NFL DFS DraftKings Cash Game Lineup – Week 6 (Main Slate – 13 Games 10/16/16)

Each week, I’ll create a cash game lineup for DraftKings. Since this is usually posted on Wednesday, the cash game lineups may change slightly by Sunday.

 

In cash games, you should always look for each player to reach at least 3x value.

DraftKings Points/(Player Salary/1000) = Value

Example: If Carson Wentz has a $5,000 salary and scored 15 DraftKings (DK) points, Wentz would reach 3x value based on the formula below.

15 DK Points/($5,000/1,000) = 3x Value

 

I will also present a 3x stat line. The 3x stat line is not a projection, but a hypothetical stat line that would allow the player to reach three times his value. When creating your own cash game lineup, choose players who you believe can reach the 3x stat line. If you look at a player and don’t think he can reach the 3x stat line, consider choosing a different option in your own lineup.

Week 5 Lineup Review

Our week 5 lineup did not do as well as I had hoped. Four players scored single-digit fantasy points as Jarvis Landry only received three targets after a long string of 10 targets per game. Jerick McKinnon also recorded 21 touches and only scored 5.6 DK points. If you followed me on Twitter, after Antonio Gates was active, I pivoted off of Hunter Henry to DeAndre Washington. It didn’t work out, but I believe the process was correct. Better weeks are ahead.

See last week’s lineup below.

week-5

NFL DFS DraftKings Cash Game Lineup – Week 6

QBCam Newton at (NO) – $8,100

Cam Newton is amazing by himself, but when he has the benefit of a quality matchup (the Saints are 26th against the pass) he’s an even better play. Additionally, Cam has produced crazy numbers against the Saints over the past two season. While it’s a small sample, the table below shows how dominant Cam has been at New Orleans over the past few years. Unless we hear Cam won’t run due to concern about his concussion, plug Cam into your lineup. cam

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3x stat line: 275 Passing Yards, 1 Passing TD, 33 rushing yards, 1 rushing TD = 24.3 DK Points

RBLe’Veon Bell at (MIA) – $7,900

I’ve played Bell in my cash games each week he’s been active this year, and it has paid off. He hasn’t scored yet, but his opportunities (38 rushing attempts and 17 targets) over the past two weeks have made up for it. He gets a Dolphins defense who is 18th against the run (all defensive ranks based on Football Outsiders DVOA) and has given up 131.4 rushing yards per game to opposing running backs this year. Lock Bell into every cash game lineup.

3x stat line: 19 carries, 87 rushing yards, 5 catches 40 receiving yards, 1 total TD = 23.7 DK Points

RBLeSean McCoy vs. (SF) – $6,900

Let’s start by saying the 49ers have given up at least 100 yards to a running back in four straight games. That includes a game to Fozzy Whittaker. This gives McCoy a decent floor without even addressing receptions and potential touchdowns. The Bills are favored by nine, are at home, and have a team total of 26.5, so there should be plenty of scoring opportunities for McCoy this week. To top it all off, the 49ers continue to play at the fastest pace this year, leading to more opportunities overall for McCoy and the Bills’ offense.

3x stat line: 16 carries, 87 rushing yards, 3 catches, 30 receiving yards, 1 total TD = 20.7 DK Points

WRCameron Meredith vs. (JAX) – $4,100

I’m worried I may be chasing points here, but Meredith played 95% of the offensive snaps last week (Football Outsiders) and saw 12 targets. There is a chance the Bears try to feed Alshon Jeffery with a few more targets, but it seems more likely Hoyer will continue to lean on the “secondary” wide receiver and Meredith will see enough targets to return value.

3x stat line: 6 catches, 63 receiving yards = 12.3 DK Points

WRTavon Austin at (DET) – $3,900

Austin’s seen 9.2 targets per game this season, and the Rams use him in many ways. He has nine carries this season and has been used in the return game. There is a chance Austin doesn’t produce with his volume, but there is almost no chance Austin doesn’t have opportunities to score fantasy points.

3x stat line: 5 catches, 47 receiving yards, 2 carries, 20 yards = 11.7 DK Points

WRSammie Coates at (MIA) – $4,700

Sammy Coates has at least one reception of 41+ yards in every game this season. He does not have good hands (four drops this season), but it only takes a play or two for Coates to reach value. This type of boom/bust player is not one I usually choose in cash games, but this week we need to find value with upside and Coates fits that criteria.

3x stat line: 5 catches, 91 receiving yards = 14.1 DK Points

TECoby Fleener vs. (CAR) – $3,500

Carolina is 29th against tight ends this season. Fleener averages seven targets per game and this game has an over/under of 53 points. I’m expecting a shootout, and there is no better place to attack the Panthers than with the tight end position.

3x stat line: 5 catches, 55 receiving yards = 10.5 DK Points 

FLEXDeMarco Murray vs. (CLE) – $7,700

Murray has averaged 24.5 DK points per game so far this year. He averages 4.8 receptions per game, and is third in receptions by running backs. In a game where the Titans should lead (favored by 7.5), Murray should be in line for plenty of carries. Additionally, the Browns defense is 22nd against the run.

3x stat line: 19 carries, 99 rushing yards, 4 catches 32 receiving yards, 1 total TD = 23.1 DK Points

D/ST – New England Patriots vs. (CIN) – $3,200

The Patriots are at home, are favored by eight, and the Bengals have a team total of fewer than 20 points. The Patriots defense averages 9.7 DK points per game at home this season, and should be one of the safer cash game targets this week.

3x stat line: 14-20 points against, 3 sacks, 3 turnovers = 10 DK Points (3.1x) 

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