DFS MLB DraftKings/FanDuel Lineup Advice and Pitcher Chart 7/10/2018

Pitchers

For the Pitcher Chart as well as Hitter picks and analysis, click NEXT!

Trevor Bauer

Bauer will face the Reds in Progressive Field. It’s a close call between Bauer and Justin Verlander as the top option on the slate, but I’m leaning toward Bauer. The Reds pick up a DH in this series, but Bauer still has an OTT (see pitcher chart) of only 3.5. He’s the biggest favorite on the slate and has been lights out this season. You have to go back to May 11 before you find a start where Bauer failed to record 22+ DK points. I’ll take Bauer as my SP1 in cash games, but will consider fading him in tournaments since there’s a Coors Field game on the slate and he costs $13,600.

Masahiro Tanaka

Tanaka is fresh off of the DL, so I’m not sure if he’ll be on a pitch count or how he’ll look in his first start back. With the uncertainty, I’m considering Tanaka for tournaments only. He’ll face the Orioles in Camden Yards. The Orioles have the 7th highest strikeout rate in the league and the second worst wRC+. Tanaka is also a big favorite with an OTT of 3.5. As long as we know Tanaka will throw 85+ pitches, I’ll have shares of him in tournaments.

Rich Hill

Hill will face the Padres in Petco Park. He’s another big favorite with an OTT of 3.5. The Padres have the second highest strikeout rate and the fourth lowest wRC+ this season. Hill has thrown 73 and 110 pitches over his last two starts, so it’s difficult to know how deep he’ll go in the game. At $8,600, I feel uneasy about him in cash games, but I may end up taking the small risk in this positive matchup.

For the Pitcher Chart as well as Hitter picks and analysis, click NEXT!

Pitcher Chart

To see my favorite hitters for today’s slate, click NEXT!

The pitching chart will be updated often. Make sure to check back for the newest information, especially if a column is currently incomplete!

Last Updated: 7/10/2018 – 10:17 AM CT
PitcherTeamL/R$LineOTTK+/-K%IP
J. HellicksonWASR-11043-1195
J. MusgrovePITR+1024.53.5-120.35
J. ChacinMILR-1403.540.518.95 2/3
P. LopezMIAR+1294.54.5017.45 1/3
P. CorbinARIL+1055.55-0.531.55
T. AndersonCOLL-11454.5-0.522.45
R. HillLADL-1633.562.524.45 2/3
E. LauerSDPL+1504.54.50185
J. QuintanaCHCL-1043.55.5221.15 2/3
J. CuetoSFGR-10444.50.519.75 2/3
M. TanakaNYYR-2103.55.5224.85 1/3
A. CashnerBALR+1925.53.5-217.75
M. BoydDETL+1624.550.520.35 1/3
R. StanekTBRR-1753.53-0.521.82
I. KennedyKCRR+16554-120.95
A. SlegersMINR-18043-111.15
S. ManaeaOAKL+1864.54-0.517.15 1/3
J. VerlanderHOUR-20338.55.531.87
M. LeakeSEAR+13443-115.15 2/3
G. RichardsLAAR-1453.551.527.75 2/3
S. RomanoCINR+21553-217.34 1/3
T. BauerCLER-2363.57.5431.36 2/3
M. StromanTORR+1184.54.5017.86
J. TeheranATLR-12845.51.522.56
M. MikolasSTLR-16545117.16
D. CoveyCHWR+15253.5-1.516.65

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Key

L/R = Lefty or Righty
$Line = Money Line
OTT = Opposing team’s run total
K = Projected Strikeouts
+/- = K-OTT
K% = Strikeout Percentage
IP = Innings Projection

Many factors can change between the time I write this article and the time lineups lock. I’ll do my best to update the article, so checking back frequently is encouraged. You can also ask questions on Twitter or Facebook. I’ll do my best to get to all of them!

To see my favorite hitters for today’s slate, click NEXT!

Hitters

Coors Bats

It’s another day where the Coors Field game is the top game on the slate. While Patrick Corbin and Tyler Anderson have been solid pitchers this year, it shouldn’t scare us away from using bats from this game. Nolan Arenado and Paul Goldschmidt are the top bats on the slate. If you’re playing a high-priced pitcher, you can only afford one of these guys. I’ll take Arenado over Goldschmidt, but both are great options. Trevor Story and A.J. Pollock are in the next tier from this game. I’ll consider Story in cash games due to the weak shortstop position, but Pollock is just a fringe cash game play for me. Finally, I’m considering Ian Desmond, Chris Iannetta, and Steven Souza for cash games at their prices. Since it’s Coors, most bats from this game are quality tournament options.

Red Sox Bats

The Red Sox will face Yovani Gallardo in Fenway Park. I’m interested to see their ownership, but JD Martinez and Mookie Betts have projections near Arenado and Goldschmidt. I’ll still take the Coors bats in cash games, but if ownership is low enough, I’ll want shares of Martinez and Betts as well as a Red Sox stack in tournaments.

Brian Dozier/Twins

Dozier struggled for most of the season, but he’s hit the ball well over the past few weeks. He’s run into some bad luck (flying out to the warning track, getting a home run robbed by Keon Broxton), but I’m encouraged by Dozier’s recent performances. He’ll face Ian Kennedy in Target Field and the Twins have a team run total of five. I like the Twins as a low-owned stack in tournaments and will consider Dozier and Logan Morrison at their prices to fill out my cash game roster.

 

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