NFL DFS Week 3 Battle Analysis By Infantryboys For 9/27

Every week during the NFL season, I’m going to be presenting a “battle analysis” for the week’s slate of games. I’ll be giving you my best plays of the week and why I think they’re the best values. If you’re coming over from season long fantasy football and you’re new to DFS, you’ll want to check out my article “The Ten Commandments of NFL Daily Fantasy Sport.” Remember, DFS isn’t about targeting stars, it’s about targeting VALUE. I’ll also be letting you know why I’m avoiding, or “fading” some popular players.

My top targets of the week will be presented in two categories. I stole this terminology from my days in the Army. First there are the 50 meter targets. These players represent the safest plays and best value of the week. Secondly there will also be my 300 meter targets. These players still represent good value but are more “hit or miss” than the 50 meter targets. Generally speaking, 300 meter targets are best reserved for tournaments only.

You’ll see I’ve presented stats for both teams in every contest. These are weighted stats from Football Outsiders, rather than just generic team averages. I strongly suggest using Football Outsiders in your research as well. I’ll begin using 2015 stats in week 5. Until then, the sample size is just too small to be relevant.

Finally, always be careful with players from the Thursday night game in GPPs. They’ll be artificially, highly owned. I generally tend to fade these players.

LEGEND:

50M TARGETS

Best value and safest targets on the slate. These players make good cash and tournament plays.

300M TARGETS

Good value and high upside, but can be “boom or bust.” These players are best used in tournaments.

 

WASHINGTON @ NEW YORK GIANTS

Vegas – O/U – 44; New York – 4

WASHINGTON

2014 wDef – 30^th Pass D – 32^nd, Run D – 9^th

2014 wOff – 30^th Pass O 25^th, Run O – 19^th

Washington has run the ball well in both of their games this season and now faces a Giants team that has trouble stopping the run. The only problem here is that after dominating carries in week 1, Alfred Morris shared carries with Matt Jones, who out gained Morris 123 – 59 and seems to have wrapped up short yardage duty. If I had to choose 1 RB, I’d select Morris, but I’m going to avoid it until we get some clarity.

QB Kirk Cousins hasn’t been asked to do much so far this season, and probably won’t have to have a huge game in this one. While always an injury concern, TE Jordan Reed has turned in two very nice games, having been targeted a total of 17 times in those two games. Reed is a recommended target against a shaky Giants pass defense.

50M TARGETS

None

300M TARGETS

Jordan Reed ($5,300 FD; $3,800 DK)

NEW YORK GIANTS

2014 wDef – 26^th Pass D – 21^st , Run D – 27^th

2014 wOff – 14^th Pass O – 12^th, Run O – 23^rd

The Giants running game is currently a three back committee going nowhere facing a strong Redskins run defense, meaning Eli Manning and the passing game will be asked to carry the load. So far Manning has been mediocre at best playing behind a bad offensive line and isn’t a recommended option against a good Redskins defense. Odell Beckham Jr is always a threat for a productive game and should again be one of the lower owned, upper tier wide receivers.

50M TARGETS

None

300M TARGETS

Odell Beckham Jr. ($9,100 FD; $9,00 DK)

 

ATLANTA @ DALLAS

Vegas – O/U – 44; Atlanta – 1.5

ATLANTA

2014 wDef – 31^st Pass D – 31^st, Run D – 30^th

2014 wOff – 12^th Pass O – 8^th, Run O – 22^nd

QB Matt Ryan, WR Julio Jones and the rest of the Falcons passing offense have had two strong games so far this season and now get a great match up against a below average Dallas passing defense. The Falcons running game suffered a blow with the injury to Tevin Campbell, which should require Ryan and company to shoulder the load. Both Ryan and Jones are strong 50M targets (if you’re willing to pay the price) and WR Leonard Hankerson, who saw 11 targets last week, is a sneaky 300M tournament target.

50M TARGETS

Matt Ryan ($8,300 FD; $7,100 DK)

Julio Jones ($9,000 FD; $9,000 DK)

300M TARGETS

Leonard Hankerson ($5,700 FD; $3,800 DK)

DALLAS

2014 wDef – 19^th Pass D – 19^th, Run D – 22^nd

2014 wOff –4^th Pass O – 4^th, Run O – 3^rd

Dallas has a favorable match up here, but the injury to QB Tony Romo really muddies the water. QB Brandon Weeden, who struggled as a starter in Cleveland and in a start last season with the Cowboys, downgrades the entire passing game considerably. The Cowboys will rely on their running game, but their committee approach takes all of the running backs off of my radar.

