Swing for the Fences: DFS HR Predictions for FanDuel and DraftKings (6/13)
Introduction
Monday was a solid day with a pair of homers and total of four hitters exceeding 18 FanDuel points. Wednesday brings us a solid 9-game evening slate where there are just a few teams that dominate my home run hitter recommendations for the night.
Prices included for FanDuel and DraftKings to help find where the best value may be and positions are based on FanDuel.
So with that here is who will be swinging for the fences today…
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Lineup
C – Gary Sanchez (NYY) (FanDuel: $3,200 / DraftKings: $4,100) – Sanchez is not a lock to be in the starting lineup on Wednesday but if he his look for him to produce. If not then pivot to either Salvador Perez or Tucker Barnhart.
1B – Jose Martinez (STL) (FanDuel: $4,400 / DraftKings: $5,000) – Martinez has five homers over his last six games.
2B – Jedd Gyroko (STL) (FanDuel: $2,700 / DraftKings: $3,400) – Gyorko homer off Eric Lauer in their earlier meeting this season and has been terrorizing Padres pitching seen leaving the team with a .418 average and nine homers in 16 games.
SS – Didi Gregorius (NYY) (FanDuel: $4,100 / DraftKings: $4,100) – Gregorius hit two homers last night and has a .399 wOBA and .337 ISO at home against righties this season.
3B – Justin Turner (LAD) (FanDuel: $3,200 / DraftKings: $3,700) – Turner posted a .484 wOBA and .324 ISO against lefties last season, while lefty Cole Hamels has served up 16 homers to righties already this season.
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OF – Aaron Judge (NYY) (FanDuel: $4,800 / DraftKings: $5,500) – Judge has a massive .485 wOBA and .430 ISO at home against righties during his career and the wind will be blowing out to left field, not that need really needs it.
OF – Marcell Ozuna (STL) (FanDuel: $3,900 / DraftKings: $4,000) – Ozuna is batting .390 with four home runs and 12 RBI in 11 games and went 2-for-2 with a homer off lefty Eric Lauer earlier this season.
OF – Joey Gallo (TEX) (FanDuel: $3,000 / DraftKings: $3,800) – Gallo has hit 12 of his 17 homers this season off right-handers for a .265 ISO.
Longshot – Maikel Franco (LAD) (FanDuel: $2,500 / DraftKings: $3,300) – Franco is 3-for-7 with a homer off lefty Tyler Anderson in his career but make sure he rejoins the Phillies lineup before considering him.
Cheap Pitching options
FanDuel – Nick Pivetta ($8,000), Sonny Gray ($7,800), Luke Weaver ($6,700)
DraftKings – Luke Weaver ($7,700), Nick Pivetta ($7,500), Sonny Gray ($6,900)
Results – Monday, June 11
| Pos | Name | HR | FD Pts |
| C | Buster Posey | 0 | 9.2 |
| 1B | Jose Martinez | 1 | 31.4 |
| 2B | Jonathan Schoop | 0 | 0.0 |
| 3B | Jose Ramirez | 0 | 9.0 |
| SS | Javier Baez | 0 | 27.4 |
| OF | Michael Brantley | 1 | 18.7 |
| OF | David Peralta | 0 | 3.0 |
| OF | Andrew McCutchen | 0 | 21.9 |
| Longshot | Randal Grichuk | 0 | 6.5 |
Overall Results
| Pos | Picks | HR | HR Rate | Avg FD Pts |
| C | 24 | 5 | 20.8% | 8.85 |
| 1B | 27 | 2 | 7.4% | 8.98 |
| 2B | 26 | 3 | 11.5% | 9.77 |
| SS | 26 | 5 | 19.2% | 12.22 |
| 3B | 26 | 8 | 30.8% | 15.95 |
| OF | 80 | 14 | 17.5% | 11.32 |
| Longshot | 28 | 7 | 25.0% | 11.17 |
| Total | 237 | 44 | 18.6% | 11.22 |
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