2017 Fantasy Football Week 1 Buy Low/Sell High

Buy Low

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Quarterback

Kirk Cousins – There are quite a few QBs who I’d like to buy low this week. The problem is, many of them are big-name QBs and their owners may not be ready to let them go. Kirk Cousins is my top buy-low candidate because I think he’ll be the easiest to acquire. I still like Cousins as a top 8 QB this season, and he scored just 10.6 fantasy points in week one, making him an easy buy.

Also buy: Tom Brady, Russell Wilson

Running Back

Le’Veon Bell – Bell was the biggest disappointment to both DFS and season-long owners on Sunday. He scored 4.7 points in standard and 7.7 points in PPR leagues, his lowest total in PPR since October 13, 2013. Not only did Bell not produce, rookie James Connor took the lead on multiple series. This was all frustrating, but I’m not worried about Bell’s role or his production moving forward. With David Johnson on IR, Bell is the top fantasy option at the running back position. We need to remember Bell reported to the Steelers on September 1, so it’s possible he wasn’t ready for a full workload. He should resume a full workload and have better efficiency in the near future.

Also buy: Joe Mixon, Chris Carson, Bilal Powell

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Wide Receiver

Terrelle Pryor – Pryor started his season with six fantasy points in standard leagues. He caught six passes and drew 11 targets. His 11 targets ranked sixth in week one. I like the volume he received and many casual players will only look at his single-digit fantasy point total. He was Kirk Cousins’ top target in week one, and should continue to see high volume in future weeks.

Also buy: Alshon Jeffery, Jamison Crowder, Martavis Bryant, Julio Jones, A.J. Green

Tight End

Jimmy Graham – Graham received seven targets, but recorded just eight receiving yards. He failed to score a full point in standard leagues. While his fantasy production wasn’t there, he ranked seventh in targets to tight ends on Sunday, so his volume isn’t in question. There are better days ahead for Graham as the Seahawks offense struggled to move the ball. I expect the offense to improve and continue to feed Graham targets, especially near the end zone. I can almost guarantee the next time Graham sees seven targets, he’ll have more than 0.8 fantasy points.

Also buy: Rob Gronkowski, Greg Olsen

Sell High

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Quarterback

Alex Smith – While few owned Smith before this week, he is the most obvious sell high of the week if you picked him up. Although I believe the Chiefs will allow Smith to throw deeper this season than they have in years past, he set a career high in fantasy points and had his second-best game in terms of passing yards. I’ll sell Smith for anything I can get.

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Also sell: Matthew Stafford

Running Back

Todd Gurley – The Rams looked great in week one, and Gurley finished the week as the RB6 in PPR leagues. He was involved in the passing game, catching five balls for 56 yards. He even found the end zone, but Gurley is an obvious sell high. He was in a great situation where the Rams led and could run the ball for most of the game. According to Rotoworld’s Rich Hribar via NextGenStats, Gurley faced 8+ defenders in the box on only 10.5% of his carries, but managed a dismal 2.1 yards per carry. Gurley is a volume-based RB2 who should struggle in tough matchups. I’m selling wherever I can.

Also sell: Kareem Hunt

Wide Receiver

Tyreek Hill – Hill is a talented receiver and a solid WR2 this season. He finished week one behind only Antonio Brown in PPR wide receiver scoring. He caught seven of his eight targets and scored a 75 yard touchdown. We know he’s a splash play guy, but he was hyper-efficient in week one. I’m not giving Hill away after this performance, but I’d listen to offers to see if I can maximize his value in a trade.

Also sell: Kenny Golladay, Cooper Kupp, Nelson Agholor (all three are solid, but their current hype can get you more than they’re actually worth)

Tight End

Austin Hooper – I love Hooper as a talent and own him in literally all of my dynasty leagues, but he scored 20.8 fantasy points in PPR leagues on two targets. TWO. I need to see more volume before I feel comfortable starting him.

Also sell: Jesse James, Jason Witten

 

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