DFS MLB DraftKings/FanDuel Lineup Advice and Pitcher Chart 7/6/2018
Pitchers
For the Pitcher Chart as well as Hitter picks and analysis, click NEXT!
Chris Sale
Sale will face the Royals in Kauffman Stadium. He is the biggest favorite on the slate and has an OTT (see pitcher chart) of 2.5, lowest of the day. The Royals have one of the lowest strikeout rates in the league and Kauffman Stadium is one of the worst parks for strikeouts. Sale will likely have a solid outing, but he’s priced at $14,000. Sale is always in play for tournaments and is a fringe cash game option, but with other pitchers priced more reasonably, I may lean toward someone else for my cash game SP1.
Lance McCullers
McCullers will face the White Sox in Minute Maid Park. He’s priced $2,100 cheaper than Sale and has similar upside. The White Sox have the highest strikeout rate in the league. Only Sale is a bigger favorite, and only Sale has a lower OTT than McCullers. At the discount, McCullers is in play for cash games and is one of the top tournament options.
Also consider: Jacob deGrom
Zack Godley
Godley will face the Padres in Chase Field. He’s struggled recently, even in good matchups, but the price is right for an SP2 on DraftKings. The Padres strike out 25.3% of the time, second highest rate in the league, and Godley has an OTT of just 3.5. Godley is a quality SP2 for cash games, and offers enough upside at $8,600 to be considered in tournaments as well.
For the Pitcher Chart as well as Hitter picks and analysis, click NEXT!
Pitcher Chart
To see my favorite hitters for today’s slate, click NEXT!
The pitching chart will be updated often. Make sure to check back for the newest information, especially if a column is currently incomplete!
Last Updated: 7/6/2018 – 9:37 AM CT
| Pitcher | Team | L/R | $Line | OTT | K | +/- | K% | IP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Mahle | CIN | R | +143 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 23.5 | 5 2/3 | |
| M. Montgomery | CHC | L | -155 | 4 | 4 | 16.4 | 5 2/3 | |
| D. Straily | MIA | R | +181 | 5 | 4 | -1 | 20.1 | 4 1/3 |
| G. Gonzalez | WAS | L | -197 | 3.5 | 5.5 | 2 | 21.8 | 6 1/3 |
| N. Pivetta | PHI | R | -109 | 4 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 28 | 5 2/3 |
| T. Williams | PIT | R | +101 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 17.9 | 5 1/3 |
| M. Foltynewicz | ATL | R | +123 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 29.5 | 5 2/3 |
| F. Peralta | MIL | R | -133 | 3.5 | 6.5 | 3 | 37.7 | 5 2/3 |
| J. Lucchesi | SDP | L | +127 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 25.2 | 5 |
| Z. Godley | ARI | R | -138 | 3.5 | 6.5 | 3 | 21.9 | 6 2/3 |
| J. Gant | STL | R | -100 | 4 | 3.5 | -0.5 | 20.5 | 5 |
| D. Rodriguez | SFG | L | -108 | 4 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 20.4 | 5 2/3 |
| S. Gray | NYY | R | -139 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 19.7 | 6 |
| S. Gaviglio | TOR | R | +128 | 5 | 3.5 | -1.5 | 22.6 | 5 |
| P. Blackburn | OAK | R | +175 | 5 | 2.5 | -2.5 | 16.2 | 5 2/3 |
| C. Carrasco | CLE | R | -191 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 25.6 | 6 1/3 |
| B. Colon | TEX | R | -104 | 4.5 | 3 | -1.5 | 14.5 | 5 1/3 |
| J. Zimmermann | DET | R | -104 | 4.5 | 3 | -1.5 | 22.6 | 5 |
| D. Bundy | BAL | R | +109 | 4.5 | 5 | 0.5 | 27 | 5 2/3 |
| L. Lynn | MIN | R | -118 | 4.5 | 6 | 1.5 | 22.2 | 6 |
| R. Lopez | CHW | R | +245 | 4.5 | 3.5 | -1 | 17.1 | 5 |
| L. McCullers | HOU | R | -270 | 3 | 8.5 | 5.5 | 25.7 | 6 2/3 |
| C. Sale | BOS | L | -301 | 2.5 | 9 | 6.5 | 36.1 | 7 1/3 |
| J. Hammel | KCR | R | +272 | 5 | 3.5 | -1.5 | 14.5 | 5 |
| R. Stanek | TBR | R | +152 | 3.5 | 2 | -1.5 | 30.6 | 2 |
| J. DeGrom | NYM | R | -165 | 3 | 9.5 | 6.5 | 31.5 | 7 1/3 |
| G. Marquez | COL | R | +115 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 0 | 23 | 6 |
| F. Hernandez | SEA | R | -125 | 4 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 19.4 | 5 2/3 |
Key
L/R = Lefty or Righty
$Line = Money Line
OTT = Opposing team’s run total
K = Projected Strikeouts
+/- = K-OTT
K% = Strikeout Percentage
IP = Innings Projection
Many factors can change between the time I write this article and the time lineups lock. I’ll do my best to update the article, so checking back frequently is encouraged. You can also ask questions on Twitter or Facebook. I’ll do my best to get to all of them!
To see my favorite hitters for today’s slate, click NEXT!
Hitters
Brett Gardner
I haven’t played Gardner yet this season mostly due to his limited HR upside and he’s not running as much as he once did. It seems likely I’ll play him today, however, as DraftKings has him underpriced at $3,500. He’ll have the platoon advantage against Sam Gaviglio, and the Yankees have a team run total of five, one of the highest on the slate. At $3,500 we basically need a double and a run scored to reach value, and that stat line seems well within the range of outcomes.
Rangers Bats
The Rangers will face Jordan Zimmermann. They have an OTT of 4.5, and although Zimmermann has pitched well this season, he’s a low strikeout pitcher who I like to target. Any time he’s facing a low strikeout guy, Joey Gallo becomes one of the best plays on the slate. Gallo will probably hit low in the order, so he’s more of a tournament play, but one with high upside. Adrian Beltre, Elvis Andrus, Rougned Odor, and maybe Robinson Chirinos are the cash game options from this team, and a full Rangers stack is one of my favorites for tournaments.
Trea Turner/Nationals
Turner had a massive game yesterday, recording 45 DK points. The Nationals also scored 14 runs yesterday and will now face Dan Straily who has a SIERA near five. Turner is my favorite option because only Francisco Lindor has a similar projection today, and Lindor costs $1,200 more. Outside of Lindor, shortstop is a shallow position today, so it’s either play Turner, or punt the position. Matt Adams and Juan Soto are also in play in cash games. Bryce Harper normally would be a near lock in a matchup like this, but he’s been so cold lately, I won’t play him until his bat shows some signs of life. I don’t mind a Nationals stack in tournaments, but I expect them to have inflated ownership due to yesterday’s breakout performances.
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