Yahoo DFS Week 2

Week 2 is here and we are now in the full swing of things. After nailing quite of few of my selections last week, I hope to take that momentum moving forward. This time around, we have some data from week 1 to use when making DFS selections.

For more information on Yahoo DFS scoring setting and lineup requirements, check out the Week 1 article.

Home and Dome

There are a few elements that I look at in order to find the most desired matchups. There is what I call Home and Dome, teams that are playing at home with an indoor stadium. Wind can be a factor that can negatively impact passing offenses and being indoors takes that element away. There are three teams that play Home and Dome in week 2:

Atlanta Falcons vs Philadelphia Eagles

Detroit Lions vs Los Angeles Chargers

Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 

Preferred Position Price Points

The players at the top end of their positions are mighty tempting to take. However, the following price points are places that can be exploited to maximize scoring in week 2.

QB – $27

Josh Allen BUF @ NYG

Josh Allen‘s value is tied to his rushing ability. Even with all of his turnovers in week 1, Allen managed to salvage his fantasy day by running in a TD. If he could do that against the New York team with a talented defensive line, imagine what will happen against the other team. On top of the ground production, Allen actually set a career-high in passing yards during week 1. If he can continue to incorporate both his arm and his legs as part of his arsenal, as well as limit his turnover, he should continue to put up points.

Matthew Stafford DET vs LAC

A home and dome matchup for a QB is never a bad idea. Especially when the combined over/under for the game is tied for the 5th highest of the week. This Chargers-Lions game could end up being a shootout. Last week Matthew Stafford put up 27.6 fantasy points in a similar situation. Even though the Chargers defense is tough, Detroit has an abundance of legitimate playmakers for Stafford to use target. At his price, Stafford is a great stack with an opposing WR, Keenan Allen who is a target hog that the Lions do not have.

RB – $21

Chris Carson SEA @ PIT

Chris Carson was featured in this section last week. However, that was at a $23 price tag. After 21.1 fantasy point performance, Carson’s cost actually dropped. The only explanation I can think of is that Yahoo believes that this game will become a shootout. I do not view this as a negative considering that Carson was targeted 7 times last week. He is a part of the passing game and saw every single Seahawks Red Zone touch in week 1. At $21, Carson is a discounted workhorse with tons of upside.

Josh Jacobs OAK vs KC

Speaking of a workhorse, Josh Jacobs was not only the lead running back for the Raiders, but also their primary weapon overall. He led the league in week 1 Red Zone touches with 8, including 2 carries inside the 5-yard line. The only real concern is that the Chiefs could run up the score to the point where the Raiders have to pass a lot more. Even so, as long as they can get inside the Kansas City 20-yard line, Jacobs should continue to dominate red zone touches.

WR – $19

Marquise Brown BAL vs ARI

What a debut. The Ravens rookie receiver produced 28.7 fantasy points on only 5 targets and 14 offensive snaps played. Imagine what Marquise Brown could accomplish as a full-time player. This week, Baltimore goes up against another weak secondary. However, unlike last week’s opponent, the Cardinals have a dynamic offense that could cause some problems for the Ravens defense. That will force them to throw some more and could allow Brown to be on the field more often.

Julian Edelman NE @ MIA

The Patriots are wopping 18.5 point favorites heading into their week 2 matchup against the Dolphins. This game could get ugly quickly, which could potentially mean a run-heavy approach for New England. The problem is determining which RB will command the most carries. What we do know is that Julian Edelman saw 11 targets in a week blowout over the Steelers. That figure led the team and even with all of the talent at WR, I’d still expect Edelman to repeat that role for at least one more week. With 33.25, the Patriots have the highest implied total of the week. Why not grab their top target?

TE – $13

Austin Hooper ATL vs PHI

A home and dome game for the Falcons certainly deserves some representation. And with the Eagles pass-rush, perhaps shorter throws to the TE is the best plan for Atlanta. In fact, that was what happened last week as Austin Hooper saw 9 targets. Philadelphia is also coming off of a game where an older TE did some damage to them. Imagine what a younger Hooper could accomplish. Furthermore, the Eagles-Falcons game has the potential to become a shootout. Currently, that matchup is tied for the 2nd highest combined over/under of the week.

