Best Value Fantasy Player Per Team, AFC East Edition
In the finale of this eight-part series, I make an argument for the best value fantasy player on each team in the AFC East. Check out last week’s AFC South here. All ADPs were averaged between current FantasyPros, Sleeper, and Underdog redraft rankings.
Miami Dolphins – Chase Edmonds
Fantasy projections in Miami don’t make a lot of sense at the moment. We’ve got Tua Tagovailoa going off the board in the 11th round and beyond, ranked around QB16. Yet, he has two wide receivers ranked in the top 20; Tyreek Hill leaving the board in the second round and Jaylen Waddle in the fourth. Either Tagovailoa is an absolute steal or those receiver ADPs are off. So let’s not touch that area and instead look at Chase Edmonds, Miami’s reported lead running back. He’s ranked around RB35 and leaving draft boards beyond the seventh round. The split backfield in Miami isn’t optimal, but Edmonds’ ceiling, especially in PPR formats, is enticing. Though kept out of six games last season due to an ankle injury, Edmonds finished as the RB28 with an average of 12.1 points per game in PPR fantasy scoring last season. And that was playing behind James Connor. Tagovailoa’s reputation as one of the meeker passers suggests success for a pass-catching back. While not my favorite pick, if you’re looking for value on the Dolphin’s roster, Edmonds is your man.
New England Patriots – Hunter Henry
New England is a great place for value. I don’t see a Patriot going off the board before the fifth round! My favorite value candidate here is Hunter Henry. Tight end ADPs are not as congruent as other positions; Henry can be found anywhere between TE11-TE20. Henry played in 16 games last season and finished 6th and 8th in fantasy scoring at his position in standard and PPR formats, respectively. I just don’t see him falling out of the top 12 this season. There is no real “star” in New England. Second year starting quarterback Mac Jones is much more likely to depend on Henry in the red zone than anyone else after their electric connection there last season. Why wouldn’t he? He might be a candidate in the minds of some (lesser fantasy analysts) for touchdown regression, but I doubt it. Jones’ touchdowns should increase (22 passing last season), and I’d expect Henry’s numbers to be very similar to those of last season.
New York Jets – Braxton Berrios
I would like to skip over the New York Jets completely. I’m not sure if that’s allowed, but I suppose I am making my own rules in this article series. However, if you’ve actually come this far, you deserve something for New York. So, if you must draft a Jet for potential value, take Braxton Berrios. He should be free and could very well remain the number two option for Zach Wilson based on the dependability he provided last season, especially in the later games.
Embed from Getty ImagesBuffalo Bills – Isaiah McKenzie
Buffalo is tough for value because the fantasy football world has high expectations for the Bills. Still, the value pick here is simple, the faded receiver, Isaiah McKenzie. He won’t cost you a thing and his upside is huge! The Bills ranked in the top ten in passing attempts and passing yards per game last season. They ranked in the top five in passing touchdowns. No one knows when Buffalo last had a running back rank in the top 12 in fantasy scoring; it’s been at least five years. This is a passing offense. Cole Beasley and Emmanuel Sanders are gone. McKenzie is a lock to be the primary slot receiver and will likely have a career year. All those vacated targets are not going to Gabe Davis, who had a 55% catch rate last season compared to McKenzie’s 76%, the highest among Josh Allen’s receivers last season. McKenzie’s having an incredible camp as well.
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