DFS MLB DraftKings/FanDuel Lineup Advice and Pitcher Chart 6/7/2018
Pitchers
For the Pitcher Chart as well as Hitter picks and analysis, click NEXT!
Gerrit Cole
Cole is the top pitcher on the all day slate. He’s in a class of his own based on talent, but he’s priced at $14,000. He’ll face the Rangers in Globe Life Park. It won’t be great pitching weather, but the Rangers strike out at the highest rate in the league. With an OTT (see pitcher chart) of 3.5, Cole has the lowest OTT of the day. I have Cole projected for 22-25 DK points depending on the Rangers’ lineup. On a normal day at this price with this matchup, I’d pass on Cole in all formats, but when there are so few quality options, Cole has to be in consideration for cash games.
Jose Berrios
Berrios is the only other pitcher close to Cole’s projection on Thursday, and he’ll cost $10,900 on DraftKings. He also has an OTT of 3.5, and is a heavy favorite. The White Sox have the sixth highest strikeout rate in the league and have a team full or righties. Berrios faced the White Sox twice this year, with scores of 39.4 and 8.7 DK points. He has a low floor, but a high ceiling, usually the perfect tournament play. On this slate, I’ll likely use him as my SP1 in cash games on any slate I can even if he has a low floor.
Jameson Taillon
SP2 is gross on DraftKings on Thursday. Most of the pitchers in consideration have OTTs of four or more. Taillon will face the Dodgers in PNC Park. The Dodgers are a good offense, but not a great one, and Taillon is a talented pitcher. My main concern is the Dodgers have a 21.9% strikeout rate (19th in the league), and PNC Park suppresses strikeouts. I’m not sure there is a ton of upside with Taillon due to the lack of strikeouts, but I believe he’s fairly “safe” as an SP2 in cash games.
For the Pitcher Chart as well as Hitter picks and analysis, click NEXT!
Pitcher Chart
To see my favorite hitters for today’s slate, click NEXT!
The pitching chart will be updated often. Make sure to check back for the newest information, especially if a column is currently incomplete!
Last Updated: 6/7/2018 – 6:47 AM CT
| Pitcher | Team | L/R | $Line | OTT | K | +/- | K% | IP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Santana | LAD | R | +111 | 4 | -4 | 21.1 | ||
| J. Taillon | PIT | R | -120 | 4 | -4 | 22.1 | ||
| T. Anderson | COL | L | -110 | 4.5 | -4.5 | 20.4 | ||
| T. Mahle | CIN | R | +102 | 4.5 | -4.5 | 22.3 | ||
| N. Pivetta | PHI | R | +122 | 0 | 27.6 | |||
| T. Chatwood | CHC | R | -132 | 0 | 19.2 | |||
| J. Shields | CHW | R | +188 | 5 | -5 | 16 | ||
| J. Berrios | MIN | R | -205 | 3.5 | -3.5 | 25.1 | ||
| D. Hess | BAL | R | +125 | 5 | -5 | 12.6 | ||
| J. Garcia | TOR | L | -135 | 4.5 | -4.5 | 20.5 | ||
| M. Boyd | DET | L | +156 | 5 | -5 | 18.6 | ||
| J. Beeks | BOS | L | -170 | 4 | -4 | |||
| M. Leake | SEA | R | -115 | 3.5 | -3.5 | 15.4 | ||
| R. Stanek | TBR | R | +106 | 4 | -4 | 30.6 | ||
| G. Cole | HOU | R | -185 | 3.5 | -3.5 | 38.2 | ||
| C. Hamels | TEX | L | +170 | 5.5 | -5.5 | 23.7 |
Key
L/R = Lefty or Righty
$Line = Money Line
OTT = Opposing team’s run total
K = Projected Strikeouts
+/- = K-OTT
K% = Strikeout Percentage
IP = Innings Projection
Many factors can change between the time I write this article and the time lineups lock. I’ll do my best to update the article, so checking back frequently is encouraged. You can also ask questions on Twitter or Facebook. I’ll do my best to get to all of them!
To see my favorite hitters for today’s slate, click NEXT!
Hitters
Astros Righties
The Astros will face Cole Hamels in Globe Life Park. Its great hitting weather in Arlington, and the Astros have a team run total of 5.5, highest on the slate. Hamels has allowed 1.88 HR/9 this year, and while I expect that number to regress slightly, I’m not sure it happens tonight against a powerful Astros team. The Astros bats are priced reasonably, and my current cash game build for the main slate has five Astros. On the main slate, Jose Altuve, George Springer, and Alex Bregman are locks in cash. (There are some infielders I like slightly more if you’re playing the all day slate). If Evan Gattis and Carlos Correa are in the lineup, I’m likely to play them as well. Gattis sometimes gets buried lower in the order, which would limit my interest, and Correa left yesterday’s game with an injury. Make sure to check the Astros lineup before setting your own.
Twins Bats
The Twins will face James Shields in Target Field. They have a team run total of five and most players from the Twins are priced reasonably. It was frustrating to roster them against Hector Santiago yesterday, but I’m going back to the well against Shields. Shields has given up just 0.83 HR/9 this year, but his HR/FB rate is low and will regress to the mean. Shields has a 4.27 ERA, but a 5.12 SIERA suggesting that he’s lucky with run prevention this season. Brian Dozier is one of the most frustrating players to roster, but I’ll have a hard time avoiding him in cash games considering he’s $800 cheaper than Jose Altuve on DraftKings. Miguel Sano has such a high strikeout rate that he’s also frustrating to play in cash games, but at $4,100, the value is also too good to pass up. Sano also has the highest home run projection on the slate. Finally, if Logan Morrison is batting in the top five in the order, he’s a lock against Shields for $3,200.
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