The Game Plan For Week 10 (#FantasyFootball)

Fine readers of the Going For 2 fanbase my name is @TheBLeagueSays and I will give to you some plays to make in regards to your Fantasy teams weekly roster construction, DFS selections or Dynasty evaluations.

So before we get started, Thank you, and enjoy!

Slant Route

Los Angeles Rams’ Jared Goff throws during the first half of the NFL football NFC championship game against the New Orleans Saints, Sunday, Jan. 20, 2019, in New Orleans. (AP Photo/David J. Phillip)

Who is trending up this week?

The Rams are coming in from the Bye round on the back of a 2 game win streak and now get the lucky Steelers (who are also riding a 3 game win streak themselves) on the road this week. On top of that, Jalen Ramsey and co. have had more time to settle into their roles on their new team after the Rams made moves before the trade deadline a week or so ago.

The 5-3 Rams are 2 games off the second-placed team in the west in Seattle and need to keep their momentum going to get a playoff birth via the wild card at this point. And there’s no reason why this team can’t get going and find that form from last year that took them to the Superbowl, but they need to do it by getting that big win this week on the road, which is something they seem to find comfort in as 60% of their wins have been away from L.A.

But, momentum is a funny thing (and a lazy thing to write about, go figure), but it seems that the more Jared Goff throws, the worse his team is off. Where things get complicated in this matchup however is that the Pittsburgh defense has been fantastic, and the one-half weakness they have so far seems to be to the wide receivers (on a ppg basis). So on one hand, Jared Goff has somewhat struggled to throw the ball, and on the other hand that’s likely their best chance of racking up the points.

Fantasy is fun, isn’t it!

Flat Route

The bubble has burst on:

In a chasm, Larry Fitzgerald is on track for a 112-75-862-4 season and is currently the WR28 this year. This isn’t bad because in regards to his ADP when we drafted in September, that’s generally what you were drafting him to be.

The problem is his current form. 

Over the past month, Larry Fitzgerald is currently sitting as the WR68 (which if we are being honest, he is probably waiver wire fodder in 10 to 14 team leagues depending bench/roster size), and is currently behind guys like Allen Hurns, Tajae Sharpe and Marvin Hall in tota points. In this timeframe, his end of season numbers would look closer to a 75-52-508-0 season.

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Now in Week 6 (the start of this monthly periodical), Fitzgerald was good with 12.9 PPR points, however, his dip in form has come in the weeks that David Johnson has been absent (Weeks 7 to 9). David Johnson says he will be fine to play this week and if he does then you would be ok to start him this week on the road to Tampa, who has the third-best run defense in the league and going aerial is the way to go (most points per game to Wide Receivers, second-most to the Tight Ends). However, they also come up against former coaches Bruce Arians and Todd Bowles who might know a thing about stifling their old disciples. 

Their upcoming schedule doesn’t ease up until Cleveland in Week 15. If you haven’t already, it’s probably time to cut bait if a performance this week doesn’t stick.

Comeback Route

Who will recover after a poor performance in the previous week:

The Colts were an Adam Vinatieri kick away from icing the Steelers in a frustrating game to watch, as Jacoby Brissett hurt his MCL in the process of battle (let’s not pretend that this injury didn’t happen and that it can’t re-occur again if he happens to play this week). This meant we got the Brian Hoyer experience aka ‘sling it and hope someone catches it’. The Steelers caused turnovers in a seemingly undisciplined performance and kudos to them for getting the ‘W’.

So, after last weeks loss, the Colts now get the red hot (oh I know, I have jokes for days) Miami Dolphins who got their first win of the year against the Jets, but the Colts defense is normally solid and I believe they will cause the Dolphins and Ryan Fitzpatrick issues all day. I expect a quick return to the winner circle before seeing a relatively soft run in their schedule which includes Jacksonville, Houston, Tennessee, and Tampa. Currently sitting at 5-3, they have a chance to seal a wild card playoff position at least, provided that Jacoby Brissett is healthy and ready to go.

So this week, one of my favorite DFS stacks is with Jacoby Brissett at $6000 if he does play (Miami gives up 21.7 ppg to the Quarterback), Marlon Mack at $7000 (24.1 ppg to Running Backs), and Zach Pascal priced at $5300.

Screen Route

The contrarian play of the week:

With 6 teams on the Bye round, this week it’s somewhat hard to find a game that is hard to pick and say ‘expect the unexpected’ with… 

However…

The Bills have only put up over 30 points in a game once this year. And they are red-hot right now, and I am a fan of not only what they are doing but what they are visibly building over the past few seasons.

But if there was a trap game for them…

It may well be to the Cleveland Browns, who they go on the road to face this week.

Look if any team could, should and/or would get hot, then the talent for the Browns should be good enough to do the job – they clearly haven’t been – but when we look at a Head Coach who people have called for his head this week because he’s coaching scared (he has been) and a Quarterback people have now called overrated (he isn’t), I can expect maybe a response from this dejected unit.

My contrarian play of the week is the Browns who are somehow favorites (I don’t get it either, I’m surprised by this too) with the -2.5 and the O/U to hit above the projected 40 point mark.

I’m going to hide now…

Out Route

Who am I completely off this week:

I don’t want to be the team to face the Green Bay Packers who just had a 4 game win streak snapped. 

After complaints of complacency in their loss this past week…

In Wisconsin…

In the snow…

I’m going to pass on the Panthers in the win/loss column this week. Jump on the Packers who are currently -5.5 against the spread.

The 9 Route

A straight forward confidence play of the week:

Baltimore gets fresh meat after dethroning the Patriots on Monday night, who now see Rookie Quarterback Ryan Finley at division rival Cincinnati this week.

Again, the Bengals have been poor against the run, so Lamar Jackson and Mark Ingram are must starts as both crossed for scores the last time they met in Week 6. However, Jackson did not have a passing touchdown in that game. He did, however, find Mark Andrews for an 8-6-99 day. It is also worth noting that Willie Snead (3 receptions) was the only other player on the day with over 2 receptions.

Hail Mary Play For The Week

Tennessee’n is Tanne-believ’n:

Alliteration aside…

Kansas is not the great defending the run. And no one else has said anything about it at all this week (remember, I have jokes!). So because this is Going For 2, I’m going to give you two:

  • Derrick Henry will pop for 95 yards and two touchdowns on the floor.
  • The Titans will cover the spread (currently at +6.5, but expect it to move once Patrick Mahomes is cleared to play which in that case, still get on).

And there you have it!

I want to thank you for getting this far and taking in everything I have presented. You can as always follow and find me at @TheBLeagueSays and offer any view or conversation about this. Don’t forget to check out the #GF2 weekly rankings which you can find https://goingfor2.com/2019-fantasy-football-redraft-rankings-gf2-consensus/, and to subscribe, rate, review, and share and listen to The Armchair Fantasy Show podcast.

Let’s all get better together!

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@TheBLeagueSays

@TheBLeagueSays lives and thrives in the grey area of #FantasyFootball with the stance of 'we are all wrong, we just don't know it yet'. Take a light-hearted look into the world of someone who is clearly ok living fantasy purgatory. He also hosts the @GothamCity_SR podcast (The Gotham City Sports Radio Podcast) which you can listen to everywhere (and Subscribe and Download also). Enjoy!

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