Welcome back to our game by game segment on points to take in before games start today in Major League Baseball. This feature will run on a semi regular basis for the remainder of the 2018 MLB season.
Lets dig into a few games where we can find an edge to put our money in the right places.
Always remember that odds will come directly from Bovada/Bodog. References today are at 11 a.m., Wednesday, August 8 2018. Depending on when bets are placed their will be slight movements on run lines.
All bets will be made using 100$
Boston Red Sox (Brian Johnson/L) at Toronto Blue Jays (Mike Hauschild/R)
The run line is at 9.5 for combined runs. This seems to be fair as this game has the potential to be a high scoring game. This will be the second of the three game series in Toronto. The Sox continue to be the hottest team in baseball and seem to be not letting up at all. They should fair very well in the very hitter friendly confines at the Rogers Center.
Lefty Brian Johnson has mostly had an up and down type year, he goes into this one with a 2-3 record and a 3.74 ERA. In his most recent start last Thursday vs. the New York Yankees he allowed five runs in five innings in a 15-7 victory. Even though Johnson was touched up he still managed to punch out 11 batters.
In five career appearances against the Jays, Johnson is 1-1 with a 7.47 ERA.
Rookie pitcher Mike Haushild will get his first official start for the Jays. He was very effective in his last outing pitching in six innings of shutout ball. This was a bullpen day and wasn’t an official start, but Haushild will get a totally different animal with the Red Sox who are completely tearing the cover off the baseball.
Lets go with over run total.
9.5 game run total-over (-110)
$100 bet/ $90.91 return
Even though the Jays are struggling to find victories more times then not this season, I still like them to get to Johnson. The Jays should be able to finish the game with right around 5 runs. The over will be the play based mostly based on how well the Red Sox are playing. If you feel like “double dipping” your chip pairing the over with a Red Sox win is a good play as well.
Minnesota Twins (Jake Odorizzi/R) at Cleveland Indians (Mike Clevinger/R)
The Cleveland Indians don’t get as much notoriety as other powerhouses such as the Red Sox,Houston Astros, L.A. Dodgers or New York Yankees,but they continue to be one of the more consistent forces for scoring runs this season. Clevinger hasn’t been as dominant as others such as teammates, Corey Kluber, and Trevor Bauer but has been very solid, he comes into tonight’s action with a very respectable 7-7 record and 3.48 ERA.
Jake Odorizzi for the Twins has played admirably up to date for a loosing ball club. He carries a 4.60 ERA with 4 wins, and 11 losses.
The Twins are a nasty 9-24 in their last 33 road games.
The Indians are a very impressive 54-18 in last 72 games vs the weak AL Central.
At home vs losing teams, the Tribe are 41-11.
Even though the Twins tend to play the Indians very tough, siding with Cleveland seems like a very logical and smart play. A side bet to take the Indians on the over is a nice play too but Odorizzi has decent matchup numbers versus this lineup.
Cleveland WIN (money line) (-200)
$100 bet- $50 return
San Diego Padres (Brett Kennedy/ R) at Milwaukee Brewers (Jhoulys Chacin/ R)
Twenty four year old Brett Kennedy will make his major league debut in this one for the Friars. He will be filling in a rotation spot that was vacated by the departure of Tyson Ross who was shipped off to the St.Louis Cardinals via waivers.
The Brewers have more to play for then the 45-70 Padres. The lineup of the Milwaukee Brewers was much improved after acquiring third baseman Mike Moustakas and middle infielder Jonathan Schoop. Look for the bats to really come alive against this rookie in a very favourable matchup at home.
Milwaukee is 11-5 at home in the past 16 games.
Milwaukee is 7-3 in last 10 home games versus San Diego.
San Diego holds a brutal 16 wins in last 52 games played overall.
Chacin struggled in his last outing against the L.A.Dodgers in a 21-5 stomping, but this matchup at home to the lowly Padres should prove to be a much easier task.
Lets go with a Milwaukee win at home
Milwaukee WIN (money line) (-205)
$100 bet- $48.78 return
Good luck placing your wagers today! Join us in our next installment as we break down more games!
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