NFL DFS DraftKings Cash Game Lineup – Week 9 (Main Slate – 10 Games (11/5/2017)

Each week, I’ll post my cash game picks for DraftKings. Since this is usually posted earlier in the week, some picks may change slightly by Sunday. Follow me on Twitter @fantasybeast15 for updates!

In cash games, you should always look for each player to reach at least 3x value.

DraftKings Points/(Player Salary/1000) = Value

Example: If Carson Wentz has a $5,000 salary and scored 15 DraftKings (DK) points, Wentz would reach 3x value based on the formula below.

15 DK Points/($5,000/1,000) = 3x Value

I will also present a 3x stat line. The 3x stat line is not a projection, but a hypothetical stat line that would allow the player to reach three times his value. When creating your own cash game lineup, choose players who you believe can reach the 3x stat line. If you look at a player and don’t think he can reach the 3x stat line, consider choosing a different option in your own lineup.

Week 8 Lineup Review

My week 8 lineup was interesting, with two big performances leading the way. I saw Andy Dalton and Mark Ingram as the only locks on the slate. McCoy, Ezekiel Elliott and A.J. Green were near locks, but I couldn’t fit all three. My 2v2 was LeSean McCoy and Jack Doyle vs. Ezekiel Elliott and Tyler Kroft. After looking into targets, Doyle became the clear play, as he had almost twice as many targets as Kroft through the first seven weeks. This put me on to McCoy by default. I thought DeSean Jackson was one of the most underpriced players on the entire slate, and because of this, I stuck with him even though the windy conditions probably should have pushed me off of the passing game in Tampa Bay. Finally, Josh Doctson fit as a solid value play, and even in bad weather, I couldn’t find an option I was more comfortable with for under $4,000.

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NFL DFS DraftKings Cash Game Lineup – Week 9

QB – Dak Prescott vs. (KC) – $6,700

With Ezekiel Elliott out, Prescott may be asked to do a bit more for the Cowboys offense. The Chiefs rank just 20th against the pass, and Prescott has one of the highest floors of all quarterbacks each week. The Cowboys top target, Dez Bryant, has a plus matchup, giving another reason to like Prescott. At a reasonable price, Prescott is my preferred cash game option this week.

3x stat line: 250 passing yards, 2 passing touchdowns, 21 rushing yards = 20.1 DK Points

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RB – Lamar Miller vs. (IND) – $6,200

Deshaun Watson tore his ACL in practice this week, and we don’t have a current line on this game. The Texans were favored by almost two touchdowns, leading to a very positive game script for Miller. I expect the Texans to remain favorites and they may have to lean on the run a bit more. The Colts have yielded 22+ PPR points to opposing backfields in five of their past six games, with those backfields averaging 29.68 PPR points per game. Obviously Miller won’t garner all the Texans touches, but he did play a season-high 87% of the snaps last week.

3x stat line: 17 carries, 76 rushing yards, 3 catches, 20 yards, 1 total touchdown = 18.6 DK Points

RB – Mark Ingram vs. (TB) – $7,600

Ingram has been a staple in my cash games over the past few weeks. He’s scored in three straight weeks and has eight red-zone rush attempts as well as five attempts from inside the five during that stretch. Averaging 26.67 touches per game since Adrian Peterson was traded, Ingram’s high volume creates a high floor even if he doesn’t score. The Saints are favored by a touchdown and have an implied team total of 28.75 points, showing strong potential for a positive game script and scoring opportunities for Ingram.

3x stat line: 17 carries, 89 rushing yards, 4 catches, 39 receiving yards, 1 total touchdown = 22.8 DK Points

WR – Michael Thomas vs. (TB) – $7,200

Thomas is another fantastic play from the Saints. The Buccaneers rank 31st against the pass, 27th against WR1s and have surrendered the most PPR points to opposing wide receivers this season. Thomas has eight targets in every game except one this season, showing a high target floor. His volume and matchup seem too good to pass up for $7,200.

3x stat line: 7 catches, 86 receiving yards, 1 receiving touchdown = 21.6 DK Points

WR – Dez Bryant vs. (KC) – $6,400

Bryant is underpriced on DraftKings once again. He’s had some tough matchups this season, keeping his fantasy point production and his price down. He makes a great stack with Prescott, and if the Cowboys are smart, he will have a plus matchup against Chiefs corner Kenneth Acker. The Chiefs corners stay on their sides, so the Cowboys should be able to scheme Bryant away from Marcus Peters. Again, I see the Cowboys leaning on the pass a bit more without Elliott in the lineup, and Bryant should be the main beneficiary.

3x stat line: 6 catches, 72 receiving yards, 1 total touchdown = 19.2 DK Points

WR – Devin Funchess vs. (ATL) – $5,400

With the departure of Kelvin Benjamin, Funchess will be the primary wide receiver on the Panthers. The Panthers offense is essentially Cam Newton’s rushing, Christian McCaffery (who almost made this article), and Funchess. Over his past six games, Funchess has averaged 8.3 targets per game so we can lock in roughly eight targets with upside for 10-12 now that Benjamin is gone.

3x stat line: 7 catches, 92 receiving yards = 16.2 DK Points

WR – Russell Shepard vs. (ATL) – $3,100

Another beneficiary of the Benjamin trade is Shepard. It’s unclear whether Shepard or Curtis Samuel will see the biggest boost off the bench, but Shepard played 46% of snaps last week while Samuel saw just 28%. I’ll give the edge to Shepard who is more of a true wide receiver. For $3,100 he doesn’t need much to pay off his salary, he opens up the rest of our lineup, and we can reasonably project him to see five or six targets.

3x stat line: 4 catches, 53 receiving yards = 9.3 DK Points

TE – Jack Doyle at (HOU) – $4,300

Doyle was in my cash game lineup last week, and he makes the article again for many of the same reason. He’s seeing incredible volume for tight ends at almost seven targets per game and 10.67 targets per game over his past three contests. The Texans have struggled against tight ends this year giving up 8/89/1 to Rob Gronkowski, 8/98/0 to Travis Kelce, and 4/39/2 to Jimmy Graham. Doyle isn’t as talented as those tight ends, but he is seeing similar target volume.

3x stat line: 6 catches, 69 receiving yards = 12.9 DK Points

 

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FantasyBeast15

Quick and accurate fantasy football & baseball advice! Ask questions on Twitter @fantasybeast15 Find content on my website: http://fantasybeast15.com Like my Facebook page: https://www.facebook.com/fantasybeast15

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