Darren Waller OAK vs KC

The only game that has a higher betting line than Eagles-Falcons is the Raiders-Chiefs contest. While it certainly a good play to pay for the highest-priced TE, there is a viable, and much cheaper option, available within that same game. Oakland TE Darren Waller led the team in targets during their week 1 victory. If the Chiefs do what is expected of them than the Raiders will need to throw a lot in order to keep up and Waller appears to be one of the primary options for that.

 

Best Bet Bargains

RB – David Montgomery CHI @ DEN $17

It was not the great NFL debut for David Montgomery that I was expecting. The rookie was 3rd among Bears RBs in snaps played. However, he did have some explosive moments such as a beautiful 27-yard downfield reception that demonstrated his hands and route running. This week, he gets a much softer defense in Denver. Just look what they allowed to another rookie last week. This is more of a tournament play as people will be down on Montgomery after playing in so few snaps. Look for his workload to start increasing.

RB – Devin Singletary BUF @ NYG $14

Another rookie who flashed in week 1, Devin Singletary gained 70 rushing yards on only 4 carries. Just like I mentioned for his QB, that was against the New York team with arguably the better defensive unit. Now that he has the Giants as an opponent, Singletary should see his opportunities grow.

WR – Michael Gallup DAL @ WAS $17

Dallas dominated a divisional rival in week 1. And they did it through the air, not just on the ground. The ball was spread around so much that no one player dominated the target share. Last week, Michael Gallup finished 2nd on the Cowboys in targets, but 1st in receptions and receiving yards. He managed to score 19.3 fantasy points without getting into the end zone. In week 2, they face another division rival that they should dominate. Washington allowed the 3rd most fantasy points to WRs in week 1, and that did not seem like an anomaly. Expect Gallup to build upon his week 1 performance.

 

Dominant Defenses

Chicago Bears @ DEN $20

The Bears had arguably the best defense in the NFL last season. After holding one of the greatest QBs of all time to 10 points in week 1, I’d say that this holds true for 2019. In week 2, they face a Broncos team only put up 16 points in week 1. And that was to team devoid of Khalil Mack after they traded him last season. With one of the most talented units in the league in tow, Chicago should dominate Denver, even on the road.

Buffalo Bills @ NYG $13

Another away team. But with 8 road teams listed as favorites this week, it was not easy to find home defenese with great matchups. With so many great scoring performances by NFL teams in week 1, it is a little surprising that the Giants only put up 17 points. And that was against a Cowboys defense. They are pretty good, but I would argue that the Bills have even more talent on that side of the ball. Expect a run-first, ball-control offense by Buffalo. That would prevent the Giants offense from getting on the field as often and could keep the points down. As we get to the stacks of the week, going Bills defense with RB Devin Singletary could work out well.

 

Super Stacks

Selecting a few players from the same game can be a great way to gain advantages over other DFS players. While the conventional stack is to take a QB and one of his pass-catchers, there are other options, including going with both sides of a matchup. These are stack opportunities that have the potential to be winning combinations.

Saints @ Rams

Alvin Kamara – RB – NO $35

Robert Woods / Cooper Kupp / Brandin Cooks – WR – LAR $23/$22/$21

Last week, I also advised to stack up the Rams matchup. It paid off as the opposing RB went off. With Alvin Kamara, that is certainly another strong possibility, especially since he is equally as involved in the passing game. As for the Rams receivers, it is pick your poison as they are all similarly priced. This game is tied for the 2nd highest combined over/under of the week so it is good to get some exposure.

Seahawks @ Steelers

JuJu Smith-Schuster – WR – PIT $29

D.K. Metcalf – WR – SEA $13

In week 1, the Seahawks and Steelers combined to allow 762 passing yards to their opponents. If this game goes similarly, then I want the top receiving options. Both JuJu and DK led their respective teams in receiving yards during week 1. Even so, Smith-Schuster was heavily covered by the Patriots, something that Seattle will probably struggle to do. With the most expensive WR this week listed at $36, Smith-Schuster offers decent value at $7 cheaper. As for Metcalf, he demonstrated the ability to get open deep and will probably do the same in week 2.

Other stacks: Chargers @ Lions, Chiefs @ Raiders

Thank you for reading. Be sure to check out Going for 2 for more DFS content.

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