Week 12 starts early this week with the Thanksgiving holiday in full swing Thursday with three servings of games. This weeks’ feature players will be from the Sunday-Monday slate of games.
Matt Breida RB SF
This is all about price savings and the matchup. The Buccaneers are obviously putrid on defense more so through the air, but over their last five contests have been gashed on the ground as well. Going from Week 11 to Week 7 they are giving up an average of 143 yards per game. Also to like is the fact that Breida appears to be healthy, he performed so well in Week 10 (Two touchdowns, team-leading 20 touches), and will be coming off extra rest with the Week 11 Bye. Brieda appears to be primed for another solid performance. At only $5,700(DraftKings) you won’t break the bank either.
Dion Lewis, Derick Henry and Marcus Mariota will be challenged to the max against the upstart Houston Texans Monday night. Lewis price tag is at $4,800 for a reason given the matchup and recent struggles. His target totals have dwindled down since Week 7: six, four, two and two most recently last week. This could be partially due to the fact that the Titans continue to roll out the often injured Mariota. Mariota is carrying the questionable tag in this one, he is playing with an injured neck, and according to sources, is still having trouble feeling his fingers(yikes). The Titans will not catch a break with the matchup either here. The Texans are simply rolling right now. For the season they are ranked eighth against the pass, and sixth versus the run. Henry and Lewis will continue to split carries, it appears that Henry is slowly improving and Lewis is slightly struggling. If we look at yards per carry from Week 9 until Week 11 Henry has the edge. 4.5/3.3, 5.3/2.9, 5.1/2.4. Given the nature of how the Titans like to use these backs fairly equally and the fact that Mariota is nowhere near 100% I find it difficult in rostering Lewis. Lewis is a duel threat back and is more likely to score higher totals then Henry, but we can’t ignore his receiving totals have taken a hit recently, and that Henry continues to slowly improve each week. Taking all of this into consideration, the fact still remains that the matchup against a top flight defense, which continues to climb up the ranks, will be just too much to handle.
Chris Carson RB SEA
The Seattle Seahawks have been battling all season long and at five wins and five losses are still well within striking distance of a Wild Card berth. They draw a tough matchup on the road in the form of the Carolina Panthers who rank 21st against the pass and eighth against the run. The Seahawks are moving the ball on the ground very well since Week 5, according to Next Gen Stats they are averaging a hefty 197 rush YPG. Overall for the entire season-to-date they are tops in the NFL at 154.3 YPG. (The Rams are second with 138.5 YPG). Chris Carson appears to be the lead back, he leads the team in snap counts over Mike Davis and Rashaad Penny in 4 of the last 5 games that he has been active. Carson bounced back nicely after missing Week 10 with a hip injury. (83 scrimmage yards along with a Touchdown versus Green Bay). Starting Carson, who is listed at only $4,600(DraftKings), will leave you plenty to load up at other positions. 10-15 FPTS is well within range even against this stout defense.
John Brown WR BAL
Recently Brown’s production has taken a hit, only one touchdown in his last six games. Brown, of course, started the season guns-a-blazing, three touchdowns in his first four games of the season. With the uncertainty of who will be the Week 12 quarterback versus the Oakland Raiders (As of early Thursday, Lamar Jackson is the front runner, Joe Flacco did not practice Wednesday due to a hip injury) it seems best that we Fade Brown here.UPDATE-Jackson to start at QB Sunday Flacco not being 100% right now and Jackson’s playing style are all factors that play into Brown’s production going forward. Going off of last Weeks showing(27 carries! for 117 yards rushing, but only 19 pass attempts/ 13 completions for 150 yards passing) Lamar Jackson is more than capable of doing some major heavy lifting for this offense. It is yet to be seen if Jackson will stretch the field with his arm which would play into Browns best asset, his speed downfield. (This matchup against a brutal defense could simply mean the Ravens continue to pound the run both with Jackson and running backs, Alex Collins and Gus Edwards). For right now, until we see a more from Jackson in the passing attack, it’s best we Fade here.
Thanks for stopping in for another edition of Spade or Fade. Stay locked on goingfor2.com for all your Fantasy Football news and analysis. Good luck to one and all, enjoy the games and let’s keep the conversations going!
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