NFL DFS DraftKings Value Plays – Week 6 (10/16/16)

Finding value is all about exploiting favorable matchups and increased opportunities due to injury. This week is no different as I highlight some players who are underpriced for their matchup and a couple of receiving options that should see an increased volume of targets with the usual starter likely out this week. So with that onto the value plays for Week 6…

NFL DFS DraftKings Value Plays for Week 6

Quarterbacks

Tyrod Taylor (BUF) vs SF $5,300 (DailyFantasyNerd Value Play of the Day)

Taylor’s biggest asset this week might be his running ability, as I expect the Bills to run the ball a ton against the up-tempo 49ers. Taylor has a high floor this week at a cheap salary and has topped 15 DraftKings point in each of his last four games which should make him a lock to reach at least three times is salary this week.

Alex Smith (KC) @ OAK $5,700

Smith has a great matchup this week against the weak Raiders’ pass defense that has allowed an average of 338 yards and 2.4 TD per game this season. While Smith might not be able to reach those numbers, he has thrown for at least 2 TD passes in each of his last five games against the Raiders and will also contribute with some points with his running ability this week.

Running Backs

Carlos Hyde (SF) @ BUF $5,100

Hyde has reached the end zone three straight weeks and should be able to make it four this week against a Bills’ defense that has allowed six rushing touchdowns through the first five games of the season. The move to Colin Kaepernick at quarterback could also open up some more holes for Hyde due to his rushing ability.

Ryan Mathews (PHI) @ WAS $4,900

Mathews received the bulk of the carries for the Eagles last week and should get the same opportunity again this week against the Redskins. The Redskins have been shredded on the ground this season allowing 5.31 yards per carry to opposing RB and seven rushing touchdowns through their first five games. Mathews carries some risk to giving way to other Eagles’ running backs if he fumbles again, so I would limit exposure to him to GPP lineups.

Wide Receivers

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Terrance Williams (DAL) @ GB $3,800

If Dez Bryant misses another game this week, Williams will remain the top outside receiver to take advantage of the Packers’ secondary this week. Williams has scored at least 11 DraftKings points in each of the least three weeks with Bryant out and will face a defense that has allowed big games to outside number one receivers all season with Sam Shields out.

Kamar Aiken (BAL) @ NYG $3,000

Aiken a great value option this week if Steve Smith is unable to play. Last season in nine games when Smith didn’t play, Aiken has averaged 10 targets for six receptions and 76 yards and 0.33 TD per game. Priced at the minimum $3,000, if Aiken can match those numbers he will be well on his way to providing huge value at the WR position this week.

Tight Ends

Coby Fleener (NO) vs CAR $3,500

In an expected shootout in New Orleans, Fleener allows you to get exposure to the Saints passing game without spending much salary. Fleener has been up and down this season but did grab seven balls for 109 yards and one score in the Saints previous home game and he will face a Panthers’ defense that has allowed four touchdowns and an average of 60 yards to opposing TE through their first five games.

CJ Fiedorowicz (HOU) vs IND $2,500

With the Texans’ starting TE Ryan Griffin in the NFL’s concussion protocol, Fiedorowicz should jump into the receiving TE role for the Texans this week. Fiedorowicz was targeted eight times last week after Griffin left the game and hauled in four catches for 61 yards which followed up on the previous week where he had four catches for 48 yards and a touchdown. Fiedorowicz has a lot of upside this week for a player priced at the minimum salary of $2,500.

Defense

Texans (HOU) vs IND $2,900

The Texans are without JJ Watt but are still in a good spot to have fantasy success this week as a home favorite against a Colts’ team that has already been sacked 20 times through the first five games this season.

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Brad Richter

Growing up, I was always intrigued with stats, from the back of baseball, football and basketball cards to playing dice rolling simulation games, while tracking the stats for the players on my team. My fantasy sports obsession began in college running fantasy football leagues with friends and has expanded into playing in both fantasy baseball and fantasy basketball leagues, and most recently Daily Fantasy Sports. I consider myself a “stats guy” by nature and lean on data to back up my advice and analysis of strategy techniques and player evaluations. That said, I have also always felt that sometimes you must go with a gut instinct based on things you have seen watching players play, even when the numbers don’t back it up. I feel that it is this mix of analysis that leads to the most successful formula when competing in fantasy sports.

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