MLB DFS Pitcher Chart & Lineup Advice – 7/14/2017
Last Updated: 7/14/2017 –Â 8:54 AM CT
The pitcher chart is located under my top plays!Â
Top Plays
Jacob deGrom
DeGrom will face the Rockies in Citi Field. The Rockies take a huge park hit from their home ballpark, and deGrom has the lowest OTT (see pitcher chart) on the slate. They have the 8th highest strikeout percentage against righties and the lowest wRC+. This is a solid matchup for deGrom and he’s priced reasonably at $11,800 on DraftKings. He makes a strong case for your SP1 in both cash games and tournaments.
Carlos Carrasco
Carrasco is the highest priced pitcher on DraftKings on Friday and makes for a great tournament play. The Athletics strike out 25.4% of the time against righties, second highest in the league. The park suppresses strikeouts and the A’s have the 9th highest wRC+ against righties, making Carrasco a bit risky for cash games, but the upside is there for tournaments. He should come in at lower ownership than deGrom.
Clayton Richard
Richard will face the Giants in Petco Park. The Giants don’t strike out often against lefties, but rank just 24th in wRC+. When looking Richard’s matchup against Johnny Cueto, I expected Cueto to be a big favorite, but Vegas seems to think the matchup will be much closer. Richard costs just $6,700 on DraftKings, allowing you to fit in quite a few quality bats. I’m not sure Richard has enough upside for tournaments as he’s recorded three or fewer strikeouts in four straight starts, but if he can reach 15 DK points on Friday, he’ll be a viable SP2 in cash games.
Robinson Cano/Kyle Seager/Nelson Cruz
The Mariners will face James Shields in Guaranteed Rate Field. Shields has given up 2.48 HR/9 so far this year after giving up 1.47 and 1.98 HR/9 the previous two seasons. Cano ($4,200)Â and Seager ($3,300)Â will both have the platoon advantage and are significantly underpriced. Cruz ($4,500)Â is priced appropriately, but I still like him in one of my outfield spots in tournaments, and may consider him in cash games as well.
Bryce Harper
Harper faces Tim Adleman in Great American Ball Park. This is one of the matchups where you’ll be disappointed if Harper doesn’t hit one out of the park. Harper has the highest home run projection on the slate, and Adleman has given up 2.04 HR/9 this season. The Nationals have the second highest team run total, so Harper should be in a good spot to score and drive in runs as well. He’s priced up, but not too high where I can’t fit him into my lineups.
Corey Dickerson
It seems like just a few weeks ago, we were paying almost $5,000 for Dickerson. He’s now priced at just $3,500 on DraftKings. I realize that he was cold before the break, but it’s hard to pass him up for the price against Ricky Nolasco. I’ll have tournament exposure to Dickerson as a value outfielder, and will consider him for cash games as well due to his underlying talent and his cheap price.
Notes
The pitching chart will be updated often. Make sure to check back for the newest information, especially if a column is currently incomplete!
| Pitcher | Team | L/R | $Line | OTT | K | +/- | K% | IP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Leake | STL | R | 102 | 4 | 3.5 | -0.5 | 16.7 | 5 2/3 |
| G. Cole | PIT | R | -110 | 4 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 20.6 | 6 1/3 |
| G. Gonzalez | WAS | L | -136 | 4.5 | 6 | 1.5 | 23.5 | 6 1/3 |
| T. Adleman | CIN | R | 126 | 5 | 3.5 | -1.5 | 21.6 | 4 2/3 |
| B. McCarthy | LAD | R | -119 | 4 | 3.5 | -0.5 | 18.5 | 5 |
| D. Straily | MIA | R | 110 | 4.5 | 6 | 1.5 | 23.5 | 5 2/3 |
| J. Gray | COL | R | 126 | 4 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 22.6 | 5 2/3 |
| J. deGrom | NYM | R | -136 | 3.5 | 9 | 5.5 | 28.4 | 7 1/3 |
| T. Walker | ARI | R | -115 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 0 | 20.2 | 5 2/3 |
| R. Dickey | ATL | R | 106 | 4.5 | 3.5 | -1 | 15.4 | 5 |
| N. Pivetta | PHI | R | 145 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 24.5 | 4 2/3 |
| Z. Davies | MIL | R | -157 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 14.7 | 5 2/3 |
| J. Cueto | SFG | R | -108 | 3.5 | 5.5 | 2 | 20.3 | 7 1/3 |
| C. Richard | SDP | L | -100 | 4 | 3.5 | -0.5 | 15.9 | 6 1/3 |
| J. Montgomery | NYY | L | 4 | 0.5 | 22.4 | 5 | ||
| D. Pomeranz | BOS | L | 6 | 2 | 25.5 | 6 1/3 | ||
| A. Sanchez | TOR | R | 107 | 4.5 | 3.5 | -1 | 15.1 | 5 |
| J. Verlander | DET | R | -116 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 6 |
| J. Berrios | MIN | R | 161 | 5 | 4.5 | -0.5 | 23.7 | 5 1/3 |
| C. Morton | HOU | R | -175 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 24.9 | 5 2/3 |
| J. Paxton | SEA | L | -160 | 4 | 6.5 | 2.5 | 27.2 | 6 1/3 |
| J. Shields | CHW | R | 147 | 5.5 | 3.5 | -2 | 18.4 | 4 2/3 |
| M. Perez | TEX | L | 108 | 4.5 | 3.5 | -1 | 16.2 | 5 2/3 |
| J. Hammel | KCR | R | -117 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 0 | 17.9 | 5 |
| C. Carrasco | CLE | R | -135 | 3.5 | 7 | 3.5 | 27.5 | 6 1/3 |
| S. Gray | OAK | R | 125 | 4.5 | 5.5 | 1 | 22.8 | 6 2/3 |
| J. Faria | TBR | R | -114 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 24.3 | 5 2/3 |
| R. Nolasco | LAA | R | 105 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 19.5 | 5 1/3 |
| M. Montgomery | CHC | L | -104 | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 | 19.6 | 5 1/3 |
| K. Gausman | BAL | R | -104 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 18.4 | 5 2/3 |
Key
L/R = Lefty or Righty
$Line = Money Line
OTT = Opposing team’s run total
K = Projected Strikeouts
+/- = OTT-K
K% = Strikeout Percentage
IP = Innings Projection
Many factors can change between the time I write this article and the time lineups lock. I’ll do my best to update the article, so checking back frequently is encouraged. You can also ask questions on Twitter @fantasbeast15. I’ll do my best to get to all of them!
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