Swing for the Fences: DFS HR Predictions for FanDuel and DraftKings (4/28)

Trea Turner sure had himself a day on Tuesday, glad I didn’t completely fade the Nationals in Coors. I got a request to include some cheap pitching options that could be used to help “complete” a lineup using the HR hitters listed so I will start to include a few cheap options for FanDuel and DraftKings respectively that you can consider when filling out your lineup of HR bashers.

Prices included for FanDuel and DraftKings to help find where the best value may be and positions are based on FanDuel.

So with that here is who will be swinging for the fences today…

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C – Yasmani Grandal (LAD) (FanDuel: $2,900 / DraftKings: $3,200) – Grandal at home versus a righty. Lock and load! He hit 17 of his 27 homers with a .376 ISO at home versus righties last season and already has one this season.

1B – Freddie Freeman (ATL) (FanDuel: $4,300 / DraftKings: $4,800) – Freeman already has seven homers this season and gets a favorable park adjustment in Milwaukee.

2B – Jonathan Villar (MIL) (FanDuel: $3,400 / DraftKings: $4,400) – Villar will face Bartolo Colon who allowed 1.72 HR/9 to lefties last season and 1.38 HR/9 so far this year while Villar has hit all three of his homers off right-handers this season.

SS – Corey Seager (LAD) (FanDuel: $3,500 / DraftKings: $4,300) – Seager is riding a five-game hitting streak with homers in back-to-back games.

3B – Nolan Arenado (COL) (FanDuel: $4,400 / DraftKings: $5,000) – Arenado might not be playing at Coors Field tonight but he is playing in the next best thing in Arizona against a lefty.

OF – Mike Trout (LAA) (FanDuel: $5,000 / DraftKings: $5,600) – Not that you need a reason to play Trout but he gets a positive park adjustment going to Texas and is 3-for-8 with a double and homer off Martinez who allows a lot of contact with just a 12.6% strikeout rate.

OF – Giancarlo Stanton (MIA) (FanDuel: $4,100 / DraftKings: $4,500) – Stanton has four homers and a double in his last six games and will face Jameson Taillon who has allowed 1.24 HR/9 to righties in his brief career.

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OF – Corey Dickerson (TB) (FanDuel: $3,100 / DraftKings: $3,200) – Dickerson had a .264 ISO against righties last season, gets a positive park adjustment in Toronto and is 5-for-17 with two doubles and a homer off righty Marcus Stroman.

Longshot – C.J. Cron (LAA) (FanDuel: $2,300 / DraftKings: $4,200) – Cron had a .353 wOBA and .201 ISO against righties last season and is 4-for-8 with a double and homer off Nick Martinez. Might need to use him over Freeman to make an FD lineup work.

Cheap pitching options
FanDuel – Charlie Morton ($6,300), Kyle Gibson ($5,600)
DraftKings – Adam Conley ($6,300), Robbie Ray ($8,200), Charlie Morton ($6,900)

Tuesday, April 25 –  Results

Date Pos Name HR FD Pts
25-Apr C Jason Castro 0 12.7
25-Apr 1B Chris Davis 0 6.0
25-Apr 2B Brian Dozier 0 9.5
25-Apr SS Trea Turner 1 67.3
25-Apr 3B Travis Shaw 0 9.0
25-Apr OF Giancarlo Stanton NA NA
25-Apr OF Khris Davis 0 3.0
25-Apr OF Yasmany Tomas 0 12.5
25-Apr Longshot Tommy Joseph NA NA

 

Season Results

Pos Picks HR HR Rate Avg FD Pts
C 6 0 0.0% 7.23
1B 7 1 14.3% 11.51
2B 7 1 14.3% 11.39
SS 6 3 50.0% 24.63
3B 6 1 16.7% 9.93
OF 20 7 35.0% 14.16
Longshot 5 1 20.0% 9.98
Total 57 14 24.6% 13.05

 

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