Swing for the Fences: DFS HR Predictions for FanDuel and DraftKings (7/10)
Introduction
I put together a strong four home run night last Tuesday that included five hitters scoring at least 18 FanDuel points. I’ll look to repeat the feat this Tuesday on a full 15-game MLB DFS slate that is loaded with home run potential.
Prices included for FanDuel and DraftKings to help find where the best value may be and positions are based on FanDuel.
So with that here is who will be swinging for the fences today…
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Lineup
C – Russell Martin (TOR) (FanDuel: $2,200 / DraftKings: $2,900) – Martin will face Julio Teheran who has given up 1.59 HR/9 to righties at home this season and served up two homers in 11 career at-bats versus Martin.
1B – Logan Morrison (MIN) (FanDuel: $2,900 / DraftKings: $3,500) – Morrison has five extra-base hits including two homers off Ian Kennedy in 17 career at-bats.
2B – Jonathan Schoop (BAL) (FanDuel: $3,200 / DraftKings: $3,500) – Schoop has heated up at the plate currently riding an eight-game hitting streak that has included four doubles and two homers.
SS – Trevor Story (COL) (FanDuel: $4,400 / DraftKings: $5,300) – Fulfilling the requirement to have at least one hitter playing at Coors Field on the list with Story and his massive .572 wOBA and .521 ISO at home against lefties this season.
3B – Mike Moustakas (KC) (FanDuel: $3,000 / DraftKings: $4,400) – Moustakas has hit 13 of his 17 homers against righties this season while posting a .348 wOBA and .244 ISO against them.
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OF – J.D. Martinez (BOS) (FanDuel: $4,800 / DraftKings: $5,800) – Martinez could make this list every day but he is especially hot right now with five straight multi-hit games including three homers during that stretch.
OF – Eddie Rosario (MIN) (FanDuel: $3,500 / DraftKings: $4,800) – Rosario is at his best at home against a righty with a .430 wOBA and .305 ISO this season.
OF – Adam Jones (BAL) (FanDuel: $2,900 / DraftKings: $3,500) – Jones has crushed Masahiro Tanaka during his career with a .407 average and three homers in 27 at-bats.
Longshot – Randal Grichuk (TOR) (FanDuel: $2,300 / DraftKings: $3,600) – Grichuk has reverse splits on the season with a .283 ISO against righties and faces a home run prone righty in Julio Teheran on Tuesday night.
Cheap Pitching options
FanDuel – Rich Hill ($8,000), Jhoulys Chacin ($7,700), Jose Quintana ($7,200)
DraftKings – Rich Hill ($8,600), Jhoulys Chacin ($8,500), Garrett Richards ($8,400), Jose Quintana ($8,300)
Results – Tuesday, July 3
| Pos | Name | HR | FD Pts |
| C | Yan Gomes | 1 | 29.2 |
| 1B | Brandon Belt | 0 | 6.0 |
| 2B | Scooter Gennett | 1 | 22.2 |
| 3B | Todd Frazier | 0 | 0.0 |
| SS | Manny Machado | 0 | 18.2 |
| OF | Giancarlo Stanton | 1 | 28.4 |
| OF | Nelson Cruz | 1 | 24.9 |
| OF | Teoscar Hernandez | 0 | 9.2 |
| Longshot | Brandon Guyer | 0 | 12.2 |
Overall Results
| Pos | Picks | HR | HR Rate | Avg FD Pts |
| C | 26 | 6 | 23.1% | 9.29 |
| 1B | 32 | 2 | 6.3% | 8.24 |
| 2B | 31 | 5 | 16.1% | 10.60 |
| SS | 31 | 5 | 16.1% | 12.43 |
| 3B | 31 | 10 | 32.3% | 15.90 |
| OF | 94 | 17 | 18.1% | 11.12 |
| Longshot | 32 | 7 | 21.9% | 10.72 |
| Total | 277 | 52 | 18.8% | 11.19 |
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