50M TARGETS

None

300M TARGETS

None

INDIANAPOLIS @ TENNESSEE

Vegas – O/U – 48; Indianapolis – 4.5

INDIANAPOLIS

2014 wDef – 11^th Pass D – 10^th, Run D – 19^th

2014 wOff – 22^nd Pass O – 13^th, Run O – 27^th

The Colts offense is in a real rut right now. WR T.Y. Hilton is battling a lingering injury and Andre Johnson is looking his age. Neither are separating at all from defenders and as a result, QB Andrew Luck has thrown five interceptions in two games. Meanwhile, the running game isn’t fairing much better. Free agent pick up Frank Gore is the oldest starting running back in the NFL and looks it. Finally the offensive line is struggling to protect Luck and open holes in the run game.

The bright spot here is that after facing two very tough defenses, the Colts offense catches a break and gets a date with the Titans substandard defense. This could be the week they get it going. WR Donte Moncrief is quietly emerging as on of Luck’s favorite receivers catching 13 passes on 19 targets with two touchdowns. In tournaments, he makes an outstanding play at a very fair price across the industry.

50M TARGETS

Donte Moncrief ($6,000 FD; $4,800 DK)

300M TARGETS

Andrew Luck ($9,000 FD; $7,900 DK)

TENNESSEE

2014 wDef – 29^th Pass D – 26^th , Run D – 29^th

2014 wOff – 31^st Pass O – 30^th, Run O – 21^st

While the Titans offense is definitely improving over last season, with a rookie quarterback they’ll continue to be inconsistent through the season. The Colts possess an above average defense and no receiver or running back has emerged as the top guy. Until this happens, I’ll be avoiding these players.

50M TARGETS

None

300M TARGETS

None

OAKLAND @ CLEVELAND

Vegas – O/U – 41.5; Cleveland – 4.5

OAKLAND

2014 wDef – 24^th Pass D – 28^th, Run D – 14^th

2014 wOff – 27^th Pass O – 28^th, Run O – 32^nd

The way to beat Cleveland in on the ground and RB Latavius Murray has had two strong, if unspectacular games. The only problem here is that west coast teams traditionally struggle when playing in the eastern time zone on a 1 PM start, so temper expectations.

QB Derek Carr and WR Amari Cooper had strong performances last week, but Cooper should be covered by Joe Hayden, which removes him from consideration for me. Much will be made of Michael Crabtree‘s 16 targets last week, but that was primarily due to game flow. This game features one of the lowest over/under on the slate, for good reason, so tread lightly here.

50M TARGETS

None

300M TARGETS

Latavius Murray ($7,000 FD; $5,800 DK)

CLEVELAND

2014 wDef – 8^th Pass D – 2^nd , Run D – 31^st

2014 wOff – 28^th Pass O – 22^nd, Run O – 26^th

As I’ve mentioned before, the Cleveland Browns have the least talent in the offensive skill positions of any team in the NFL. Even against a poor Raiders defense, this team is completely off my fantasy radar.

50M TARGETS

None

300M TARGETS

None

 

CINCINNATI @ BALTIMORE

Vegas – O/U – 44.5; Baltimore – 3

CINCINNATI

2014 wDef – 17^th Pass D – 7^th, Run D – 28^th

2014 wOff – 21^st Pass O – 21^st, Run O – 10^th

QB Andy Dalton has quietly put together two strong performances this season and TE Tyler Eifert has been outstanding. This week they get to face a below average Baltimore pass defense that was absolutely torn to ribbons by the Raiders last week. Dalton will probably be largely ignored and will represent a very attractive tournament target. WR A.J. Green will likely draw coverage from CB Jimmy Smith, so he will not be on my fantasy radar.

As for the running game, it seems to be more of a committee now Jeremy Hill and Giovanni Bernard than when the season began. Add to the fact that the Ravens are strong against the run and neither are attractive options.

50M TARGETS

Tyler Eifert ($5,900 FD, $4,800 DK)

300M TARGETS

Andy Dalton ($7,100 FD; $5,700 DK)

BALTIMORE

2014 wDef – 12^th Pass D – 15^th , Run D – 5^th

2014 wOff – 8^th Pass O – 6^th, Run O – 18^th

The Ravens are small favorites at home and the Bengals are not strong against the run, so the game script sets up well for RB Justin Forsett. Forsett is also involved in the passing game, which elevates his floor considerably.

