With just an eight-game slate tonight on DraftKings, getting a little contrarian will be the key to success in GPP’s. Figuring out ownership will be more key tonight than most. There is a lot of value available across the board, so paying up at certain spots is viable. Let’s dive into the slate and uncover some GPP options.
Pitchers
Carlos Carrasco (CLE): $10,700 @ CWS
Although he will come in as the highest owned pitcher, it is hard to fade Carrasco tonight. The Indians are a massive -238 favorite as they travel to Chicago to take on a terrible White Sox team. Chicago owns a 25.1% strikeout rate on the year with just a .243 AVG. Carrasco is having a slightly down year but has electric stuff and elite K upside. In the best matchup of the night, look to use the Indians starter as a foundation during lineup construction.
Sam Gaviglio (TOR): $7,300 @ TB
There are plenty of other ways to go at SP 2 tonight, which makes me think that Gaviglio will go way overlooked. I have watched a lot of Blue Jays games and Gaviglio looks incredible. Not much of a strikeout pitcher, but gets out and is extremely efficient. He has had some tough matchups this year already and will look to take advantage of a struggling Rays team. In the last week, the Rays own a .292 wOBA and 86 wRC+. In that time, they are walking at just 2.9% and striking out at 23.4%. The Jays starter is among the best when it comes to contact % and ground ball rate. This is a fantastic matchup for a sneaky good starting pitcher.
Hitting Stacks
Cleveland Indians
Owning the highest implied run total on the night, the Indians are in a great spot to put up a lot of runs. Vegas has set the line at 5.55 runs for the Tribe, as they are set to take on a struggling Lucas Giolito. They will garner quite a bit of ownership, but all Indians are in play tonight to score against a bad starting pitcher and bullpen.
San Francisco Giants
The Giants will take on the Miami Marlins this evening in a game they should win handily. Wei-yin Chen owns a .392 wOBA against, with a 2.05 HR/9, 1.78 WHIP and 50% FB rate. In addition, the Marlins bullpen is one to target as well. They have pitched 50 innings in the last seven days, with a 4.41 SIERA, and just an 18.1% K rate.
Position-by-position
Catcher
Buster Posey
Willson Contreras
John Ryan Murphy
Yadier Molina
First Base Paul Goldschmidt
Edwin Encarnacion
Jose Martinez
Yonder Alonso
Second Base Javier Baez
Alen Hanson
Erik Gonzalez
Third Base
Jose Ramirez
Kris Bryant
Jake Lamb
Yairo Munoz
Evan Longoria
Shortstop
Manny Machado
Francisco Lindor
Jean Segura
Brandon Crawford
Outfield
Mike Trout
Andrew Benintendi
J.D. Martinez
Michael Brantley
Tommy Pham
David Peralta
Andrew McCutchen
Harrison Bader
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