We had another 3-and-0 showing for Week 9, making that two consecutive weeks going undefeated. Week 9’s result brings our season record to 11-and-4 over the five-week period I’ve been posting my picks. There are three games I’m looking at this week that I think should be pretty safe bets to keep our streak going. NFL betting odds for Week 10 games can be found at MyBookie.ag.
Los Angeles Chargers @ Jacksonville Jaguars (-3.5)
The Chargers are 3-and-5 with victories against the Giants, Raiders and Broncos, but only one of those victories were by more than four points — a 21-to-0 blowout of the Broncos. The Jags, on the other hand, are 5-and-3 and all five victories were by 16 points or more, including a 44-7 shellacking of the Baltimore Ravens.
The Jaguars are quietly one of the better teams in the NFL and no one is giving them any respect, including Vegas with their 3.5 point spread for this game. The Jags pass defense is legit and their offense, while conservative, is extremely efficient. Quarterback Blake Bortles isn’t lighting up the scoreboard with his arm, but he is on pace the fewest interceptions in his career having only five headed into Week 10.
Leonard Fournette should be back for this game after being benched last week for violating team rules, and his return should bring balance back to the offense and allow the Jags to control the clock.
The Chargers, however, will matchup with the No. 1 pass defense, No. 1 run defense and obviously the No. 1 overall defense. Anytime you can run the ball, control the clock and play good defense, you will have a chance to win every game.
The final nail in the Chargers coffin will be the 1 pm east coast start time for this game that they struggle with historically. They are 1-and-1 in 1 pm east coast games this year, but one of those wins came against the hapless Giants, and they almost lost that game too. Pick: Jaguars minus the points
Houston Texas @ Los Angeles Rams (-11.5)
The Texans have been decimated with injuries on both sides of the ball. Not only did they lose QB DeShaun Watson, but their defense has lot multiple key players that have taken them from a top-five defense to one that ranks in the bottom third in the league.
The Rams, on the other hand, have gone from laughing stock to the highest scoring team in the league, with only the Patriots and Eagles ranking higher than them offensively. The Rams have always played well at home, and the Texans will have trouble stopping this potent offense.
Offensively, with Tom Savage at quarterback, the Texans will struggle to move the ball despite having one of the better wide receiver tandems in the league with DeAndre Hopkins and Will Fuller. The Rams will win this one going away. Pick: Rams minus the points.
Normally I pick three games, but there isn’t a third game that I feel really confident in, so I’ll leave you with a few picks that I like, but not ones I’m putting my full endorsement on.
New England Patriots @ Denver Broncos (+7.5) Pick: Patriots minus the points
Pittsburg Steelers @ Indianapolis Colts (+10) Pick: Colts plus the points
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New York Jets @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+2.5) Picks: Jets minus the points
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