Swing for the Fences: DFS HR Predictions for FanDuel and DraftKings (5/30)
Introduction
Home runs are down this season so I guess I shouldn’t be surprised that the home run rate of my Swing for the Fences recommendations is also lower than last season. A little more Coors Field exposure on Wednesday night’s 10-game slate should help.
Prices included for FanDuel and DraftKings to help find where the best value may be and positions are based on FanDuel.
So with that here is who will be swinging for the fences today…
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Lineup
C – Chris Iannetta (COL) (FanDuel: $3,200 / DraftKings: $3,600)
1B – Ryon Healy (SEA) (FanDuel: $2,800 / DraftKings: $3,300) – Healy has a .324 ISO against lefties this year and will face Rangers left-hander Matt Moore.
2B – Jed Lowrie (OAK) (FanDuel: $3,300 / DraftKings: $4,100)
SS – Trevor Story (COL) (FanDuel: $4,400 / DraftKings: $4,800) – Story has a .673 wOBA and .724 ISO at home against lefties this season.
3B – Nolan Arenado (COL) (FanDuel: $5,400 / DraftKings: $5,400) – Arenado has a .541 wOBA and .357 ISO at home against southpaws this year.
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OF – Bryce Harper (WAS) (FanDuel: $5,300 / DraftKings: $5,700) – Harper has homered in two of his last three games and has a .355 ISO against righties this season.
OF – Nelson Cruz (SEA) (FanDuel: $3,200 / DraftKings: $4,400) – Cruz has gone deep in two of his last four games and has a .387 wOBA and .353 ISO at home against lefties this season.
OF – Gregory Polanco (PIT) (FanDuel: $3,000 / DraftKings: $3,900) – Polanco has a career .400 average with two homers in 25 career at-bats against Kyle Hendricks.
Longshot – Luis Valbuena (LAA) (FanDuel: $2,100 / DraftKings: $3,000) – Might be a day too late with this one after Valbuena hit two homers last night but I’m hoping he can keep it rolling against the home run prone righty Mike Fiers.
Cheap Pitching options
FanDuel – Joe Musgrove ($5,500)
DraftKings – Sean Manaea ($8,300), Ross Stripling ($7,300), Joe Musgrove ($6,900), Jose Urena ($6,300)
Results – Tuesday, May 29
| Pos | Name | HR | FD Pts |
| C | Nick Hundley | NA | NA |
| 1B | Ian Desmond | 0 | 18.9 |
| 2B | Ozzie Albies | 0 | 3.0 |
| 3B | Miguel Sano | 0 | 6.5 |
| SS | Carlos Correa | NA | NA |
| OF | J.D. Martinez | 0 | 15.5 |
| OF | Adam Jones | 0 | 12.5 |
| OF | Scott Schebler | 0 | 3.0 |
| Longshot | Robbie Grossman | 0 | 6.0 |
Overall Results
| Pos | Picks | HR | HR Rate | Avg FD Pts |
| C | 22 | 3 | 13.6% | 7.53 |
| 1B | 24 | 1 | 4.2% | 8.67 |
| 2B | 23 | 2 | 8.7% | 9.81 |
| SS | 23 | 4 | 17.4% | 11.55 |
| 3B | 23 | 7 | 30.4% | 16.39 |
| OF | 71 | 11 | 15.5% | 11.16 |
| Longshot | 25 | 7 | 28.0% | 11.89 |
| Total | 211 | 35 | 16.6% | 11.05 |
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