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Sorry there was not a Swing for the Fences article last Friday as I took one last family trip before Summer ends. My selections from a week ago Tuesday were decent. While there was only one home run there were still five hitters that scored over 15 FanDuel points. Tuesday’s slate features 14 games of MLB action with a lot of wind blowing out which is good for our home run bombers. There are a lot of ways you can go when looking for home runs tonight but these are some of my favorite.

Prices included for FanDuel and DraftKings to help find where the best value may be and positions are based on FanDuel.

So with that here is who will be swinging for the fences today…

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C – Alex Avila (CHC) (FanDuel: $2,800 / DraftKings: $3,700) – You must get some exposure to the Cubs’ hitter today with a juicy matchup against Homer Bailey in Cincy. Avila has hit all 14 of his homers off righties this season with a .240 ISO.

1B – Chris Davis (BAL) (FanDuel: $3,400 / DraftKings: $4,200) – Davis has five hits over his last three games including a long ball and has a .249 ISO versus righties this season.

2B – Scooter Gennett (CIN) (FanDuel: $2,900 / DraftKings: $3,900) – Gennett is 10-for-27 (.370) with a homer off John Lackey in his career and has a .266 ISO versus righties this year.

SS – Zack Cozart (CIN) (FanDuel: $3,400 / DraftKings: $4,300) – Watch the starting lineups to make sure Cozart returns to the lineup. If he does he has had great success against Lackey going 7-for-20 with a pair of homers in his career. Potential pivots if Cozart is out include Marwin Gonzalez and Tim Beckham.

3B – Nolan Arenado (COL) (FanDuel: $4,100 / DraftKings: $4,900) – There are a lot of ways to go at 3B tonight (Machado, Bryant, Beltre) but I landed on Arenado even though he is out of Coors Field. He has a .351 ISO on the road versus lefties this season and will face Royals’ lefty Danny Duffy who has allowed 12 runs and four homers over his last three starts.

OF – Ryan Braun (MIL) (FanDuel: $4,000 / DraftKings: $4,200) – Braun does get a negative park adjustment going to San Francisco but he has crushed Jeff Samardzija in his career going 11-for-23 (.478) with three homers.

OF – JD Martinez (ARI) (FanDuel: $3,900 / DraftKings: $4,800) – Martinez and the D’Backs face Tommy Milone who has allowed 11 homers (10 to righties) in just 33 innings this season. Meanwhile, Martinez has mashed lefties this season with a .518 ISO.

OF – Kyle Schwarber (CHC) (FanDuel: $3,500 / DraftKings: $4,100) – Schwarber has a .257 ISO versus righties this season and will face right-hander Homer Bailey who has allowed 1.37 HR/9 to lefties this season (3.68 HR/9 at home).

Longshot – Kendrys Morales (TOR) (FanDuel: $2,400 / DraftKings: $2,500) – This Morales selection is all about BvP. For some reason, Morales has owned Chris Archer going 16-for-28 (.571) with six doubles and three homers off him in his career.

Cheap Pitching options
FanDuel – Jon Gray ($7,000), Ubaldo Jimenez ($6,900)
DraftKings – Jeff Samardzija ($8,600), Jon Gray ($8,000), Ubaldo Jimenez ($7,700), Danny Duffy ($7,600)

 

Tuesday, August 15 –  Results

Pos Name HR FD Pts
C Yasmani Grandal 0 9.2
1B Logan Morrison 0 15.2
2B Brian Dozier 0 0.0
3B Travis Shaw 0 15.4
SS Paul DeJong 0 9.5
OF Giancarlo Stanton 1 27.9
OF Justin Upton 0 6.0
OF Jay Bruce 0 27.4
Longshot Rougned Odor 0 15.2

 

Season Results

Pos Picks HR HR Rate Avg FD Pts
C 28 8 28.6% 12.28
1B 34 10 29.4% 12.49
2B 33 7 21.2% 11.01
SS 32 8 25.0% 13.83
3B 32 6 18.8% 10.23
OF 100 25 25.0% 12.64
Longshot 31 4 12.9% 11.12
Total 290 68 23.4% 12.10

If you have any suggestions or feedback for the article, follow me and hit me up on Twitter @Rotopilot

 

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Growing up, I was always intrigued with stats, from the back of baseball, football and basketball cards to playing dice rolling simulation games, while tracking the stats for the players on my team. My fantasy sports obsession began in college running fantasy football leagues with friends and has expanded into playing in both fantasy baseball and fantasy basketball leagues, and most recently Daily Fantasy Sports. I consider myself a “stats guy” by nature and lean on data to back up my advice and analysis of strategy techniques and player evaluations. That said, I have also always felt that sometimes you must go with a gut instinct based on things you have seen watching players play, even when the numbers don’t back it up. I feel that it is this mix of analysis that leads to the most successful formula when competing in fantasy sports.

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