The relatively low over/under and game flow, as well as talent limitations make the Ravens passing game a shaky proposition. The Bengals are also strong against the pass so these players are not recommended options.

50M TARGETS

None

300M TARGETS

Justin Forsett ($7,200 FD; $6,000 DK)

 

JACKSONVILLE @ NEW ENGLAND

Vegas – O/U – 48; New England – 13.5

JACKSONVILLE

2014 wDef – 16^th Pass D 17^th, Run D 20^th

2014 wOff – 29th Pass O – 32nd, Run O – 20th

QB Blake Bortles has significantly improved his mechanics and seems to be well on his way to becoming a good NFL QB Meanwhile, WR Allen Robinson, with 12 targets last week, has become Bortles’ favorite target. Both make for very intriguing tournament plays against a Patriots secondary in transition. The fact the Patriots are such large favorites means that Bortles will likely be throwing much of the game and might lead to some significant garbage time points. I’ll have exposure to both in tournaments. Game flow concerns take RB T.Y. Yeldon completely out of consideration.

50M TARGETS

None

300M TARGETS

Blake Bortles ($6,700 FD; $5,100 DK)

Allen Robinson ($6,600 FD; $5,200 DK)

NEW ENGLAND

2014 wDef – 13^th Pass D – 12^th, Run D – 13^th

2014 wOff – 3^rd Pass O- 5^th, Run O -14^th

The Jaguars have been better than advertised this season, so this might work in our favor if we’re targeting Patriot offensive players. QB Tom Brady has been on fire this season, but ultimately game flow concerns make him a 300M target, as is TE Rob Gronkowski at his salary. The one exception is possession WR Julian Edelman, who has been targeted an absurd 31 times in 2 games this season and is a factor even when the team is up big and trying to convert 3rd downs. At his price, Edelman is my favorite WR on the slate.

Even with game flow in their favor, the Patriots running game is completely off-limits, as always.

50M TARGETS

Julian Edelman ($7,700 FD; $7,000 DK)

300M TARGETS

Tom Brady ($8,700 FD; $7,700 DK)

Rob Gronkowski ($8,400 FD; $7,400 DK)

NEW ORLEANS @ CAROLINA

Vegas – O/U – 44.5; Carolina – 3.5

NEW ORLEANS

2014 wDef – 28^th Pass D – 27^th , Run D – 32^nd

2014 wOff – 9^th Pass O – 9^th, Run O – 9^th

In two games this season, Drew Brees has thrown 2 TD passes and 2 INTs and now faces a very good Panthers defense. Brees has few reliable targets, and this game features a relatively low over/under. Even though Brees and the Saints passing attack enjoy positive game flow potential, I’ll have to see more from them before I start to target them. The fact that Brees is questionable for this game further downgrades an already shaky situation.

The running back situation is heading towards a committee, the C.J. Spiller and Khiry Robinson both siphoning carries from Mark Ingram. There are much better alternatives at their prices, on this slate than Saints players.

50M TARGETS

None

300M TARGETS

None

CAROLINA

2014 wDef – 9^th Pass D- 9^th, Run D – 23^rd

2014 wOff – 20^th Pass O – 23^rd, Run O – 16^th

After a couple of tough match ups, the Panthers offense gets a break against a bad Saints defense. The Saints run defense ranked last in the NFL last season and were pretty bad against below average running offenses this season. While his upside is capped by QB Cam Newton‘s running ability in the red zone, this might be just what the doctor ordered for RB Jonathan Stewart.

Meanwhile, the Saints secondary ranked 27th against the pass last season and they’ve allowed QB ratings of 122.8 and 114.6 this season. QB Cam Newton is an excellent option as is #1 receiver TE Greg Olsen. The Saints ranked 23rd last season against the TE position.

50M TARGETS

James Stewart  ($6,500 FD; $4,900 DK)

Greg Olsen ($5,900 FD; $4,800 DK)

300M TARGETS

Cam Newton ($7,900 FD; $6,800 DK)

 

PHILADELPHIA @ NEW YORK JETS

Vegas – O/U – 48.5; Pick em

PHILADELPHIA

2014 wDef – 10^th Pass D – 18^th , Run D – 7^th

2014 wOff – 14^th Pass O – 15^th, Run O – 13^th

Currently, the Eagles are tied for 28th in the league in points scored. Anyone see that coming after two weeks? To further complicate matter, RB DeMarco Murray is suffering through a hamstring injury and is questionable for the game. I’m completely off of this team until Chip Kelly begins to right the ship.

