Best NBA Picks Against the Spread 1/13

This article will be short one due to time constraints on my part. Be sure to check injury reports as this pick may change as the game gets closer.

Oct 20, 2017; Philadelphia, PA, USA; Philadelphia 76ers guard Ben Simmons (25) reacts against the Boston Celtics during the second half at Wells Fargo Center. Mandatory Credit: Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports

Philadelphia 76ers at Phoenix Suns

We got a heavy weight matchup of the top team in the East 76ers versus the 4th ranked Suns in the West at home. Philadelphia lost their last matchup on the road to the Trailblazers 118-114. The 76ers are now 7-3 in their last 10 games and have only lost back to back games once this season that turned to a three game skid. Other than that, they always bounce back after a loss. The Suns are on a 4 game winning streak and are also 7-3 in their last 10 games. The Suns are hot against a 76ers that historically struggles on the road.

The 76ers have the edge when it comes to rebounding. They are ranked 7th in rebounding and 15th in offensive rebounding as opposed to the suns who are ranked 11th in rebounding in and 22th in offensive rebounding. This advantage sets up a crucial matchup between Embiid and Ayton down low. This matchup will prove critical to who wins this game. Embiid is obviously more talented averaging 29.4 PPG, 2.9 APG, and 10.9 PPG. Ayton will have a hard time containing Embiid. Ayton is averaging 14.1 PPG, 1.9 APG, and 12.6 RPG. While he is one the top rebounders in the league, he will have a harder time grabbing boards against a physical Embiid. Second chance points might just sway this game.

When it comes to overall defensive and offensive ratings, they are almost identical. They are ranked neck and neck in both categories so whoever can exert their defensive will on the game will come out on top. Booker will need to get his average of around 23 PPG to keep this game close behind the tight 76ers defense.

This game will be extremely close with a line of -1.0 that favors the 76ers. I will be taking the 76ers -1.0 despite Milton being out. Saric is listed as a game-time decision for the Suns.

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