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I know this is a Value Plays article but I really like this lineup for a GPP despite coming in $6,700 under the salary cap. Now, I’m sure I won’t play it exactly like this but look to use it as a starting point and then swap in a top flite defense and kicker to go along with 1-2 studs upgrades at other positions and we might have something here.

The intent is not to play this exact lineup as it will come in well below the Salary Cap but to use the players as a baseline of value options which can then be upgraded to a better player with a higher salary at a few of the positions.

So onto the value plays for Week 9…

The LootCrate FanDuel Value Plays for Week 9

Quarterbacks

Jay Cutler (MIA) vs OAK $6,700
Cutler will return to the field after missing last week and walks into a great situation to have his best game of the season (I know that is not saying much) against a Raiders’ pass defense that ranks 32nd DVOA according to FootballOutsiders. The Raiders’ secondary will also be without one of their better DBs, David Amerson. Cutler will also get WR Devante Parker back (more on him later) and could look to pass more often after trading RB Jay Ajayi.

Running Backs

Adrian Peterson (ARI) @ SF $6,800
The Cardinals should focus more attention on their running game with Carson Palmer out and Drew Stanton under center. Peterson showed that he can still put up a big game with his 134-yard, 2 TD performance a couple weeks back. He gets a juicy matchup against a 49ers’ defense that has allowed 113 rushing yards (29th) and 0.75 rushing TDs (26th) per game to opposing RBs.

DeMarco Murray (TEN) vs BAL $6,400
My recommendation of Murray is a little bit more of a hunch than one that is backed up by a bunch of stats. Murray should be the healthiest he has been all season coming off a bye week and the Titans face a funnel defense in the Ravens that shut down opposing passing games but serves up big yardage to the running game, which fits right into the Titans’ mentality. Look for Murray to top 20 carries for the first time this season and do some damage against a Ravens’ run defense that has allowed 133.6 rushing yards (32nd) and 0.8 rushing TDs (26th) over the last five weeks to opposing RBs. Maybe there were some stats to back it up after all.

Wide Receivers

nfl fanduel value picks week 9 2017Amari Cooper (OAK) @ MIA $6,900
The Raiders have been airing it out the last couple of weeks averaging over 50 pass attempts per game while Cooper has received a total of 29 targets. Both Cooper and Michael Crabtree should get a lot of action again on Sunday night when they face a Dolphins’ defense that has been good against the run (3rd DVOA rank) and poor against the pass (28th DVOA rank). Cooper is a little be cheaper and has more big play upside so I’ll roll with him.

DeVante Parker (MIA) vs OAK $6,100
Parker is expected to return to the Dolphins’ lineup after missing three games with an ankle injury. He should give the Dolphins’ passing game a boost after averaging nine targets for six receptions and 76 yards during the first three games of the season. I already told you that the Raiders are down a DB and the Dolphins will likely need to put some points on the board to keep up with the Raiders.

Sammy Watkins (LAR) @ NYG $6,000
So maybe the DeMarco Murray wasn’t a gut call after all but this one definitely is. Watkins has done very little this season outside of one game against the 49ers in Week 3. However, he has been saddled with a lot of tough CB matchups this season and will finally get a break this week with the Giants’ top DB Janoris Jenkins suspended this week. Look for the Rams to find ways to get Watkins more involved this week coming off their bye.

Tight Ends

Vernon Davis (WAS) @ SEA $5,400
Davis will need to step up into a bigger role for the Redskins’ passing game this week with Jordan Reed already ruled out and Jamison Crowder questionable to play. The Redskins will have a hard time moving the ball on the outside with their lack of WRs and a tough Seahawks pass defense so more targets should be headed Davis’ way making him a great value at TE.

Kicker

Cody Parkey (MIA) vs OAK $4,500
Finding min-priced kickers is difficult these days with the way FanDuel is pricing them. However, Parkey could be a solid option this week as a Sunday night hammer play at min-price. The matchup with the Raiders is expected to be fairly high-scoring and the Raiders have allowed the most field goals (2.88 per game) to opposing teams.

Defense

Saints (NO) vs TB $4,500
The Saints defense has been one of the bigger surprises this season having allowed 17 or fewer points in four of their last five games while producing the 7th most sacks (3 per game) and 5th most takeaways (2 per game) over the last five weeks. They face a Bucs’ team that has QB Jameis Winston playing through an injured shoulder and will be at home as a touchdown favorite.

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Growing up, I was always intrigued with stats, from the back of baseball, football and basketball cards to playing dice rolling simulation games, while tracking the stats for the players on my team. My fantasy sports obsession began in college running fantasy football leagues with friends and has expanded into playing in both fantasy baseball and fantasy basketball leagues, and most recently Daily Fantasy Sports. I consider myself a “stats guy” by nature and lean on data to back up my advice and analysis of strategy techniques and player evaluations. That said, I have also always felt that sometimes you must go with a gut instinct based on things you have seen watching players play, even when the numbers don’t back it up. I feel that it is this mix of analysis that leads to the most successful formula when competing in fantasy sports.

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