50M TARGETS

None

300M TARGETS

None

NEW YORK JETS

2014 wDef – 22^nd.  Pass D – 24^th, Run D – 11^th

2014 wOff – 18^th Pass O – 27^th, Run O – 17^th

The Jets have been an interesting team for fantasy purposes. RBs Christopher Ivory is the lead back and Bilal Powell is the 3rd down/change of pace back. Ivory lost a few touches to Powell last week due to a minor groin injury, but has been running well and should be in a good position against the Eagles.

Meanwhile, WR Brandon Marshall has received 19 targets in his two games and should see an uptick with Eric Decker on the doubtful side of questionable. Dare I say QB Ryan Fitzpatrick has been very consistent, especially in the redzone where he is six of nine for 63 yards with four TDs and 0 picks.

50M TARGETS

Brandon Marshall ($7,400 FD; $6,300 DK)

300M TARGETS

Chris Ivory ($7,100 FD; $5,000 DK)

Ryan Fitzpatrick ($6,800 FD; $5,000 DK)

 

TAMPA BAY @ HOUSTON

Vegas – O/U – 40.5; Houston – 6.5

TAMPA BAY

2014 wDef – 15^th Pass D – 23^rd, Run D – 8^th

2014 wOff – 32^nd Pass O – 32^nd, Run O – 31^st

Ugh. A very low over/under and rookie QB going against a premier pass rush. While I wouldn’t try to talk anyone out of Doug Martin against an average run defense, QB Jameis Winston‘s inconsistency makes game flow difficult to predict and downgrades the entire offense.

50M TARGETS

None

300M TARGETS

None

HOUSTON

2014 wDef – 4^th Pass D – 6^th, Run D – 16^th

2014 wOff – 23^rd Pass O – 18^th, Run O – 24^th

Inexperienced QB Ryan Mallet was wildly inaccurate in his first loss of the year and other than target magnet WR DeAndre Hopkins, lacks play makers in the passing game. RB Arian Foster is doubtful and the committee filling in for him has been dreadful. Mix in a decent defense and this has “fade” written all over it.

50M TARGETS

Texans Defense ($5,000 FD; $3,200 DK)

300M TARGETS

DeAndre Hopkins ($7,800 FD; $7,400 DK)

SAN DIEGO @ MINNESOTA

Vegas – O/U – 45; Minnesota – 2

SAN DIEGO

2014 wDef – 21^th Pass D – 25^th, Run D – 15^th

2014 wOff – 10^th Pass O – 7^th, Run O – 25^th

In daily fantasy sports we value consistency, since it allows us to accurately predict how players will perform in their games. With that said, the Chargers are one of the most unpredictable teams in the NFL. For example, after being targeted 17 times in the opener, WR Keenan Allen was targeted just 4 times last week. There are much safer option on the schedule than trying to guess about the Chargers

50M TARGETS

None

300M TARGETS

None

MINNESOTA

2014 wDef – 23^rd Pass D – 19^th , Run D – 25^th

2014 wOff – 16^th Pass O – 29^th, Run O – 4^th

This game sets up very well for RB Adrian Peterson, who exploded last week after a quiet game in the opener. The game features a decent over/under with the Vikings installed as small favorites, so Peterson should have ample carries against a Chargers defense that allowed 175 yards on the ground last week against Cincinnati. He’s expensive, but if you can fit him into your line up, he should pay dividends.

The Vikings are largely a power running team, so the passing game has been relatively quiet this season. The one possible target here is TE Kyle Rudolph, who leads the team with 14 targets, 10 receptions and a TD.

50M TARGETS

Adrian Peterson ($8,900 FD; $7,500 DK)

300M TARGETS

Kyle Rudolph ($5,300 FD; $3,300 DK)

PITTSBURGH @ St LOUIS

Vegas – O/U – 47; Pittsburgh – 1

PITTSBURGH

2014 wDef – 27^th Pass D- 30^th, Run D 17^th

2014 wOff – 2^nd Pass O – 1^st, Run O – 11^th

He’s back! After serving a two game suspension, RB Le’veon Bell gets to face a Rams defense that was gouged for over 150 yards on the ground by the Redskins. Bell was arguably the best running back in the NFL last season and is a true three down back. If you can fit him into your line up, Bell is the safest option at the position on the schedule.

