2018 Fantasy Football Week 7 Buy Low/Sell High #FantasyFootball

Buy Low

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Quarterback

Deshaun Watson – Watson was one of the most disappointing fantasy performers in Week 6. He finished with 5.3 fantasy points and the Texans needed a late pick-6 to beat the Bills. Prior to this game Watson had at least 310 passing yards in four straight games, and multiple passing touchdowns in three of those four. He also recorded at least 36 rushing yards in each of his first five games. Watson has some of the best receivers in the league to throw to, and I still expect him to finish the year as a top five fantasy quarterback. The buying window is open as Watson owners expected him to be produce at the level he did last year, similar to what Patrick Mahomes is doing now. There seems to be a buzz of frustration from Watson owners, and the lack of production against the Bills (who actually have a solid defense) might be enough for them to explore trades.

Running Back

Christian McCaffrey – You’ll have to pay up for McCaffrey if you want to acquire him via trade, but this may be the only buying opportunity you’ll have this year. Outside of one game where he saw 28 carries, McCaffrey is averaging just under 11 carries for 41.25 yards per game and has yet to score a rushing touchdown. In PPR, he’s held his value a bit better due to his eight targets per game. I still think McCaffrey is a high-end RB1, and he’s already had his bye week. If he starts scoring touchdowns, he’ll be an elite RB1. The only running backs I’d rather have right now are Todd Gurley, Melvin Gordon, Saquon Barkley, Alvin Kamara, and Ezekiel Elliott. Kareem Hunt is close, but I’d buy McCaffrey for any other running back.

Wide Receiver

Jarvis Landry – Landry saw nine targets in week six, and turned them into 3.1 PPR points. He finished with two catches for 11 yards in a game where the Browns played from behind. His fantasy production has been on a downward trend since Baker Mayfield took over as the Browns quarterback. He has PPR totals of 20.3, 13.4, 11.9 and 3.1 points. Over the next four weeks, the Browns have one of the best schedules in the NFL for fantasy points as they face Tampa Bay, Pittsburgh, Kansas City, and Atlanta. These all look like they will be high-scoring games and I expect the most talented Browns receiver to be heavily involved and to bounce back in a significant way.

Tight End

Greg Olsen – Olsen returned to the starting lineup and quietly scored 8.8 PPR points. This wasn’t enough points for Olsen owners to be excited about his return, but should be enough where we feel confident with Olsen as a TE1. He saw seven targets in this game, one behind both Devin Funchess and McCaffrey. It’s been a rough season for tight ends, so if I can get Olsen for a WR3 or RB3, it should pay off in the end as long as he stays healthy.

Sell High

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Quarterback

Dak Prescott – Prescott finished this game with 29.5 fantasy points, but threw for just 183 yards. He scored most of his fantasy points on the ground, recording a career high in rushing yards and scoring a rushing touchdown. With no weapons to throw to outside of Ezekiel Elliott, this looks like a classic fluke game. The Cowboys want to play defense and run the ball, shortening the game, giving them a good chance to win. This is great for real football, as it helps increase variance and allows bad offenses to win games, but it will continue to hurt Prescott’s fantasy production. Sell Prescott for anything more than a low-end QB2.

Running Back

Tarik Cohen – Cohen followed up a dominant week four performance with another solid 23.1 PPR point game in week six. Pending Monday Night Football, Cohen is RB6 this week. My issue with Cohen is the volume. He recorded only 12 touches, and only five carries. The catches definitely help Cohen remain a quality PPR option, but not the RB1 he’s been the past two weeks. I want at least 20 touches per week out of my RB1, and Cohen has reached that number just once this year, averaging 10.6 touches. I see Cohen as an RB2/Flex with a high ceiling and a low floor. I’m selling for any high-volume running back or receiver.

Wide Receiver

Albert Wison – Pending Monday Night Football, Wilson finished the week as the WR2. He caught two long touchdowns from Brock Osweiler finishing with 33 PPR points. It was encouraging to see nine targets go to Wilson, but he needs a big play to produce, and is no more than a WR3/Flex going forward.

Cole Beasley – Beasley also saw a boost in targets, as Prescott directed 11 throws his way leading to 31.1 PPR points. Through the first five weeks, Beasley had a total of 36.3 PPR points (7.26 per game). Beasley was able to beat the Jaguars defenders with his quickness, and was the only Cowboys receiver who could get open. Beasley caught 65% of Dak Prescott’s completions on Sunday, a clearly unsustainable number. Beasley is a WR4/Flex going forward.

Tyrell Williams – Williams is an even bigger sell because, unlike Wilson or Beasley, Williams did not see a high volume of targets. Williams caught three passes for two touchdowns on just four targets. He’s the fifth or sixth receiving option on the Chargers, making him a risky WR4/Flex going forward.

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