This Tuesday night has 12 games scheduled in the MLB. There are plenty of pitching options, however, a lot more intriguing hitters to pay up for. Clayton Kershaw has the highest price tag at $12,000 but will likely be on another strict pitch limit.
Coors field is very much in play, with two sub-par pitchers taking the mound. In order to pay up for the stud hitters, paying down at SP 1 and 2 will not only be the “chalk strategy”, but the wisest.
The Rockies and Giants have the highest implied run total on the evening, but there are plenty of other great offenses to pivot to at much lower ownership. Let’s dive into this slate and take a look at some of the best GPP options tonight.
Shane Bieber (CLE): $9,600 @ KC
The Indians rookie is battling it out with teammate Adam Plutko for the final starter position in this deadly rotation. With injuries, the two have had a lengthy audition for this role and will continue to battle it out. Bieber has looked fantastic in three of his four starts owning a 26.2% K rate. Now traveling to Kansas City, the 23-year-old will not only get a positive park shift but will also face one of the worst offenses in the MLB. The $9,600 price tag is extremely inflated which will keep most people off him. However, he has proven that he can score over 30 DraftKings points and this is shaping up to be a ceiling game for the youngster.
Marco Estrada (TOR): $7,400 vs. NYM
It is always unsettling to roster a flyball pitcher in a hitter-friendly ballpark. Expecting a home run or two is very likely. The Blue Jays starter can easily pay-off value tonight though in a great matchup. Jay Bruce and Todd Frazier are the only two hitters in this lineup who have significant at-bats against Estrada, who could give him issues. Otherwise, the change-up specialist should be able to take care of this weak lineup with the incredible deception he possesses.
Colorado Rockies / San Francisco Giants
What might be lost on some people is just how good of a hitters ballpark Coors Field is, outside of home runs. The outfield is massive. This leads to a lot of extra-base hits. In addition, the outfielders need to play deep in the field for respect of the ball traveling a long way. Thus, a lot of loopers over the heads of the infield will also drop for easy base hits which would normally be caught in other ballparks.
The Rockies have a huge 6.08 implied run total in a game projected to see 12 runs scored. This will not be lost on anyone playing DFS tonight. The bigger question is if this game can be faded? In cash games, not a chance.
Chris Stratton and Antonio Senzatela both have neutral splits, making everyone in both lineups in play.
There is not a lot of value on either side, but do not be surprised if this is the highest scoring game.
Another team with an implied run total over six are the Astros, in Arlington. The temperature is supposed to rise above 100 tonight which is great for hitters. Austin Bibens-Dirkx will take the mound for Texas and try to shut down the 55-31 Houston Astros. The Rangers starter is giving up a 45.8% hard-contact rate and struggling a lot more to right-handed hitters. The Astros have one of the deadliest lineups in the MLB and should be able to create a lot of offense this evening. They are the one team who we can look at as a pivot off the highly owned Rockies/Giants game.
Although Giolito has put together a few solid outings, the White Sox starter is still someone we need to look at to target hitters with. Giolito owns a very high 5.42 BB/9 which will leave plenty of opportunities for hitters to drive in runs. Lefties hit Giolito harder to a tune of a .397 wOBA and the Reds have some big power-hitting lefties. Joey Votto, Scott Schebler, Tucker Barnhart, Scooter Gennett, and Jesse Winker are all worth a look tonight in a game where the Reds should score some runs.
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