Hello everyone, and welcome to Fantasy Buy/Sell. I’m your host, Dan Turner. This will be my first article here at Goingfor2.com, and my hope is that we can form a great partnership and I can be a small part in helping you become Fantasy Overlord of whatever league you are in. Let’s get started.
The purpose of the Buy/Sell article is to let you know what player on a team you should grab who might exceed his value, or buy low. Conversely, we will also look at players who are being overrated, and you should sell off for more useful pieces for your team, or sell high. Today we will be looking at Philadelphia Eagles Running Backs.
Buy Low: RB Corey Clement
Coming in as an undrafted rookie in 2017, there was a question if Clement would even make the Eagles roster, much less make a fantasy impact. Newly signed LeGarrette Blount, Darren Sproles, and Wendell Smallwood were all ahead of him on the depth chart. Fast forward to the end of 2017, and he became the first rookie RB to eclipse 100 yards receiving in a Super Bowl.
LeGarrette Blount was signed by the Lions in the offseason, and his 173 carries went with him. Jay Ajayi is projected to lead the Eagles in attempts, and the return of Darren Sproles has put a damper on Clement’s value. Looking deeper, the potential is there for him to have a top 30 season at RB in PPR.
His performance in critical late games last year could be an indication of future production. That, along with his improvement in pass protection, should garner the trust of the coaching staff. He is also garnering goal-line work in camp, a trait that should have been associated with Ajayi. It is my belief that he takes more of the workload in Philly, both rushing and receiving and is well on his way to outpacing his ADP by a considerable amount in 2018. Look for him to add onto his goal-line work as well.
Sell High: Jay Ajayi
Jay Ajayi is earmarked to pick up lead back duties in Philly after the departure of Blount. As such, he is being taken in the 40s in ADP, making him around a 4th round pick in 12 team drafts. Taking him at this stage means you are counting on him to at the very least give you RB2 production. You can use this information to your advantage.
Taking into consideration that LeGarrette Blount has left the team, there will be a natural uptick in production for Ajayi, but it won’t be as high as people think. Blount was slowly phased out of the offense after Ajayi came at the trade deadline, but his numbers weren’t all that great. Ajayi averaged 10 carries and 2 targets a game in his time in Philadelphia. Even with that uptick, those are not numbers that can win you games.
Meanwhile, Corey Clement has been getting rave reviews for his goal-line work and receiving chops. Ajayi should be getting the goal-line work and is not. The Eagles offense is built to throw to the RB. Ajayi does not catch the ball. Putting all these facts together, you should recognize that Ajayi will not be returning value, and trade him or pass on him in the early rounds of your upcoming draft.
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