BAL | R | +116 | 5.5 | -5.5 | 13.8 | ||
| D. Fister | BOS | R | +132 | 5 | -5 | 24 | ||
| M. Estrada | TOR | R | -143 | 4.5 | -4.5 | 25.6 | ||
| J. Tomlin | CLE | R | -108 | 4.5 | -4.5 | 17.3 | ||
| A. Sanchez | DET | R | -100 | 5 | -5 | 17.5 | ||
| M. Pineda | NYY | R | +161 | 4 | -4 | 24 | ||
| L. McCullers | HOU | R | -175 | 3.5 | -3.5 | 29.4 | ||
| A. Bibens-Dirkx | TEX | R | -119 | 4.5 | -4.5 | 14.4 | ||
| M. Pelfrey | CHW | R | +110 | 5 | -5 | 15 | ||
| E. Santana | MIN | R | +109 | 4 | -4 | 19.1 | ||
| J. Vargas | KCR | L | -118 | 4 | -4 | 18.5 | ||
| S. Gaviglio | SEA | R | -103 | 4 | -4 | 15.1 | ||
| P. Bridwell | LAA | R | -105 | 4.5 | -4.5 | 13.8 | ||
| M. Foltynewicz | ATL | R | +147 | 4.5 | -4.5 | 19.6 | ||
| S. Gray | OAK | R | -160 | 3.5 | -3.5 | 23.6 |
Key
L/R = Lefty or Righty
$Line = Money Line
OTT = Opposing team’s run total
K = Projected Strikeouts
+/- = OTT-K
K% = Strikeout Percentage
IP = Innings Projection
Many factors can change between the time I write this article and the time lineups lock. I’ll do my best to update the article, so checking back frequently is encouraged. You can also ask questions on Twitter @fantasbeast15. I’ll do my best to get to all of them!
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