QB Ben Roethlisberger and WR Antonio Brown have been on fire the first two weeks of the season, averaging 21.8 and 27.9 FanDuel points per game, respectively. Unfortunately, their salaries reflect this production. In a game featuring the return of Bell, I think they’re a little overpriced for their match up against a pretty average Rams passing defense, although Brown is a little more playable on Draft Kings. Darrius Heyward-Bey is a steal on Draft Kings at only $3,500.

50M TARGETS

Le’Veon Bell ($8,800 FD; $7,500 DK)

300M TARGETS

Antonio Brown ($9,300 FD; $8,900 DK)

Darrius Heyward-Bey ($5,300 FD; $3,500 DK)

St LOUIS

2014 wOff – 22^nd.  Pass D – 24^th, Run D – 11^th

2014 wDef – 6^th Pass O – 20^th, Run O – 4^th

Pittsburgh’s secondary was bad last season and appears to be even worse this season. The problem is that the Rams passing game lacks consistency as well as talent. QB Nick Foles might be a popular cheap option at the position this week, but until he shows some sort of consistency, I can’t recommend him.

Rookie RB Todd Gurley  should be eased into the running back rotation this week, but will share carries with Tre Mason and Bennie Cunningham so he won’t be on my radar yet.

50M TARGETS

None

300M TARGETS

None

SAN FRANCISCO @ ARIZONA

Vegas – O/U – 44; Arizona – 6

SAN FRANCISCO

2014 wDef – 5^th Pass D – 4^th, Run D – 10^th

2014 wOff –15^th Pass O – 21^st, Run O – 8^th

After a strong performance against the Vikings, the 49ers were demolished by the Steelers last week. The majority of their offensive production came in garbage time, long after the game had been decided. On Sunday they’ll face a strong Cardinals defense on the road. There’s really nobody on my fantasy radar here.

50M TARGETS

None

300M TARGETS

None

ARIZONA

2014 wDef – 14^th Pass D – 14^th, Run D – 6^th

2014 wOff – 24^th Pass O – 19^th, Run O – 30^th

QB Carson Palmer has been on a roll this season and gets to face a 49ers secondary that was decimated by the Steelers last week. A cautionary note here, Palmer’s upside is limited by game flow concerns and his price ha risen considerably across the industry. He’s a better used in cash games than GPPs. As for receivers, Larry Fitzgerald will be a popular play due to his recent performance, but Palmer tends to spread the ball around and Fitzgerald was the hot hand last week. I think it would be a mistake to chase points at his inflated salary.

The running game is a bit murkier with David and Chris Johnson in a time share. The 49ers have largely been solid against the run, so this is a situation to avoid.

50M TARGETS

Chandler Catanzaro ($4,700 FD)

300M TARGETS

Carson Palmer ($8,100 FD; $6,600 DK)

Cardinals Defense ($4,700 FD; $3,100 DK)

 

BUFFALO @ MIAMI

Vegas – O/U – 44; Miami – 2.5

BUFFALO

2014 wDef – 2^nd.  Pass D – 1^st, Run D – 12^th

2014 wOff – 25^th Pass O – 24^th, Run O – 28^th

If there’s something about Rex Ryan we all know is that he loves to run the football. Miami hasn’t been strong stopping the run this season either. LeSean McCoy, who looked to be over his hamstring injury, makes a very intriguing target in what’s expected to be a close contest.

After looking good in the season opener against the Colts, QB Tyrod Taylor threw three interceptions against the Patriots and played like a quarterback making his second career start. The team made an effort to get WR Sammy Watkins more looks last week, but a date with Miami CB Brent Grimes limits his upside.

50M TARGETS

None

300M TARGETS

LeSean McCoy ($7,500 FD; $6,100 DK)

MIAMI

2014 wDef – 25^th Pass D – 16^th, Run D – 18^th

2014 wOff – 7^th Pass O – 11^th, Run O – 2^nd

The Patriots showed us that the best way to neutralize the Bills front four is to spread the field. Now, will the Dolphins have the tools to do it themselves? The best bet here is Jarvis Landry, who has continued to be QB Ryan Tannehill‘s favorite receiver this season. Landry plays out of the slot and is very similar to the Patriots Julian Edelman, who had a field day against the Bills last week. Landry should benefit if oft injured TE Jordan Cameron can’t suit up for this game.The rest of the Dolphins receiving corps is way too up in the air to have any real fantasy value.

The Bills have been strong again against the run this season and Dolphins lead running back Lamar Miller has struggled this season and is questionable with an ankle injury. The Dolphins running game should be well off your fantasy radar.

