Week 11 brings us some very intriguing matchups. Eagles at Saints, the Sunday nighter’;Vikings at Bears, and finally, Chiefs at Rams will be games that garner the most attention, as they should. As for DFS this week lets dissect what we know to help us make our lineup decisions.
David Johnson RB ARZ
This could be my favourite play of the year to date. Johnson had a breakout game last week with 37.3 points against an improving Kansas City Chiefs defense. If Johnson was able to play well in a game against an elite team think of the prospects this game brings. The Cards draw the lowly Oakland Raiders, at $7,500, how can you overlook Johnson? The Raiders have the 30th ranked rushing defense, allowing 141.0 yards per game. They are giving up 29.6 points per game, also 30th ranked. Not only is this a great matchup for Johnson but the recent change in offensive coordinator from Mike McCoy to Byron Leftwich has proved to help production. Since the change in Week 8 Johnson has averaged a robust 141.5 scrimmage yards per game. Comparatively Johnson averaged just 71.6 under McCoy. David Johnson is still an elite running back, and now appears to have better play calling on his side, it’s difficult to imagine Johnson not tearing up this weak defensive unit.
Kirk Cousins QB MIN
In one of the best games of the Week the Vikings will travel to the Windy City in a clash of two teams fighting for top seed in the NFC North. Cousins price tag is right where it should be at $5,600. He is a good quarterback on a really good team but the Bears are going to be trouble for Cousins. The fact that Cousins is very prone to a good pass rush with his fumbling issues and a few injuries to the offensive line, staying away here is the play. The Bears rank fourth overall in the NFL, allowing only 19.4 points per game. Cousins has accrued less then 20 points in five of nine games played this season.
Mark Ingram RB NO
This pick has the potential to garner great value. Ingram is priced at only $4,700 this week versus a struggling Philadelphia Eagles squad that has allowed a paltry 127.3 rush yards per game in their last four. During those games they have allowed a league high 6.4 yards per rush. Of course their is some interference in the way and it comes in the form of teammate Alvin Kamara. Upon further review however Ingram will still get plenty of opportunities. Here are some snap count totals for the two. Week 10:Kamara 34/ Ingram 31. Week 9:Kamara 41/ Ingram 34. Week 7: Kamara 39/ Ingram 35. Furthermore, since Ingram’s return in Week 5 the offensive opportunities have been fairly close. Here are some touch totals(courtesy of lineups.com): Week 5: 18-9 in favour of Ingram. Week 7:19-14 Kamara. Week 8: 20-16 Kamara. Week 9 : 23-10 Kamara. Week 10 : 16 each. The Saints will be without receivers Cameron Meredith and the recently signed Dez Bryant for the remainder of the year, they will now have to lean on what many believe is the best running back duo in the league. Mark Ingram should produce against an Eagles squad that is trending in the wrong direction.
Eric Ebron TE DET
Ebron has been a fascinating story this year. His production this season has been very touchdown dependent and clearly Andrew Luck’s favourite red zone target. However another one of Luck’s favourite targets, Jack Doyle, may get in the way of Ebron being a solid selection at tight end going forward. It seems like you will have to pick Ebron on a chance that he keeps turning limited targets into optimal point totals. Here are some stat lines with Doyle and Ebron active(Weeks’ 1/2/9/10):Doyle-10 targets, 60 yards, 0 TD/ 5 targets, 20 yards, 0 TD/ 7 targets, 50 yards, 1 TD/ 3 targets, 50 yards, 0 TD. Ebron– 5 targets, 51 yards, 1 TD/ 4 targets, 26 yards, 1 TD/ 3 targets, 37 yards, 1 TD/ 3 targets ,61 yards, 2TD, 1 rush TD. Doyle is clearly the player getting more opportunity with target totals in his favour for those weeks at 25 to 15. Ebron has been a fantastic boost to this offense but because of Doyle’s presence it seems like pivoting off here is the play. Keep monitoring Ebron’s production going forward, Doyle is now back in the lineup and healthy, it will be interesting if both can produce in this much improved offense.
Thanks for stopping in for another edition of Spade or Fade. Stay locked on goingfor2.com for all your Fantasy Football news and analysis. Good luck to one and all, enjoy the games and keep the conversations going!