DFS MLB DraftKings/FanDuel Lineup Advice and Pitcher Chart 7/3/2018
Pitchers
For the Pitcher Chart as well as Hitter picks and analysis, click NEXT!
Clayton Kershaw
Kershaw will face the Pirates in Dodger Stadium. It’s not a bad matchup, but the Pirates rank 29th in strikeout rate. Kershaw is a big favorite, and has the lowest OTT (see pitcher chart) of the day, but much of that is due to a strong Dodgers bullpen. Kershaw threw just 68 pitches his last time out, so it’s reasonable to expect 80-85 pitches in this start. That isn’t enough to pay off his $12,000 salary on DraftKings. I’ll avoid Kershaw in this start, but some will be tempted to play him after looking through the other pitching options.
Zack Greinke
Pitching is ugly on Tuesday, so I may end up taking the safety of Greinke. He’s a small favorite with an OTT of 3.5, one of the lowest of the day. The Cardinals rank 13th in strikeout rate and 18th in wRC+. They are a solid offense, but nothing to be afraid of. Greinke has one of the highest strikeout rates of all the pitchers on the slate, giving him a bit of upside. I expect Greinke to finish between 18 and 23 DK points with a high floor, but fairly low ceiling. I’ll likely take shots at cheap pitchers in tournaments, but may take Greinke’s floor in cash games.
Anthony DeSclafani
DeSclafani will face the White Sox in Great American Ballpark. He’s not a great pitcher, but has recorded at least 14.7 DK points in four straight starts. He’ll face the strikeout-prone White Sox who lose their DH in the matchup. At $7,600, he’s priced affordably, and has 20 point upside in this matchup. I don’t think DeSclafani is safe enough for cash games, but I’ll have some exposure to him as my tournament SP2.
For the Pitcher Chart as well as Hitter picks and analysis, click NEXT!
Pitcher Chart
To see my favorite hitters for today’s slate, click NEXT!
The pitching chart will be updated often. Make sure to check back for the newest information, especially if a column is currently incomplete!
Last Updated: 7/3/2018 – 9:47 AM CT
| Pitcher | Team | L/R | $Line | OTT | K | +/- | K% | IP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Stratton | SFG | R | +113 | 6 | 2.5 | -3.5 | 18.1 | 4 |
| A. Senzatela | COL | R | -122 | 5.5 | 3 | -2.5 | 17.3 | 5 |
| J. Flaherty | STL | R | +126 | 4 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 29.1 | 5 2/3 |
| Z. Greinke | ARI | R | -137 | 3.5 | 6.5 | 3 | 25.7 | 6 2/3 |
| I. Nova | PIT | R | +219 | 4 | 3.5 | -0.5 | 18.5 | 5 1/3 |
| C. Kershaw | LAD | L | -240 | 2.5 | 6 | 3.5 | 27.2 | 5 2/3 |
| D. Keuchel | HOU | L | -169 | 4.5 | 5.5 | 1 | 18.1 | 6 |
| A. Bibens-Dirkx | TEX | R | +156 | 5.5 | 3 | -2.5 | 17.5 | 4 1/3 |
| S. Bieber | CLE | R | -220 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 1 | 26.2 | 5 2/3 |
| D. Duffy | KCR | L | +201 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 19.8 | 5 1/3 |
| A. Heaney | LAA | L | +103 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 22.3 | 5 2/3 |
| W. LeBlanc | SEA | L | -111 | 4 | 3.5 | -0.5 | 18.9 | 5 1/3 |
| M. Fulmer | DET | R | +185 | 5 | 5 | 20.4 | 5 2/3 | |
| K. Hendricks | CHC | R | -202 | 5 | 5 | 18.3 | 6 | |
| J. Odorizzi | MIN | R | +134 | 4.5 | 5 | 0.5 | 23.5 | 5 1/3 |
| J. Guerra | MIL | R | -145 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 23.3 | 5 |
| B. Johnson | BOS | L | +101 | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 | 20.4 | 5 |
| T. Roark | WAS | R | -109 | 4.5 | 5 | 0.5 | 20.2 | 6 |
| A. Cobb | BAL | R | +150 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 14.6 | 5 2/3 |
| Z. Eflin | PHI | R | -163 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 24.5 | 6 |
| S. Newcomb | ATL | L | +158 | 5 | 4.5 | -0.5 | 23.8 | 5 |
| D. German | NYY | R | -172 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 27.5 | 5 2/3 |
| Z. Wheeler | NYM | R | +119 | 4.5 | 5 | 0.5 | 22.6 | 5 2/3 |
| M. Estrada | TOR | R | -129 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 18.5 | 6 |
| L. Giolito | CHW | R | +169 | 5.5 | 3.5 | -2 | 13.2 | 4 2/3 |
| A. DeScalfani | CIN | R | -184 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 20.3 | 5 1/3 |
| C. Richard | SDP | L | +130 | 4 | 3.5 | -0.5 | 18.7 | 5 1/3 |
| C. Bassitt | OAK | R | -141 | 3.5 | 4 | 0.5 | 18.4 | 5 1/3 |
Key
L/R = Lefty or Righty
$Line = Money Line
OTT = Opposing team’s run total
K = Projected Strikeouts
+/- = K-OTT
K% = Strikeout Percentage
IP = Innings Projection
Many factors can change between the time I write this article and the time lineups lock. I’ll do my best to update the article, so checking back frequently is encouraged. You can also ask questions on Twitter or Facebook. I’ll do my best to get to all of them!
To see my favorite hitters for today’s slate, click NEXT!
Hitters
No time for a full write-up today, but here are my favorite hitters.
Rockies Bats
The Rockies have one of the highest run total projections I’ve seen this year. Vegas has them at six runs, but that may be about a run too low. In both cash games and tournaments, I’ll be looking to fit as many Rockies bats as possible.
Astros Bats
Most Astros are too expensive for cash games, but it’s a great hitting environment against a bad pitcher. Evan Gattis is in play for cash, but an entire Astros stack is one of my favorites for tournaments. The Astros might also drop the ownership of the Coors Field game since they are in such a good spot against Austin Bibens-Dirkx.
Reds Bats
The Reds were in a great spot against James Shields yesterday and struggled until the late innings. Some pieces of the Reds stack, most notably Joey Votto, disappointed owners, so I’m expecting the Reds to be lower-owned than they should be. Giolito has a 6.01 SIERA, and I expect the Reds to take advantage of that in Great American Ballpark. I won’t have any Reds in cash games, but they are a fantastic tournament stack.
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