DFS MLB DraftKings/FanDuel Lineup Advice and Pitcher Chart 6/11/2018
Pitchers
For the Pitcher Chart as well as Hitter picks and analysis, click NEXT!
Carlos Carrasco
Carrasco will face the White Sox in Guaranteed Rate Field. He has an OTT of 3.5, second lowest on the slate and is the biggest favorite on the slate. The White Sox have the 4th highest strikeout rate in the league. There’s upside in this matchup, but Carrasco has been inconsistent this season. He’s shown upside with four games over 27 DK points, but has displayed a low floor with three games under seven points. With limited options, Carrasco is in consideration for cash games, but is typically a better tournament play.
Jack Flaherty
Flaherty will face the Padres in Busch Stadium. He’s a large favorite and is tied with Carrasco for the second lowest OTT on the slate. The Padres have the third highest strikeout rate and the fifth lowest wRC+ in the league. Flaherty has been an interesting option recently, but has been so ridiculously priced on DraftKings over the past three weeks that it was difficult to play him. Now that he’s priced reasonably, I like him for both cash games and tournaments.
Jose Quintana
Quintana will face the Brewers in Miller Park. The Brewers are not an easy matchup, but Quintana is underpriced for his talent. He struggled to start the year, but has recorded 25 DK points in three of his past four starts and has at least six strikeouts in each of his last five games. I prefer Flaherty to Quintana in cash games, but will have plenty of Quintana as a lower-owned pivot in tournaments.
For the Pitcher Chart as well as Hitter picks and analysis, click NEXT!
Pitcher Chart
To see my favorite hitters for today’s slate, click NEXT!
The pitching chart will be updated often. Make sure to check back for the newest information, especially if a column is currently incomplete!
Last Updated: 6/11/2018 – 9:01 AM CT
| Pitcher | Team | L/R | $Line | OTT | K | +/- | K% | IP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Bumgarner | SFG | L | -165 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 6 1/3 |
| W. Chen | MIA | L | +152 | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 | 16.3 | 5 |
| J. Quintana | CHC | L | -125 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 24.2 | 6 |
| J. Guerra | MIL | R | +115 | 4.5 | 5 | 0.5 | 22.7 | 5 |
| J. Lyles | SDP | R | +170 | 5 | 4 | -1 | 21.2 | 5 |
| J. Flaherty | STL | R | -185 | 3.5 | 6 | 2.5 | 26.1 | 6 |
| J. Musgrove | PIT | R | +145 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 0 | 21.8 | 5 1/3 |
| P. Corbin | ARI | L | -157 | 3.5 | 6.5 | 3 | 32.7 | 6 1/3 |
| S. Wright | BOS | R | -118 | 4 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 22.7 | 5 2/3 |
| D. Bundy | BAL | R | +109 | 4.5 | 5 | 0.5 | 27.5 | 5 1/3 |
| C. Carrasco | CLE | R | -202 | 3.5 | 8 | 4.5 | 24.4 | 7 |
| L. Giolito | CHW | R | +185 | 5.5 | 3.5 | -2 | 11 | 5 |
| A. Heaney | LAA | L | -109 | 3.5 | 5.5 | 2 | 23.6 | 6 |
| W. LeBlanc | SEA | L | +101 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 18.7 | 5 |
Key
L/R = Lefty or Righty
$Line = Money Line
OTT = Opposing team’s run total
K = Projected Strikeouts
+/- = K-OTT
K% = Strikeout Percentage
IP = Innings Projection
Many factors can change between the time I write this article and the time lineups lock. I’ll do my best to update the article, so checking back frequently is encouraged. You can also ask questions on Twitter or Facebook. I’ll do my best to get to all of them!
To see my favorite hitters for today’s slate, click NEXT!
Hitters
Cleveland Bats
Cleveland will face Lucas Giolito in Guaranteed Rate Field. Cleveland projects for the highest team run total at 5.5 runs. Giolito currently owns a 6.35 SIERA, worst on the slate. He projects to give up more than 1.50 HR/9 this season allowing for plenty of upside with Cleveland. The difficulty with Cleveland is deciding which players to include in your tournaments stacks since they are expensive, and get production from so many spots. In cash games, I prefer Michael Brantley and Edwin Encarnacion over Francisco Lindor and Jose Ramirez simply because I can find better value plays at shorstop and third base than I can at first or in the outfield. In tournaments, I’ll pay close attention to ownership projections and see if I can adjust my stacks to include some of the lower-owned Cleveland Bats.
J.D. Martinez
Martinez always seems too cheap on DraftKings. He’s priced at $5,300 in a matchup against Dylan Bundy. Bundy is a solid pitcher, but he gives up home runs. He’s allowed 1.90 HR/9 this season. Martinez has the highest home run projection on the slate, and only Mike Trout projects better for raw points. I currently have Martinez on my cash game roster, but he’s not a lock due to the Cleveland bats, and the lack of strong value plays on the slate. I will be overweight on him in tournaments due to the upside, and I don’t mind a mini stack of Red Sox power hitters as well.
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