50M TARGETS

Jarvis Landry ($7,600 FD; $6,400 DK)

300M TARGETS

Dolphins Defense ($4,600 FD; $2,900 DK)

CHICAGO @ SEATTLE

Vegas – O/U – ; Seattle – 14

CHICAGO

2014 wDef – 32^nd Pass D – 29^th, Run D – 21^st

2014 wOff – 19^th Pass O – 16^th, Run O – 11^th

The Bears go into Seattle with backup QB Jimmy Clausen, who looked like he didn’t belong in the NFL last week, under center to face a Seahawks team desperate for a win. Don’t do this.

50M TARGETS

None

300M TARGETS

None

SEATTLE

2014 wDef – 1st  Pass D – 3^rd , Run D – 2^nd

2014 wOff – 5^th Pass O – 10^th, Run O – 1^st

This game will probably be such a blowout that the Seahawks starters will have little to do in the second half and the defense should hold the Bears in single digits, leaving the offense without having to score a lot to secure an easy win. Any Seattle player is a risky proposition given this scenario. Tread lightly.

50M TARGETS

Seahawks Defense ($5,300 FD; $3,400 DK)

300M TARGETS

Marshawn Lynch ($8,700 FD; $7,400 DK)

DENVER @ DETROIT

Vegas – O/U – 45.5; Denver – 3

DENVER

2014 wDef – 3^rd Pass D – 5^th, Run D – 3^rd

2014 wOff – 6^th Pass O – 3^rd, Run O – 7^th

If you just looked at Payton Manning’s numbers from last week, you would think he played a good game, but the eye told another story. Manning’s passes lacked any zip and the offensive line had trouble protecting him.He’s getting by on his brains and experience, but his deep ball is pretty much done, which downgrades the entire receiving corps, especially deep threat Demaryius Thomas. The entire pass game is way overpriced for this game.

While the passing game is overpriced the running game is a mess. Starter C.J. Anderson has struggled badly, averaging less than 3 yards per carry this season and Ronnie Hillman hasn’t fared much better. The Lions are not a juggernaut against the run, but I’ll have to substantial improvement before and Denver running back is on my fantasy radar.

50M TARGETS

None

300M TARGETS

None

DETROIT

2014 wDef – 7^th Pass D – 8^th , Run D – 1^st

2014 wOff – 17^th Pass O – 17^th, Run O – 29^th

Since the first half of the season opener, the Lions offense has struggled, scoring 23 points in their last six quarters against the Chargers and Bengals. QB Matthew Stafford is beat up and questionable to play and the running game has been wildly inconsistent. They’ll face a better defense on Sunday. While it’s possible they might break out of their slump, I can’t see any reason to take a chance.

50M TARGETS

None

300M TARGETS

None

KANSAS CITY @ GREEN BAY

Vegas – O/U – 47; Green Bay – 7

KANSAS CITY

2014 wDef – 20^th  Pass D – 13^th , Run D – 26^th

2014 wOff – 11^th Pass O – 14^th, Run O – 5^th

Kansas City faces the unenviable task of playing against a very strong Packers defense in Green Bay, where the Packers historically play very well. The Packers do have some trouble with smaller quicker backs, but I think Jamaal Charles is overpriced for this match up and game flow should work against him.

Travis Kelce might be a popular target, but the Packers have been very good against TEs this season (ask Jimmy Graham, 1/11/0) so I’ll be fading him. A player on my radar is WR Jeremy Maclin. The Packers have struggled a bit versus #1 receivers and Maclin’s price is very reasonable across the industry.

50M TARGETS

None

300M TARGETS

Jeremy Maclin ($6,500 FD; $6,000 DK)

GREEN BAY

2014 wDef – 18^th  Pass D – 11^th , Run D – 24^th

2014 wOff – 1^st Pass O – 2^nd, Run O – 6^th

RB Eddie Lacy injured his ankle Sunday night and is questionable for this game. If he doesn’t play, James Starks becomes the best value at the position. The problem here is that this game will be played Monday night, so unless Lacy is ruled out early, Starks is off-limits for Thursday slates. If Lacy does play, there will probably some sort of time share, reducing the value of both players.

Game flow should work against the Packers passing game players, but a possible value play is DeVonte Adams. The Chiefs have had problems against opposing #2 receivers and Adams should be low owned after a pair of disappointing games. He makes for a very sneaky tournament play here.

50M TARGETS

Mason Crosby ($5,000 FD)

James Starks ($6,500; $3,000 DK)

300M TARGETS

DeVonte Adams ($6,400 FD; $5,000 DK)

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