Hope everyone had a good 4th of July weekend! I return today with some home run predictions for tonight’s eight-game slate. Looks like a good night for the long ball with numerous home run prone pitchers on the hill and some hitter-friendly ballparks.
Note that I have started adding the FanDuel and DraftKings prices for each player listed. Also, note that positions listed are based on FanDuel.
So with that here is who will be swinging for the fences today…
C – Evan Gattis (HOU) (FanDuel: $2,500 / DraftKings: $3,000) – Gattis has hit four of his home runs at home against lefties this season with a .289 ISO and will face Mariners’ lefty Wade LeBlanc in Houston.
1B – Jose Abreu (CHW) (FanDuel: $2,900 / DraftKings: $3,400) – Abreu has hit nine of his 11 homers against righties this season and has a better ISO and wOBA against righties in his career. He will face Yankees’ righty Michael Pineda who has allowed 1.75 HR/9 to righties this season.
2B – Brett Lawrie (CHW) (FanDuel: $2,500 / DraftKings: $3,700) – Lawrie is another righty bat facing off against home run prone Pineda tonight. Lawrie has taken Pineda deep once in five career at-bats and his hit 10 of his 11 homers against righties this season. It could be a good night to stack some White Sox bats.
SS – Xander Bogaerts (BOS) (FanDuel: $3,400 / DraftKings: $4,900) – Bogaerts hasn’t homered since June 18 but has hit the ball hard over his last three games and will face Rangers lefty Martin Perez who has allowed four homers over his last three starts.
3B – Evan Longoria (TB) (FanDuel: $3,400 / DraftKings: $3,800) – Longoria has a .249 ISO and has hit 16 of his 18 homers against righties this season. He will get a favorable matchup against the Angels’ right Jered Weaver who has allowed 1.90 HR/9 this season.
OF – Mookie Betts (BOS) (FanDuel: $4,000 / DraftKings: $5,500) – Betts has homered in two of his last four games and has collected 11 hits over his last five games. Betts has four homers in just 37 plate appearances against lefties at home this season and will face lefty Martin Perez who has allowed all 10 of his homers to righties this season.
OF – Mike Trout (LAA) (FanDuel: $4,100 / DraftKings: $5,400) – Trout got a day off yesterday so he should be ready to go tonight against Rays lefty Drew Smyly who has allowed 1.77 HR/9 to righties and seven multiple homer games over his 16 starts this season.
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OF – Matt Holliday (STL) (FanDuel: $2,800 / DraftKings: $4,200) – Holliday will face Pirates lefty Jon Niese who has struggled with the long ball this season allowing 19 home runs this season including 1.96 HR/9 to righties while Holliday has a .256 ISO against lefties.
Longshot – Brett Wallace (SD) (FanDuel: $2,100 / DraftKings: $3,400) – Wallace has 13 extra-base hits including five homers against righties this season for a .176 ISO. He should get the start against home run prone righty Shelby Miller who has allowed 1.82 HR/9 to lefties with the game playing in hitter-friendly Arizona.
Friday, July 1 – Results
| Pos | Name | HR | FD Pts |
| C | James McCann | 0 | 12.2 |
| 1B | Kendrys Morales | 1 | 22.2 |
| 2B | Brian Dozier | 0 | 6.2 |
| SS | Marcus Semien | 1 | 22.2 |
| 3B | Nick Castellanos | 0 | 15.5 |
| OF | Giancarlo Stanton | 0 | 3.0 |
| OF | Robbie Grossman | 0 | 3.0 |
| OF | Justin Upton | 0 | 3.0 |
| Longshot | Scott Van Slyke | DNP |
Season Results
| Pos | Picks | HR | HR Rate | Avg FD Pts |
| C | 16 | 6 | 37.5% | 14.65 |
| 1B | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 11.31 |
| 2B | 16 | 1 | 6.3% | 9.43 |
| SS | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 11.89 |
| 3B | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 14.50 |
| OF | 48 | 13 | 27.1% | 14.53 |
| Longshot | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 11.67 |
| Total | 137 | 34 | 24.8% | 13.07 |
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