In-depth analysis of the starting pitchers on Monday, August 13, 2018 (8/13) MAIN SLATE to help you build winning cash game and tournament lineups on Draftkings and FanDuel.
TOP PLAYS
This is kind of a weird slate for pitching. A lot of the top guys are overpriced based on their matchups and/or their recent performance. Jacob Degrom is facing the Yankees in Yankee Stadium. Could he have a good game? Absolutely, but I’m not sure I want to spend 12.3 to find out. Clayton Kershaw and Madison Bumgarner have seen their respective k rates decline sharply this year, yet they are still priced as if they are still elite k pitchers. I’ll pass. Zach Greinke is facing a Rangers team in TEX, in which its likely to have the best hitting conditions on the slate, combined with the fact that the Rangers have a 215 iso vs right-handed pitching over the past month. Again, I’ll pass. Now let’s get to my favorite plays.
Luis Severino (NYY) vs NYM: 11.8DK, 10.3FD
Luis gets to face a Mets team that simply isn’t good. Over the past month, they have a 22% k rate and a very pedestrian 133 iso. He has a 28% k rate vs lefties and a 27% k rate vs righties.
Mike Clevinger (CLE) @ CIN: 9.2DK, 9.3FD
Mike is facing the Reds, who, since the all-star break have a very unimpressive 113 iso vs right-handed pitching along with a 22% k rate. Mike has a 21% k rate vs lefties and a 28% k rate vs righties.
Reynaldo Lopez (CWS) @ DET: 6.3DK, 6.3FD
Reynaldo has quietly been having a pretty good season. He is very good at limiting hard contact to both sides of the plate. And now he gets to face a Tigers team that has a 25% k rate and 128 iso vs righties over the past month. I’m confident that he will easily pay off this price tag, and I would even consider him as an SP2 in Cash Games. I am also considering using him as my FD Cash Pitcher.
VALUE/PUNT OPTION
Sean Reid-Foley (TOR) @ KC: 4.4DK, 5.5FD
Sean is making his MLB debut and is rated as Toronto’s 7th best prospect. This year in AA and AAA he has shown us a 28% k rate and a 13% swinging strike rate. He has been able to limit the walks with his 8% BB rate, and he has a very solid 1.15 whip in AAA this year. He gets to face the Royals who I’m definitely not scared of. He is a min priced top prospect with above average k stuff… Sign me up.
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