1Week 13 Lineup Review

Week 13 was not a great week for my DraftKings lineup. I scored just 113 points, and five of my nine players were ice cold.

What worked: I said in my article that Jamaal Williams was a lock if both Ty Montgomery and Aaron Jones were out. On Sunday, Jones was declared active, likely forcing many players to pivot. I did not pivot off of Williams as it seems like the Packers were comfortable with Williams getting the majority of the work. My projections dropped Williams to a 75% snap share, which dropped his projection slightly, but not enough to force me off of him in cash games. Williams finished with 23 total touches on 87% of the snaps. Kenyan Drake was another value running back who succeeded due to high volume. He recorded 26 touches and finished at more than 5x value. Finally, my defense was solid forcing three turnovers, three sacks and a defensive touchdown.

What didn’t work: My cash game quarterback decision came down to Trevor Siemian and Brett Hundley. I went with Siemian because I had Davante Adams as a receiver and could soak up some of Hundley’s production through Adams as well as Jamaal Williams. Siemian and the entire Broncos offense flopped, creating a huge hole at my quarterback position. Carlos Hyde saw just 67% this week giving up 13 touches to Matt Breida. This was a surprise as Hyde had played 75+% in three straight games and 90% of the snaps the week before. When Ameer Abdullah was ruled out, I considered pivoting from Hyde to Theo Riddick and paying up at QB or TE. I ended up making the switch in leagues, but did not change my cash game lineup. At wide receiver, I was high on both Davante Adams and Mike Evans with a potential shootout in Green Bay. Instead, both teams pounded the ball on the ground (54 total pass attempts vs. 63 total rushing attempts), killing the clock and avoiding their top receivers. Finally, Jared Cook was a major bust against the Giants. He recorded just one catch while Clive Walford, the backup tight end, finished with 4 catches and 57 receiving yards.

Overall, I cashed in just 33% of my cash games and none of my double-ups. Let’s hope week 14 turns out better than my week 13 lineup decisions.